Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 24-Jul-20
The Australian economy will contract by 2.25 per cent in 2020-21, according to forecasts in the federal government’s economic update. The nation’s official unemployment rate is in turn projected to rise from 7.4 per cent at present to 9.25 per cent by the end of the year. Treasury has also forecast a Budget deficit of $85.5bn for 2019-20, rising to around $184.5bn in 2020-21. Meanwhile, the nation’s gross debt is slated to top $851.9bn in 2020-21. Moody’s and S&P have indicated that the economic update will have no impact on Australia’s triple-A credit rating.
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS
Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 4 : 26-Aug-19
Australian Office of Financial Management CEO Rob Nicholl has rejected suggestions that the federal government’s capacity to increase its borrowings has been boosted by the downturn in bond yields. The yield on 10-year government bonds fell below the cash rate of one per cent earlier in August, and Nicholls argues that demand for government debt has not risen despite a global downturn in bond yields. The federal government is resisting pressure to ramp up its infrastructure spending instead of prioritising a return to a Budget surplus.
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY. OFFICE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 19-Jun-19
The combined net debt of Australia’s state and territory governments is set to exceed $184bn over the next four years, compared with just $81bn in 2018-19. Increased investment in infrastructure will be a key contributor to the debt blowout, and Robert Carling of the Centre for Independent Studies stresses the need for such projects to be subject to a cost-benefit analysis. He adds that New South Wales and Victoria could potentially be at risk of losing their AAA credit ratings if their net debt continues to rise, although he says this is unlikely in the near-term.
THE CENTRE FOR INDEPENDENT STUDIES LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, NEW SOUTH WALES. THE TREASURY, SOUTH AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF TREASURY AND FINANCE
Original article by Rebecca Urban
The Australian – Page: 6 : 28-May-19
The Victorian Government’s May 2019 Budget has forecast a surplus of $1bn in 2019-20, rising to $1.5bn in the following financial year. State debt is projected to rise by $32.1bn over the forward estimates period, topping $54.9bn in 2022-23. The increased debt will be used to finance infrastructure projects, with expenditure on infrastructure to average $13.4bn a year over the forward estimates. Meanwhile, the government has scaled back its forecasts for growth in employment and gross state product over the next three years.
VICTORIA. DEPT OF TREASURY AND FINANCE, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS
Original article by Simon Benson
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 2-Apr-19
Prime Minister Scott Morrison has rejected suggestions that the April 2019 Budget will be a ‘cash splash’ ahead of the federal election, stressing the government’s track record for fiscal discipline. Meanwhile, the Budget papers are forecast to show that Australia’s net debt will be reduced to zero by 2028-29 under the Coalition, compared with $370bn at present. The Budget is expected to remain in deficit for 2018-19, although it is likely to be lower than the $5.2bn that was forecast in the mid-year update. The government is tipped to bring forward the second and third stages of its tax cuts package.
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIA. PARLIAMENTARY BUDGET OFFICE, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY, AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL POLICE, AUSTRALIAN SECURITY INTELLIGENCE ORGANISATION
Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 29-Jan-19
Prime Minister Scott Morrison will use a speech in Brisbane on 29 January to commit the Coalition to creating an additional 1.25 million jobs over five years if it wins the 2019 federal election. He will note that the Coalition has created more than 1.2 million jobs since it won the 2013 election. Morrison will also indicate that his government will aim to clear Australia’s net debt within a decade. It currently stands at $351.9bn, or 18.2 per cent of GDP. The mid-year Budget update had forecast that net debt will fall to 1.5 per cent of GDP in 2028-29.
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA
Original article by Patrick Durkin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 9 : 23-Nov-18
The Victorian Government’s election costings show that the state’s debt ceiling will blow out to 12 per cent of gross state product as a result of its infrastructure spending program, which will be partially funded via debt. Treasurer Tim Pallas had previously sought to cap state debt at around $30bn, or less than six per cent of gross state product. Labor has also advised that the state’s Budget surplus for 2019-20 is projected to be $1.7bn, compared with expectations of a $2.3bn surplus in 2018-19. The Coalition intends to retain the existing debt ceiling and will seek to reduce the state’s debt by $1.1bn over four years if it wins the state election.
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, VICTORIA. DEPT OF TREASURY AND FINANCE, MELBOURNE WATER CORPORATION
Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 9 : 20-Nov-18
The federal government’s net debt was $342bn at the end of 2017-18, which equates to 18.6 per cent of GDP. Although this is relatively low compared with many nations, Treasury secretary Philip Gaetjens says debt needs to be reduced to ensure that Australia is prepared for potential economic shocks in the future. He notes that Australia’s healthy fiscal position in 2007 helped the economy to ride out the global financial crisis. Gaetjens has also expressed concern about a blowout in global debt in the wake of the GFC.
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY
Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 21-Jun-18
Analysis of budget documents shows that the net financial liabilities of Australia’s federal, state and territory governments will top $A944bn in June 2021, which is equivalent to about $A36,000 per person. Infrastructure projects will be a major contributor to the debt blowout, with New South Wales and Victoria unveiling plans to ramp up spending on infrastructure over the next four years. Meanwhile, credit ratings agency Moody’s has expressed concern about the NSW government’s increased debt in its 2018 Budget, warning that it could affect the state’s credit profile.
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, NEW SOUTH WALES. THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INFRASTRUCTURE AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT, INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERSHIPS AUSTRALIA, QUEENSLAND. TREASURY
Original article by Mark Ludlow
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 13-Jun-18
The Queensland Government’s June 2018 Budget includes a surplus of $A1.5bn for 2017-18 and just $A148m in 2018-19. The government has also committed to spending $A11.6bn on infrastructure projects in 2018-19 and $A45.8bn over four years. This will contribute to a blowout in the state’s debt to $A83.1bn over the next four years. Revenue from coal royalties have topped $A3.77bn in 2017-18, after coal prices were higher than expected. The government will also raise an additional $A1.8bn via five new taxes over the next four years.
QUEENSLAND. TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, ADANI MINING PTY LTD, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, LIBERAL-NATIONAL PARTY OF QUEENSLAND