CAPITALISTS AND FINANCIERS

Traders pour into gold as tensions rise

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 32 : 13-Apr-17

The price of gold has rallied in recent weeks as growing geopolitical tensions prompt renewed investor support for "safe haven" assets. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year US Treasuries recently reached a five-month low and it is again testing this level, while the VIX volatility index has risen to its highest level in five months. However, Joseph Capurso of the Commonwealth Bank says the continued strength of the US dollar suggests that recent financial market trends do not constitute a "global risk-off event".

CORPORATES
CHICAGO BOARD OPTIONS EXCHANGE VOLATILITY INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, MORGAN STANLEY CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED

For markets, the devil was in the lack of detail

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 29 : 13-Jan-17

Ewa Turek of Morgan Stanley notes that the first press conference of US president-elect Donald Trump offered few details of the policies he will prioritise after taking office. US markets posted modest gains in response to the press conference, while the Australian market dipped slightly. Garry Laurence of Perpetual adds that investors are waiting for more details of Trump’s policies, as well as guidance regarding the outlook for US interest rates.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, WINGATE ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Clinton victory set to unleash a ‘wave of cash’ into global markets

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Original article by David Rogers, Glenda Korporaal, Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 19 & 32 : 8-Nov-16

The Australian sharemarket rallied on 7 November 2016, after a new FBI probe cleared US presidential candidate Hillary Clinton over the use of a private email server. AMP Capital’s Nader Naeimi says investors are likely to reallocate cash holdings to higher-risk assets if Clinton wins the election. Meanwhile, Paul Donovan of UBS has warned that world trade and global capital flows could be disrupted if Donald Trump becomes president.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, UBS AG, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, NZSX-50 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

‘Something’s gotta give’: rising stocks, bonds and gold sound alert

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 19 & 27 : 13-Jul-16

The Australian sharemarket has gained six per cent since reaching its recent low in the wake of Great Britain’s vote to leave the European Union. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has risen by 16 per cent since February 2016, and it reached a record high in mid-July. Traditional safe haven investment classes are also in strong demand, with the yield on 10-year Australian government bonds remaining close to a record low and the gold price testing its highest level in more than two years.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, PLATINUM ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX PTM, BAKER STEEL CAPITAL MANAGERS LLP, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, JAPAN. OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER, NIKKEI 225 INDEX

Brexit II pushes Aussie bonds to record low

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Original article by Vesna Poljak, James Chessell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 29 : 7-Jul-16

The yield on Australia’s 10-year government bond fell to a record low of 1.84 per cent on 6 July 2016. Bearish sentiment toward equities also prompted the yield on US Treasuries to fall to 1.34 per cent. The global shift to "safe haven" assets also prompted a rally in the gold price, which reached its highest level in two years. Meanwhile, the fallout from the UK’s vote to leave the European Union is continuing, with several British property funds moving to freeze redemptions.

CORPORATES
UBS GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, BANK OF ENGLAND, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 BANKS INDEX, AXA INVESTMENT MANAGERS PTY LTD, M&G INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED, AVIVA PLC, STANDARD LIFE PLC, YOUGOV LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, SPDR GOLD TRUST, COMMODITY EXCHANGE OF NEW YORK

It’s a big short-term buying opportunity

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 24-Jun-16

Charles de Bolssezon of Societe Generale forecasts that the FTSE 100 will rally in coming months if the UK votes to remain in the European Union. However, the FTSE is tipped to shed about 15 per cent if Britons vote to leave the EU, while the S&P 500 will fall by 10 per cent. Richard Coppleson of Bell Potter says Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 would also fall sharply in the event of a "Brexit", but he adds that this would create buying opportunities for investors in the short-term.

CORPORATES
SOCIETE GENERALE SA, FTSE 100 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, EURO STOXX 50 INDEX, FTSE 250 INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, CITIGROUP INCORPORATED, BANK OF ENGLAND, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Terrorism no longer phases investors

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Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 12 : 15-Jun-16

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 7.1 per cent when trading resumed following the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks in the US. However, the Dow Jones shed just 0.74 per cent after 50 people were killed in a nightclub in Orlando. Likewise, the CAC 40 shed just 0.1 per cent following the Paris terrorist attacks in November 2015 and the Brussels attacks in March 2016 had little impact on global sharemarkets. Analysis also suggests that terrorist attacks generally do not have much economic impact over the long-term.

CORPORATES
DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, CAC 40 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, IBEX 35 INDEX, FTSE 100 INDEX, CHARLES SCHWAB AND COMPANY, UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA

Finding the best return in a low-return world

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 17-May-16

Research by Societe Generale’s global asset allocation strategy team has concluded that investors can expect an annualised total return of 5-7 per cent from the majority of developed equity markets in the medium- to long-term. The research also suggests that emerging market equities and bonds are likely to deliver the best returns, with Societe Generale preferring bonds issued by India. However, the group says Australian investors should favour shares rather than bonds.

CORPORATES
SOCIETE GENERALE SA

Goldman upbeat, we won’t get a recession

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 10-Feb-16

Modelling by investment bank Goldman Sachs suggests that there is a 25 per cent chance that developed economies will experience a recession in the next 12 months. This compares with the historical average of 28 per cent. The risk of Australia experiencing a recession is just 13 per cent, while the long-term average is 23 per cent. Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius argues that the recent volatility in global financial markets presents an opportunity for risk-averse investors.

CORPORATES
THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, TAILORED INVESTMENT SOLUTIONS PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MONTGOMERY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, WILSON ASSET MANAGEMENT

Vale target in US suit over dam disaster

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Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 16 : 10-Dec-15

The American depository receipts of Brazilian miner Vale have shed 32.5 per cent since the tailings dam failure at the Samarco iron ore joint venture. Investors who bought Vale’s shares between 21 March and 30 November 2015 will be eligible to participate in a class action launched by Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman. Amongst other things, the law firm claims that Vale made false statements regarding the project. Shares in Samarco’s 50 per cent owner BHP Billiton have also been heavily sold down. It is not named in the class action.

CORPORATES
VALE SA, SAMARCO MINERACAO SA, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, BRONSTEIN, GEWIRTZ AND GROSSMAN, NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE, DISTRICT COURT OF UNITED STATES. SOUTHERN DISTRICT OF NEW YORK, BRAZIL. ENVIRONMENT MINISTRY, UNITED NATIONS, GOLDBERG AND PARTNERS INCORPORATED