CENTRAL – AUSTRALIA

Lowe: RBA can only do so much

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 23-Sep-16

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe sees the role of the central bank as primarily dealing with inflation. He told members of the House of Representatives economics committee in Sydney on 22 September 2016 that interest rate cuts can only have a limited impact on the property market. Lowe said house prices are high because of inadequate supply and easy access to credit.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Why investors and economists differ on odds of rate call

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 22-Sep-16

Financial markets consider that there is a near-even chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate in the first half of 2017. In contrast, the general consensus of economists is that there will be at least one more rate cut in the current monetary policy easing cycle. JP Morgan economist Tom Kennedy expects the central bank to reduce the cash rate by another 50 basis points, while James Woods of Rivkin Securities suggests that there are limits to what monetary policy can achieve in terms of economic stimulus.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RIVKIN SECURITIES PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Rate cuts ‘hurt some but overall we gain’

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 21 : 16-Sep-16

A report released by the Reserve Bank of Australia suggests that official interest rate cuts have a net gain for the nation overall, despite the impact on savers. The report argues that each $A1 reduction in home loan repayments results in an average increase of at least $A0.20 in expenditure on consumer durables. However, spending on durables rises by just $A0.04 on average for each $A1 increase in the interest income of net savers.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Free kick for RBA’s new chief

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 19 & 27 : 7-Sep-16

Financial markets estimate that there is a 42 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate by the end of 2016. The general consensus of economists is that rates will remain on hold until 2017, after the central bank opted against easing monetary policy on 6 September. Expectations of a strong rise in GDP growth in the June quarter will strengthen the case for leaving rates on hold. Philip Lowe will shortly succeed Glenn Stevens as Reserve Bank governor.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Stevens: we’re kidding ourselves

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 11-Aug-16

Glenn Stevens has warned that more investment is needed to stimulate economic growth. The departing governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) said on 10 August 2016 that monetary policy cannot revive economic growth on its own, and fiscal reforms are also needed. It is also necessary to curb demand for debt among companies and households. Stevens will leave the RBA in September, and will be succeeded by deputy governor Philip Lowe.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

NAB forecasts more cuts in interest rates

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 10-Aug-16

National Australia Bank expects the Reserve Bank to reduce the cash rate by another 50 basis points in the next 12 months, to a record low of one per cent. The banking major anticipates rate cuts in both May and August 2017. Meanwhile, NAB’s latest monthly survey shows that both business sentiment and business conditions declined in July 2016. Likewise, the ANZ Bank-Roy Morgan consumer sentiment index fell by 2.8 per cent in the first week of August.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

Cutting rates to get the $A lower brings risks to the economy

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 10-Aug-16

The Australian dollar has risen above $US0.76 since the Reserve Bank reduced the cash rate to a record low of 1.5 per cent on 2 August 2016. The currency has benefited from the fact that the local cash rate is still quite high relative to many countries, so further money policy easing may be necessary in order to put sustained downward pressure on the dollar. However, this strategy has economic risks, such as the potential to undermine consumer confidence. Indeed, the ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating fell by 2.8 per cent to 114.7 in the first week of August.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, TD SECURITIES, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BANK OF JAPAN, ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT

Banks reject Turnbull demand

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Original article by Phillip Coorey, Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 4-Aug-16

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has criticised the major banks for failing to reduce their interest rates by the full 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate on 2 August 2016. Turnbull says the banks have a "social licence" and their CEOs should explain why the rate cut was not passed on to their customers in full. ANZ Bank CEO Shayne Elliott has conceded that banks should do more to explain their decisions on interest rates, but notes that wholesale funding costs are rising and the banks will be subject to new capital requirements.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION

Lower rates help stocks but won’t spur growth

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 31 : 4-Aug-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 6.3 per cent in July 2016, but it has shed 2.2 per cent since the Reserve Bank reduced the cash rate to a record low on 2 August. However, equities are likely to benefit from a likely trend for self-managed superannuation funds to reduce their exposure to cash as returns from such investments fall. The outlook for interest rates in Australia and abroad is also likely to ensure that price-earnings ratios remain elevated for some time.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

RBA cuts, dismissing property bubble risk

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 3-Aug-16

Financial markets believe there is a 52 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank will reduce official interest rates to 1.25 per cent by November 2016, after the cash rate was cut by 25 basis points to 1.5 per cent on 2 August. The central bank has now reduced the cash rate by 3.25 per cent during the current monetary policy easing cycle, which began in late 2011. The RBA has warned that inflation is likely to remain low for some time, and noted that a housing price bubble now appears to be unlikely.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA