CAPITALISTS AND FINANCIERS – AUSTRALIA

How to pick a winner as tariff tensions rise

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 26 : 10-Apr-18

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse says a trade war between the US and China would negatively affect economic growth, bond markets and shares. He adds that investors should factor in the potential impact of an increase in tariffs, although a large-scale trade war is unlikely to occur. Tevfik says BHP Billiton, Fortescue Metals Group and QBE Insurance Group are among the Australian-listed companies that would be hard hit by increased protectionism by the US and China. He also warns of the potential for a further rise in bond yields.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, SIMS METAL MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX SGM, MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED – ASX MND, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, NUFARM LIMITED – ASX NUF, QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED – ASX QAN, BOEING COMPANY, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Facebook fallout hits technology stocks

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Original article by Supratim Adhikari
The Australian – Page: 17 & 26 : 29-Mar-18

Investor sentiment toward Australian-listed technology companies turned bearish on 28 March, in the wake of a similar sell-down on Wall Street. WiseTech Global was among the hardest hit, shedding 4.6 per cent to close at $A10.11, while Altium, Appen and Xero all fell by at least two per cent. Julia Lee of Bell Direct stresses that Australian technology stocks do not use large volumes of data so they are not exposed to the same risks as US peers such as Facebook. She does note that many local tech stocks are overvalued.

CORPORATES
WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED – ASX WTC, ALTIUM CAPITAL LIMITED, APPEN LIMITED – ASX APX, XERO LIMITED – ASX XRO, BELL DIRECT, FACEBOOK INCORPORATED, CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA LLC, NASDAQ, LINCOLN INDICATORS PTY LTD, GENTRACK GROUP LIMITED – ASX GTK, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

Burgeoning ETF industry brings active funds management to the masses

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 22-Feb-18

Exchange-traded funds are becoming increasingly popular with Australian investors. There has been strong growth in the number of listed active ETFs in particular since 2015, with 16 such funds now listed on the local sharemarket. BetaShares has launched two new active ETFs in a co-branding arrangement with Legg Mason, and BetaShares MD Alex Vynokur says this trend is likely to continue. He adds that institutional investors as well as retail investors are driving the demand for active ETFs.

CORPORATES
BETASHARES CAPITAL LIMITED, BETASHARES LEGG MASON EQUITY INCOME FUND (MANAGED FUND) – ASX EIN, BETASHARES LEGG MASON REAL INCOME FUND (MANAGED FUND) – ASX RIN, LEGG MASON ASSET MANAGEMENT AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED

Bargain hunters happy to take the risks

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 30 : 9-Feb-18

Australian investors returned to the sharemarket on 8 February, seeking buying opportunities among stocks that had been heavily sold down in the recent sharemarket rout. Blue-chip stocks in particular attracted buying activity. However, investors should be mindful that financial market volatility can persist for some time, and the pace at which the US Federal Reserve tightens monetary policy will be a key factor in the outlook for equities.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, CHICAGO BOARD OPTIONS EXCHANGE VOLATILITY INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE AG, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, UNITED STATES. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, LPL FINANCIAL LLC

Investors follow Future Fund to lift share exposure

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Original article by James Kirby
The Australian – Page: 32 : 2-Feb-18

A report from Investment Trends shows that in early 2017 the average investor expected a return of just 1-5 per cent from Australian equities for the calendar year, but the ASX achieved a full-year return of 11.8 per cent. Investment Trends’ King Loong Choi says the firm’s annual survey shows that the proportion of investors whose main goal is to maximise capital growth has risen from 18 per cent to 25 per cent in 2018. Choi adds that retail investors who increase their exposure to equities in 2018 may choose to do so via investment vehicles such as exchange-traded funds rather than directly buying shares.

CORPORATES
INVESTMENT TRENDS PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY

Top 10pc gain 80pc of CGT benefits

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Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 22-Jan-18

The percentage of the yearly benefits of the capital gains tax discount that goes to the highest income earners has increased from 70 per cent to 80 per cent over the last 10 years or so, according to the Australian Taxation Office. Danielle Wood from the Grattan Institute says this suggests that the 50 per cent discount on capital gains needs to be modified. The presence of the discount, when combined with negative gearing, is seen by experts as making the leverage of real estate a particularly attractive proposition for investors.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN TAXATION OFFICE, GRATTAN INSTITUTE, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN HOUSING AND URBAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Cyclical stocks back in play as bulls charge on

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 22 : 19-Jan-18

Analysis by Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse shows that stocks with the lowest volatility have traded at an average price-earnings premium of nearly 10 per cent over the last decade. In contrast, stocks with the highest volatility have traded on an average PE discount of nearly 20 per cent. Tevfik says investors should rebalance their portfolios in favour of higher-volatility cyclical stocks rather than so-called bond proxies. Stocks he favours include BHP Billiton, Whitehaven Coal, Qantas and Harvey Norman.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC, QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED – ASX QAN, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, STOCKLAND – ASX SGP, MAGELLAN FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED – ASX MFG, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, CHICAGO BOARD OPTIONS EXCHANGE VOLATILITY INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

ASX’s $100b rally could be far from over, analysts predict

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Original article by Jessica Sier, Patrick Commins
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 27 : 19-Oct-17

The Australian sharemarket had been range-bound since May, but a rally in the last nine trading sessions has increased its capitalisation by about $A100bn. JP Morgan’s Jason Steed says the near-term outlook for the local bourse will depend to a large extent on financial and mining stocks, which dominate the market. However, Steed adds that investors are looking for greater political certainty, particularly with regard to issues such as energy policy and regulation of the banking sector.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, TOKYO STOCK PRICE INDEX, DEUTSCHER AKTIEN INDEX

Why Coppo says to buy banks now

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 6-Oct-17

Richard Coppleson of Bell Financial Group says investors should consider buying Australian bank stocks in October for their dividend yield. He says historical analysis shows that bank stocks have not posted gains during the month of October in just four years since 2000, and three of those occasions were due to the global financial crisis. He attributes the generally strong performance of bank stocks during October to the fact that they among the few stocks that trade ex-dividend in November.

CORPORATES
BELL FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED – ASX BFG, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AUSTRALIA. ATTORNEY-GENERAL’S DEPT. AUSTRALIAN TRANSACTION REPORTS AND ANALYSIS CENTRE, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, LONG-TERM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Despite the gloom, this is the best reporting season in years

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Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 26 : 29-Aug-17

Financial market analysts argue that negative perceptions of the August 2017 reporting season are not justified. Jason Steed of JP Morgan notes that 123 stocks in the S&P/ASX 200 Index have risen so far in August, while he adds that investors’ perceptions of the reporting season are often influenced by a handful of stocks that post large declines in the wake of their earnings results. Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse says the capital expenditure intentions of ASX 200 companies also demonstrates the strength of the reporting season.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL