BUSINESS FORECASTING – AUSTRALIA

Study backs Pilbara lithium mine’s potential

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Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 20 : 11-Mar-16

A pre-feasibility study released by Australian-listed Pilbara Minerals is upbeat about the potential of the group’s Pilgangoora lithium project. The study concluded that the mine could yield 330,000 tonnes of spodumene concentrate a year, with production costs of about $US205 per tonne. The study also forecasts that the project would have annual EBITDA of $A120m. The spot price of spodumene concentrate currently exceeds $US600 per tonne.

CORPORATES
PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED – ASX FTN, TESLA MOTORS INCORPORATED, ATLAS IRON LIMITED – ASX AGO, FOSTER STOCKBROKING PTY LTD

Subsidy won’t generate target

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Original article by Ben Potter
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 10-Mar-16

Insufficient investment in wind and solar energy generation will make it difficult for Australian to reach the Renewable Energy Target (ERT). According to Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 532 megawatts of new wind and solar projects are under construction, which is less than a tenth of the capacity required to meet the RET. The Federal Government may need to renegotiate the target with the Opposition.

CORPORATES
BLOOMBERG LP, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, GRATTAN INSTITUTE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE ENVIRONMENT

Origin Energy chief open to discuss merger offers

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Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 24 : 4-Mar-16

Market watchers have suggested a number of future strategies for Origin Energy, including a demerger or merging its oil and gas assets with Santos. Origin MD Grant King says the group has not ruled out any of the options that have been mooted, but he notes that all such deals would be complex and take time to complete. Meanwhile, King has downplayed concerns about a modest delay in progress on completing the first two production trains at the Australia Pacific LNG project in Queensland.

CORPORATES
ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, AUSTRALIA PACIFIC LNG LIMITED, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, CONOCOPHILLIPS, SINOPEC CORPORATION, BECHTEL GROUP, KANSAI ELECTRIC POWER COMPANY INCORPORATED, QUEENSLAND. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET

$50m share raid puts Nine takeover in picture ahead of sector reforms

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Original article by Darren Davidson, Jake Mitchell
The Australian – Page: 19 & 22 : 4-Mar-16

Shares in Nine Entertainment Company closed 3.42 per cent higher at $A1.51, amid revelations that an unknown buyer purchased 3.4 per cent of its shares via Deutsche Bank. The $A50m transaction was executed at $A1.60 per share, prompting speculation that Nine may become a takeover target. Fairfax Media has been touted as a potential suitor if cross-media ownership laws are relaxed, but the group has downplayed such speculation.

CORPORATES
NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, NINE NETWORK AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF COMMUNICATIONS AND THE ARTS, DOMAIN.COM.AU, WIN CORPORATION PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, FACEBOOK INCORPORATED, STAN ENTERTAINMENT PTY LTD, TEN NETWORK HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TEN, SOUTHERN CROSS MEDIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX SXL

ASX200 payout slide set to dwarf counterparts

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 1-Mar-16

A number of companies in the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 have increased their dividends in 2015-16, despite the financial market volatility. However, Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse expects the combined dividend payout of S&P/ASX 200 companies to fall from $A79bn in 2014-15 to just $A73bn. Meanwhile, the total capital returned to shareholders will be boosted by share buybacks.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

BHP coalmine on the brink as profits dive

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Original article by Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 18 : 29-Feb-16

BHP Billiton’s Mount Arthur mine in New South Wales currently produces about 10 per cent of the thermal coal that is exported from Australia each year. However, BHP CEO Andrew Mackenzie recently signalled that production at the mine could potentially be suspended unless there is a rebound in the coal price. The price of thermal coal was trading at almost $US150 per tonne in 2011, but Goldman Sachs recently forecast that it will average just $US48/tonne in 2016.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32

Amazon may use ex-Top Gear presenters’ show to launch SVOD here

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Original article by Dominic White, John McDuling
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 2 : 29-Feb-16

US-based Amazon has declined to comment on speculation that it plans to enter Australia’s subscription video-on-demand market. Industry sources have suggested that the group could launch the Amazon Prime Instant Video service in Australia later in 2016, to capitalise on the popularity of former "Top Gear" presenters Jeremy Clarkson, Richard Hammond and James May. They will soon host a new show for Amazon, which could opt to sell the local broadcasting rights to a rival SVOD provider.

CORPORATES
AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, AMAZON PRIME, NETFLIX INCORPORATED, STAN ENTERTAINMENT PTY LTD, PRESTO ENTERTAINMENT PTY LTD, BRITISH BROADCASTING CORPORATION, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, THE BOOK DEPOSITORY LIMITED, DAI POST PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN CONSUMERS’ ASSOCIATION

BHP Billiton shares plunge amid questions over strategy

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Original article by Amanda Saunders
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 & 25 : 25-Feb-16

BHP Billiton’s Australian-listed shares shed 8.2 per cent on 24 February 2016, after its London-listed stock fell by 6.05 per cent in overnight trading. The bearish sentiment followed comments by CEO Andrew Mackenzie, who forecast a sustained period of commodity price weakness and market volatility. Meanwhile, BHP has flagged the potential for acquisitions if assets of sufficient quality are put on the market, but analysts say there is likely to be strong competition for such assets.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, JEFFERIES AND COMPANY, FREEPORT-McMORAN COPPER AND GOLD INCORPORATED, TECK CORPORATION, FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LIMITED, MMG LIMITED – ASX MMG, GLENCORE PLC, X2 RESOURCES PARTNERS LP, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, SAMARCO MINERACAO SA

Scentre posts steady growth, higher fees

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Original article by Robert Harley
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 35 : 24-Feb-16

Australian-listed shopping centres landlord Scentre Group has reported that its funds from operations rose by 3.8 per cent to $A1.199bn in calendar 2015, which equates to $A0.2258 per security. The real estate investment trust expects funds from operations to increase by three per cent in 2016. Investors will receive a full-year distribution of $A0.209 per security, which is forecast to rise to $A0.213 in 2016.

CORPORATES
SCENTRE GROUP – ASX SCG, WESTFIELD CORPORATION – ASX WFD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Large rivals may spur nib M&A

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Original article by Tim Binsted
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 23-Feb-16

Australian-listed private health insurer NIB Holdings has posted a 2015-16 interim profit of $A43.4m, which is five per cent higher than previously. The group’s net premium revenue was up 10.5 per cent at $A781.3m, and gross margins rose from 13.4 per cent to 15.1 per cent. MD Mark Fitzgibbon says NIB would be open to acquisitions, particularly as Medibank Private and Bupa are becoming increasingly competitive.

CORPORATES
NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NHF, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, BUPA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, ONEPATH AUSTRALIA LIMITED, SOUTHERN CROSS HEALTH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HEALTH