CONSUMER PRICE INDEXES – AUSTRALIA

Traders kiss goodbye to Aussie’s high hopes

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 29-Apr-16

The Australian dollar has retreated from recent highs after the latest inflation data showed that the CPI fell by 0.2 per cent in the March 2016 quarter. Currency traders now do not expect the currency to test the $US0.80 level in the near-term, while the inflation data has also heightened expectations of further monetary policy easing. However, currency strategists are divided about the outlook for the dollar, with year-end forecasts ranging from $A0.70 to $A0.78.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MARKET ECONOMICS PTY LTD, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, THINKFOREX

Deflation raises budget rate cut

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 28-Apr-16

The consumer price index fell by 0.2 per cent in the March 2016 quarter, with year-on-year growth of 1.3 per cent. The latest inflation data has raised the prospect that the Reserve Bank of Australia could cut official interest rates on 3 May, when the Federal Government will also deliver the 2016 Budget. National Australia Bank now expects the cash rate to be reduced in May, while financial markets now regard the chance of a rate rise to be 55 per cent.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Inflation uptick takes interest rate cut off the table

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 2 : 28-Jan-16

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show that consumer inflation rose by a higher-than-expected 0.4 per cent in the December 2015 quarter. The annual inflation rate was also above expectations at 1.7 per cent. Financial markets have responded to the inflation data by downgrading the chances of a rise in the cash rate in February to just four per cent. Morgan Stanley’s Daniel Blake says a mid-year rate cut remains on the cards given the CPI data.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BANK OF JAPAN, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

Low inflation corners RBA

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 : 29-Jan-15

Australia’s underlying inflation rate increased by 0.7 per cent in the December 2014 quarter, which was higher than expected. There was an 0.2 per cent increase in the CPI during the quarter, and 1.7 per cent year-on-year. The benign inflation data may strengthen the case for a reduction in the cash rate when the Reserve Bank board meets on 3 February 2015. The central bank may also be swayed by recent monetary policy easing in other countries, which may prompt renewed support for the Australian dollar

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

Inflation on track and RBA still likely to tighten with the Fed

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Original article by Alan Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 23-Oct-14

Australia’s CPI data for the third quarter of 2014 suggests that inflation is likely to be at the lower end of the Reserve Bank’s target range by the end of 2015. The central bank expects the underlying inflation rate to fall to about 2.25 per cent per annum in the December quarter. The Australian dollar is likely to continue to weaken against the US dollar if interest rates are raised in the US

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Mortgage rates hit record lows

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro|Clancy Yeates|Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 24-Jul-14

Three of Australia’s four major banks reduced their fixed mortgage interest rates on 23 July 2014, after the five-year swap rate fell to just 3.11 per cent in the previous week. The Commonwealth Bank’s five-year fixed rate has fallen to a record low of just 4.99 per cent, with Westpac and National Australia Bank reducing their rates for new customers to the same level. Meanwhile, market watchers expect the Reserve Bank to leave the cash rate on hold after inflation rose to three per cent in the second quarter

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA|WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC|NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB|RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA|AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ|BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED|BELL FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED – ASX BFG|UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD|MALAYSIAN AIRLINE SYSTEMS|AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS|RATECITY PTY LTD|MOZO PTY LTD|MEMBERS EQUITY BANK PTY LTD|UBANK

How Telstra and NBN Co started a $200m fight

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Original article by David Ramli
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 16-Jul-14

NBN Co and Telstra are engaged in a legal dispute over the impact of increases in the CPI on their $A11 billion cable infrastructure agreement. There is a difference of $A200 million in their calculations. Telstra believes the CPI increase should apply from 2012, while NBN Co claims the increase should apply from 2013. The matter will be considered in the Supreme Court of New South Wales

CORPORATES
TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, NBN CO LIMITED, SUPREME COURT OF NEW SOUTH WALES