CBA tipped to grind out $9.8b profit

Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 8-Aug-17

Analysts expect the Commonwealth Bank of Australia to post a cash profit of $A4.9bn for the second half of 2016-17, an increase of 5.8 per cent, and a full-year cash profit of $A9.8bn. The banking major’s provision for bad and doubtful debts is likely to remain largely unchanged, while its net interest margin is tipped to have declined by two basis points in the second half. CBA’s earnings guidance is likely to come under scrutiny in the wake of its money-laundering scandal, while the bank is forecast to increase its dividend for the second half to $A2.24 per share.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, TEN NETWORK HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TEN

Rio hands out China bonanza

Original article by James Thomson, Tess Ingram
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 22 : 3-Aug-17

Rio Tinto has posted a 2017 interim net profit of $US3.3bn, which is 93 per cent higher than previously, while underlying earnings rose by 152 per cent to $US3.9bn ($A4.9bn). The strong result was driven by its iron ore division, whose earnings rose by 87 per cent to $US3.3bn. Shareholders will receive a record interim dividend of $US1.10 a share, compared with just $US0.45 for the same period in 2016. Meanwhile, CEO Jean-Sebastien Jacques is upbeat about the outlook for the Chinese economy.

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, YANCOAL AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX YAL, COAL AND ALLIED INDUSTRIES LIMITED, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, BARCLAYS BANK PLC

Rio’s chance to reward investors with jump in returns

Original article by Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 1-Aug-17

Rio Tinto is widely tipped to post a 2017 interim underlying profit of $US4.12bn ($A5.16bn), compared with $US1.56bn previously. Market watchers also anticipate that Rio will lift its interim dividend from $US0.45 per share to $US1.18, with the prospect of a full-year payout of $US2.50 per share. Paul Hissey of RBC Capital Markets forecasts that a special dividend will boost Rio Tinto’s interim payout to $US1.42 a share. However, Glyn Lawcock of UBS expects the interim dividend to be $US0.93.

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, ANGLO AMERICAN PLC, GLENCORE PLC, VALE SA, GREAT BRITAIN. SERIOUS FRAUD OFFICE

Looking to profits to solve economy’s jumbled puzzle

Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 25-Jul-17

PM Capital’s Uday Cheruvu says the August 2017 earnings season will be more important than usual given that business confidence seems to be improving but consumer confidence remains subdued. Cheruvu adds that capital expenditure intentions will also be a key metric in the upcoming reporting season, suggesting that building materials group in particular may increase capex. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs says companies whose earnings could exceed expectations include BlueScope Steel, Crown Resorts, Telstra and South32.

CORPORATES
PM CAPITAL LIMITED, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, BRAVURA SOLUTIONS LIMITED.- ASX BVS, COSTA GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX CGC, SKYCITY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SKC, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, THE STAR ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SGR, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, ADAIRS LIMITED – ASX ADH, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, CYAN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, RESMED INCORPORATED – ASX RMD, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH

Ore lift backs BHP ‘surprise’ on dividend

Original article by Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 19 : 20-Jul-17

Citigroup expects BHP Billiton to post an underlying profit of $US6.76bn for 2016-17, compared with $US1.22bn previously. BHP’s activities report for the June 2017 quarter shows that it produced 268 million tonnes of iron ore in Western Australia during 2016-17, while copper output at the Olympic Dam mine in South Australia fell 16 per cent to 166,000 tonnes. Strike action at the Escondida copper mine in Chile resulted in annual output falling to 772,000 tonnes, but output of up to 1.23 million tonnes is expected in 2017-18.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, MINERA ESCONDIDA LIMITADA, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MORGANS FINANCIAL LIMITED

Westpac eyes business lending to fill the gap

Original article by James Eyers, James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 15 : 9-May-17

Westpac issued its 2016-17 interim financial results on 8 May 2017, recording a cash profit of $A4.02 billion, up three per cent on the previous corresponding period. Business credit and housing credit grew by 3.4 per cent and 6.5 per cent respectively, while cash earnings from its business bank increased by one per cent. Cash earnings from its BT Financial wealth unit declined by 11 per cent, while its interim dividend remained unchanged.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, BT FINANCIAL GROUP PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS AUSTRALIA (INTERNATIONAL) PTY LTD

LVR loans aren’t bad: Genworth

Original article by Alice Uribe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 4-May-17

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia has posted a statutory net profit of $A52.2m for the March 2017 quarter, down from $A67.3m for the same period in 2016. Meanwhile, CEO Georgette Nicholas notes that mortgages with high loan-to-value ratios can be appropriate, provided there is sufficient oversight. Nicholas adds that loans with high LVRs are often essential for first-home buyers, and she warns that a crackdown on such loans may prompt people to seek higher-risk loans.

CORPORATES
GENWORTH MORTGAGE INSURANCE AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX GMA, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

ANZ shares pummelled by ‘lower for longer’ outlook

Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 19 & 23 : 3-May-17

The ANZ Bank has posted a 2016-17 interim cash profit of $A3.4bn, which is 23 per cent higher than previously. However, most analysts had expected a half-year profit of between $A3.5bn and $A3.8bn. CEO Shayne Elliott is confident that ANZ can outperform its rivals in terms of profit growth, but he says the low-growth environment means it no longer expects revenue growth to outpace that of rival banks. Shareholders will receive an interim dividend of $A0.80 per share.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, MACQUARIE RESEARCH EQUITIES, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Banks set for earnings boost from rate hikes

Original article by James Frost, Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 16 : 1-May-17

The ANZ Bank, Westpac and National Australia Bank will release their 2016-17 interim results in early May 2017, while the Commonwealth Bank will release a trading update for the third quarter of its financial year. The "big four" banks are forecast to post a combined interim cash profit of around $A16bn. Earnings are expected to have been bolstered by the banks’ recent moves to lift their interest rates for investor and interest-only home loans. Citigroup forecasts that the rate rises will boost earnings per share by up to two per cent in 2017.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSBIL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, STANDARD CHARTERED BANK MALAYSIA BERHAD, STANDARD CHARTERED BANK PLC, DNR CAPITAL PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Fears grow of pullback in iron ore prices

Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 22 : 8-Mar-17

Australian iron ore miners’ earnings have been boosted by the recent spike in the price of the steel input to more than $US90 per tonne, but Evans & Partners analyst Andrew Hines warns that the rally is not sustainable. He forecasts that the iron ore price will fall from its current level to around $US45 in the second half of 2017, which will in turn hit the profits and share prices of BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals Group. Credit Suisse and UBS recently upgraded their iron ore price forecasts for 2017.

CORPORATES
EVANS AND PARTNERS PTY LTD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, ATLAS IRON LIMITED – ASX AGO, VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX