BUDGET – AUSTRALIA

Fast-track tax cuts off budget plan

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Original article by Simon Benson, Geoff Chambers
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 16-Mar-22

Senior federal government sources have indicated that bringing forward the stage-three income tax cuts will not be on the agenda for the Budget on 29 March. The government will instead seek to address cost-of-living pressures with temporary and targeted assistance. The final stage of the government’s tax cuts package is slated to take effect in 2024-25; Deloitte Access Economics partner Chris Richardson says bringing forward the tax cuts is not necessary given that Australia’s unemployment rate is close to a five-decade low, and he warns that such a move would risk driving up inflation. The government has also considered extending the low-and-middle-income tax offset for another year.

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DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD

Lockdowns no barrier to budget tax jump

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Original article by John Kehoe, Ronald Mizen
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 1-Oct-21

The federal government has advised that the Budget deficit blew out to a record $134.2bn in 2020-21, although this is well below the government’s worst-case scenario forecasts. Meanwhile, data from the Department of Finance shows that the underlying cash deficit for the first two months of 2021-21 was $22bn, compared with a forecast of $28.1bn in the Budget in May. Government revenue for the period was $12.1bn higher than had been forecast in the Budget, with higher-than-expected revenue from personal and company taxes.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE

Steeled for ore fall budgetary blow

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Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian – Page: 2 : 28-Sep-21

Chris Richardson of Deloitte Access Economics says the sharp fall in the iron ore price has major implications for the federal and Western Australian budgets. He says the 2021-22 budget forecasts of both governments may not have been conservative enough in the wake of the price crash. The fall in the iron ore price has been attributed to factors such as the Chinese government’s environmentally-driven restrictions on steel production and the financial problems of property developer Evergrande. Surging commodity prices saw overall tax revenue from the mining sector top $30bn in 2020-21, compared with just $12bn in 2015-16.

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DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD

Federal public service boom

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Original article by John Rolfe
Herald Sun – Page: 8 : 13-May-21

The May 2021 Budget papers show that the ranks of the federal public service will swell to 174,300 in 2021-22, with almost 5,400 new staff to be recruited during the coming financial year. Government agencies that are taking on additional staff include the Australian Commission for Law Enforcement Integrity and the Productivity Commission. Public servant numbers peaked at 182,500 under the former Labor government, and the Coalition had reduced this to 165,600 by 2015-16. The public service’s operating expenses will rise from $76bn in 2020-21 to $78.1bn.

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Battle over high-income tax cuts

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 13-May-21

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has defended the decision to extend the low and middle income tax offset for another year in the May 2021 Budget. He argues that the tax offset will support aggregate demand and job creation, while he has not ruled out extending it again if circumstances warrant such a move. However, Frydenberg contends that the tax offset was never intended to be permanent and must end before the legislated stage-three income tax cuts take effect in 2024. Labor has not yet committed to supporting the tax cuts, which will benefit people on high incomes in particular.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Nursing home reforms set to raise standards

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Original article by Andrew Tillett
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 : 13-May-21

Changes announced in the May 2021 Budget will shift aged-care funding out of the hands of providers and give older Australians greater choice of nursing homes. Aged-care experts contend that this will increase competition in the sector and force poorly-performing aged-care facilities to lift their standards. Aged-care homes will also be required to provide each resident with a minimum of 200 minutes of care each day from October 2023. However, unions contend that the sector will continue to face staff shortages unless the government takes action to increase the wages of aged-care workers.

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AAA rating likely to be downgraded

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Original article by Michael Read
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 : 13-May-21

S&P Global Ratings placed Australia’s triple-A credit rating on negative outlook in April 2020, in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The Commonwealth Bank has warned that Australia could potentially be downgraded to AA+ when S&P undertakes its annual review of the nation’s credit rating in September. Fixed income strategists Philip Brown and Martin Whetton attribute this to Australia’s rapidly growing net debt. However, ratings agencies are generally positive about Budget measures aimed at further stimulating the economy.

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S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Budget 2021: Stock winners and losers

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 24 : 13-May-21

Macquarie Equities has identified stocks that are likely to benefit from measures in the federal government’s May 2021 Budget. The extension of the instant asset write-off for businesses should boost the sales of companies such as JB Hi-Fi and Wesfarmers, while CSR, CIMIC and Seven Group are among the stocks that should benefit from the government’s move to ramp up infrastructure investment and provide further stimulus for the housing sector. Meanwhile, travel-related stocks were sold down on 12 May after the government signalled that Australia’s international borders will not re-open for some time.

CORPORATES
JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, CSR LIMITED – ASX CSR, CIMIC GROUP LIMITED – ASX CIM, SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX SVW, MACQUARIE EQUITIES LIMITED

‘Completely excluded’: budget delivers $58.6m to media but ABC misses out

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Original article by Amanda Meade
The Guardian Australia – Page: Online : 13-May-21

Former ABC bureaucrat Michael Ward has criticised the lack of funding for the public broadcaster in the federal government’s May 2021 Budget. He contends that the ABC is among the few media companies that are excluded from the $58.6m funding package. Amongst other things, SBS will receive a $30m funding boost, some $8m has been allocated to community broadcasting and the privately-owned AAP newswire service will receive $15m. The Australian Communications & Media Authority will receive an additional $4.2m to implement the news media bargaining code.

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AUSTRALIAN BROADCASTING CORPORATION, SPECIAL BROADCASTING SERVICE (SBS), AUSTRALIAN ASSOCIATED PRESS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN COMMUNICATIONS AND MEDIA AUTHORITY

Iron ore fear tax helps to boost budget

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Original article by Ronald Mizen
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 14-Dec-20

The federal government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook will reflect the surge in the price of iron ore since it handed down the Budget just two months ago. Its forecasts were based on an iron ore price of just $US55 per tonne free-on-board; the steel input is currently fetching around $US152 per tonne free-on-board, and the spot price has reached a seven-year high. Meanwhile, Deloitte Access Economics now expects 2020-21 GDP to be $33bn higher than had been forecast in the Budget, while the firm says the underlying cash deficit could be up to $3bn better than had been expected in October.

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DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD