BUDGET DEFICITS – AUSTRALIA

Australian debt control worst in G20: report

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Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 27-Jul-16

A Peterson Institute for International Economics report notes that Australia’s debt-to-GDP ratio has risen by 27.1 per cent since the global financial crisis. This is not much lower than the average increase recorded by developed nations such as the US, the UK, Japan and Italy. The report’s author, Paolo Mauro, concludes that Australia could have cleared its net debt and Budget deficit if real government spending had not significantly outpaced that of other major Group of 20 nations over the last eight years.

CORPORATES
PETER G PETERSON INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, GROUP OF TWENTY (G-20), INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION

Labor admits bigger deficits prompting AAA warnings

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 9-Jun-16

The Federal Opposition has conceded that the budget deficit will increase over the next four years under its 10-year economic plan. However, it expects to eliminate the deficit in 2020-21, and argues that its policies will have a much greater net benefit to the budget bottom line over a decade than the Australian Government’s plans to reduce the company tax rate. Finance Minister Mathias Cormann has warned that the Opposition’s higher deficit over the next four years could jeopardise Australia’s triple-A credit rating.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Labor plan would blow out deficit

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 8-Jun-16

The Australian Government’s proposal to progressively reduce the company tax rate to 25 per cent is a key element of its 10-year economic growth plan. The Opposition will release its own 10-year economic growth strategy on 8 June 2016, which is expected to include an increase in the Budget deficit over the next four years before a return to surplus within a decade. Labor will also announce policies such as welfare reforms and changes to the national broadband network.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, ESSENTIAL MEDIA COMMUNICATIONS PTY LTD

Brace ‘for another $129b’ in deficits

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 26-Apr-16

Chris Richardson of Deloitte Access Economics expects the Australian Government to announce a 2016 Budget deficit of $A41.7bn, compared with $A37.9bn in 2015. It would also be $A4.3bn higher than the Government had forecast in the mid-year Budget update. Richardson downplays the impact of the recent rally in the iron ore price on the deficit, arguing that slowing growth in wages will have a bigger effect on government revenue.

CORPORATES
DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Coalition gives up on surplus

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 16-Dec-15

The Australian Government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook forecasts that the 2015-16 Budget deficit will blow out to $A37.4bn, compared with expectations of $A35.1bn in May. The deficit will also be higher than expected in the following three fiscal years, while GDP growth forecasts have been reduced for both 2015 and 2016. Meanwhile, the worsening Budget deficit may prompt ratings agencies to review Australia’s triple-A credit rating, although Stephen Walters of JP Morgan says this is unlikely in the near-term.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Budget deficit blown to $38b

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 14-Dec-15

The Australian Government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook will include a significant reduction in Budget forecasts for the price of iron ore in 2015-16. The downturn in the price of the steel input will contribute to the deficit blowing out to around $A38bn. Meanwhile, government spending will rise to 26.2 per cent of GDP in 2015-16, compared with expectations of just 25.9 per cent in the May 2015 Budget. The Government is also tipped to significantly reduce its projections for longer-term economic growth.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE

Treasurer wants to rejig the tax mix for growth

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Original article by Phillip Coorey, Laura Tingle
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 25-Sep-15

Australian Treasurer Scott Morrison is confident that the Budget deficit can be reduced via spending cuts and measures aimed at lifting economic growth. In contrast, shadow treasurer Chris Bowen argues that tax increases will also be necessary in order to cut the deficit. Morrison also says any tax reforms undertaken by the Federal Government will aim to stimulate the economy and increase government revenue without any increase in the tax take.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING

Treasurer Morrison promises to stop the debt

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 7 : 21-Sep-15

Australia’s new Treasurer Scott Morrison says he will aim to reduce the Budget deficit and the nation’s debt. He has indicated that job creation will be also be a priority, with some 300,000 jobs created during the tenure of predecessor Joe Hockey. Morrison adds that the process of producing white papers on issues such as taxation and the federation will not be affected by the ministerial reshuffle.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF SOCIAL SERVICES, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF IMMIGRATION AND BORDER PROTECTION, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Hockey reveals $3b budget swansong

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 18-Sep-15

The Australian Government will release the final Budget figures for 2014-15 on 21 September 2015, but Treasury Joe Hockey has revealed that government spending for the fiscal year was around $A3bn lower than expected. Hockey has also told Parliament that net government debt for 2014-15 was $11.5 billion below expectations at $A238bn. The Government is set to post a Budget deficit for 2014-15 of about $A38bn. Hockey is expected to be replaced as Treasurer following the leadership change.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF SOCIAL SERVICES

Falling profits hit economy

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 : 1-Sep-15

Company profits fell 1.9 per cent in the three months to June 2015, the fifth straight quarter of profit declines, prompting analysts to conclude the Australian economy is shrinking for the first time since the election of the Abbott Government. Despite fears new concerns about the economy could weigh heavily on investor sentiment, Treasurer Joe Hockey insisted there were positive signs and that the prospect of tax reform and the China free-trade agreement would lift spirits.

CORPORATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, BLOOMBERG FINANCIAL SERVICES, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX