CENTRAL – UNITED STATES

ASX stocks to fire as Fed kicks off cuts

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Original article by Gus McCubbing
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 17-Sep-25

Bond traders have fully priced in a 25 basis point interest rate cut at the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting this week. They are expect at least another four rate cuts over the next year, although David Bassanese from BetaShares and Sebastian Mullins from Schroders contend that the central bank will be less aggressive in reducing monetary policy. Meanwhile, Australian stocks are widely tipped to rally if the Federal Reserve does reduce the cast rate; Jun Bei Liu from Ten Cap says James Hardie Industries stands to benefit the most, given its exposure to the US housing market.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BETASHARES CAPITAL LIMITED, SCHRODER INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT AUSTRALIA LIMITED, JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC – ASX JHX, TEN CAP INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD

Rate cut hopes dashed by US data

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Original article by Cecile Lefort
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 12-Apr-24

Financial markets have now priced in a 20 per cent chance that the US Federal Reserve will reduce the cash rate in June, compared with 58 per cent prior to the release of the latest inflation data. The figures showed that the inflation rate remains well above the central bank’s target of two per cent; core inflation rose by 0.4 per cent in March and 3.8 per cent in the year to March. Financial markets now expect just one rate cut in 2024. The US inflation data has also prompted Australian investors to scale back their expectations regarding the timing of monetary policy easing by the Reserve Bank.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Fed says rates will stay near zero until 2023

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Original article by Nick Timiraos
The Australian – Page: 24 : 18-Sep-20

The US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its latest policy meeting, with all 17 central bank officials indicating that they expect interest rates to remain at a record low until at least the end of 2021. In addition, 13 of the Federal Reserve officials have indicated that interest rates are likely to remain at close to zero until the end of 2023. Meanwhile, the central bank officials now expect the US unemployment rate to average about 7-8 per cent in the December quarter.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Fed takes a keen interest in RBA’s bond buying

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Original article by Sarah Turner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 18-Jun-20

The yield on three-year Australian government bonds has traded within a narrow range of 0.21 per cent to 0.28 per cent since March, when the Reserve Bank commenced a targeted bond-buying program aimed at keeping the yield at around 0.25 per cent. The success of yield curve control in Australia has prompted the US Federal Reserve to assess the strategy, although Stephen Halmarick from the Commonwealth Bank says it is unlikely to adopt this in the near-term. The Federal Reserve’s focus has been on buying a certain amount of bonds each month.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Fed to hold interest rates near zero at least till 2022

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Original article by Nick Timiraos
The Australian – Page: 17 : 12-Jun-20

The US Federal Reserve has left interest rates on hold after its latest two-day policy meeting, and chairman Jerome Powell has indicated that a rate rise will not be on the agenda for some time. Federal Reserve officials unanimously agreed that the cash rate is likely to remain at around zero in 2021, and the majority expect no change in monetary policy during 2022. Meanwhile, the central bank intends to continue purchasing Treasurys and mortgage securities at the current rate, while Powell says the US labour market is unlikely to rebound from the coronavirus quickly, despite recent data showing that the economy added 2.5 million jobs in May.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Powell’s equities lift: we’re not out of ammo

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 20 : 19-May-20

The Australian sharemarket has been bolstered by encouraging comments from US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. He indicated that there is "almost no limit" to the central bank’s monetary stimulus in response to the coronavirus pandemic; Powell has also forecast that the US economy will steadily recover during the second half of 2020, in the absence of a second wave of virus infections. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has increased by 67 per cent to $US6.93trn since February, although the central bank has been winding back its quantitative easing program since mid-March.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

US rates likely to stay on hold, Fed indicates

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Original article by James Dean
The Australian – Page: 14 : 6-Jan-20

The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting show that the US central bank expects official interest rates to remain unchanged for some time, although this is likely to depend on the economic outlook. Some Federal Reserve officials expressed concern that an extended low interest rate environment may encourage ‘excessive risk-taking’. Meanwhile, former Federal Reserve chairman contends that the central bank has options other than quantitative easing and forward guidance to stimulate the economy in the event of a downturn.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Global risks high, but Fed will avert recession

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 25 : 23-Oct-19

Northern Trust’s chief economist Carl Tannenbaum expects the US Federal Reserve to reduce official interest rates in late October. Financial markets anticipate more monetary policy easing, but Tannenbaum says the Federal Reserve will put further rate cuts on hold. He is also confident that interest rate cuts will enable the US economy from going into recession. Tannenbaum has also questioned whether the Australian government should still be focusing on returning the Budget to surplus in an environment of low interest rates and a slowing Chinese economy.

CORPORATES
NORTHERN TRUST CORPORATION, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Economists raise chances of QE

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 27 : 26-Sep-19

UBS’s chief economist George Tharenou says there is a growing possibility that the Reserve Bank of Australia will have to resort to unconventional monetary policy options. He says the US Federal Reserve is likely to reduce official interest rates by another one per cent over the next year, as US economic growth slows due to the latest round of tariff hikes. This in turn will put pressure on the RBA to further ease monetary policy, and potentially resort to measures such as quantitative easing. Tharenou expects the RBA to reduce the cash rate to just 0.25 per cent by May 2020.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

US Fed rate cut gives Reserve Bank cover

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Original article by Vesna Poljak, Luke Housego
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 31 : 2-Aug-19

Andrew Canobi of Franklin Templeton says the US Federal Reserve is still widely tipped to announce two further interest rate cuts over the next year. However, he says the central bank is likely to pursue less aggressive monetary policy easing than had been recently forecast, after chairman Jerome Powell signalled that the rate cut on 1 August will not be the start of "a long series of rate cuts". The more hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve will be welcomed by the Reserve Bank of Australia, as it should reduce any upward pressure on the Australian dollar.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA