BUSINESS FORECASTING – AUSTRALIA

BHP tipped to cut dividend to keep rating

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Original article by James Thomson, Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 : 24-Nov-15

BHP Billiton’s share price has fallen by 18.3 per cent in the last month, with the stock closing at $A20.07 on 23 November 2015. BHP’s progressive dividend policy has come under scrutiny following the downturn in iron ore and coal prices. Glyn Lawcock of UBS believes that unless prices rebound, the resources giant will have to reduce its dividend to ensure that its credit rating is not downgraded. UBS recently scaled back its 12-month share price target from $A28 to $A24.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, ABERDEEN ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION

Newcrest unscathed as NSW mine reopens

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Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 24-Nov-15

Australian-listed Newcrest Mining has advised that problems with a mill at its Cadia gold mine in New South Wales have been resolved. The mill has resumed production after a 35-day shutdown and has returned to full capacity. Output in the September 2015 quarter had been affected by the shutdown, but Newcrest still expects to achieve its 2015-16 full-year production guidance of 2.4 million to 2.6 million ounces of gold.

CORPORATES
NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

James Hardie guns for US as profit slips

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Original article by Tim Binsted
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 20-Nov-15

James Hardie Industries has reported $US65.3 million ($A92 million) in adjusted profit for the second quarter of 2015-16. The Australian-listed building products supplier stated on 19 November 2015 that its full-year profit will be lower than previously forecast. The company now expects adjusted profit for 2015-16 to be between $US230 million and $US250 million.

CORPORATES
JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC – ASX JHX

Uncertainty clouds fate of blue-chip dividends

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 13-Nov-15

Data from Morningstar shows that the average gross dividend yield for S&P/ASX 20 stocks has risen to a seven year-high of seven per cent. Meanwhile, three of the top-20 stocks have a 12-month gross yield in excess of 10 per cent, according to Bloomberg. ST Wong of Prime Value Asset Management says the top-20 stocks should be able to maintain their dividend payouts during the next year. However, some analysts believe that banks and resources groups may need to reduce their dividends.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 20 INDEX, MORNINGSTAR PTY LTD, BLOOMBERG LP, PRIME VALUE ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Hartigan denies friction with Seven

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Original article by Max Mason
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 11-Nov-15

Prime Media Group’s 11.4 per cent stakeholder Seven Group Holdings voted against the regional broadcaster’s remuneration report at its 2015 AGM. The "two strikes" rule will apply at the 2016 AGM after more than 34 per cent of Prime’s shareholders rejected the report. Meanwhile, Prime CEO Ian Audsley said the group could be acquired or seek to buy assets itself if there are changes to cross-media ownership laws. He added that Prime may be interested in buying radio assets but is unlikely to expand into regional print newspapers.

CORPORATES
PRIME MEDIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX PRT, SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX SVW, SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, TEN NETWORK HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TEN, FOX SPORTS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, V8 SUPERCARS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE

Burst Brazilian dam likely to stay shut for years; owners face fines

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Original article by Amanda Saunders, Matthew Stevens
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 10-Nov-15

Deutsche Bank’s Paul Young says BHP Billiton may have to reconsider its progressive dividend policy in the wake of a fatal incident at its Samarco iron ore joint venture in Brazil. Deutsche estimates that BHP and joint venture partner Vale could face costs of at least $US1bn ($A1.4bn) arising from the failure of a tailings dam at the mine in the state of Minas Gerais. Young says the Samarco project is unlikely to resume production before fiscal 2019, and it could potentially be closed permanently.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, VALE SA, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, SAMARCO MINERACAO SA

Australian M&A fires up as global uncertainty weighs on executives

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 9-Nov-15

A global survey of senior executives by EY Oceania shows that more than 50 per cent of Australian companies intend to pursue acquisitions in the next 12 months, compared with 44 per cent in the previous six-monthly survey. Mergers and acquisitions activity in Australia is particularly strong in sectors such as food services, consumer retailing and life sciences. Meanwhile, 64 per cent of respondents in Australia and New Zealand, plus 74 per cent globally, expect equity valuations to remain stable.

CORPORATES
ERNST AND YOUNG, WOODSIDE PARK STUD PTY LTD, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, ASCIANO LIMITED – ASX AIO, QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX QUB, BROOKFIELD INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS LP, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

Nib upgrades profit forecast for 2015-16

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Original article by Tim Binsted
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 5-Nov-15

Australian-listed private health fund NIB Holdings has advised that its 2015-16 statutory profit is likely to be within the range of $A90m to $A100m. The group had previously forecast a profit of $A85m to $A90m and has attributed the improved forecast to a strong performance in the first quarter. Chairman Steve Crane says NIB gained more than 23,000 additional policyholders in 2014-15, and now provides health insurance for more than one million people.

CORPORATES
NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NHF, BUPA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HEALTH

Domino’s dishes up bigger profit but investors still hungry

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Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 24 : 5-Nov-15

Domino’s Pizza Enterprises expects 25 per cent growth in underlying net profit and EBITDA for 2015-16. The listed fast food group had previously forecast growth of 20 per cent for the fiscal year. Domino’s posted a net profit of $A64m in 2014-15, and analysts expect this to top $A81.2m in 2015-16. Domino’s now boasts more than 1,500 stores in six countries, and it intends to open at least 260 in 2015. Domino’s shares closed $A0.24 lower at $A47.65 on 4 November 2015.

CORPORATES
DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, MACQUARIE EQUITIES LIMITED, PIZZA MOGUL, PIZZA SPRINT

China to take over as most frequent visitors

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Original article by Jamie Freed
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 : 3-Nov-15

Tourism Research Australia forecasts a rise of 5.9 per cent in the number of foreign tourists to 7.5 million in 2015-16. The number of mainland Chinese visitors is likely to rise 15.5 per cent. By 2019-2020, the number of Chinese visitors is expected to reach 1.4 million, catapulting this category of the market to the top of tourism source countries.

CORPORATES
TOURISM RESEARCH AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS AND TRADE, TTF AUSTRALIA LIMITED TOURISM AND TRANSPORT FORUM, TOURISM ACCOMMODATION AUSTRALIA, TOURISM RESEARCH AUSTRALIA