Powell’s equities lift: we’re not out of ammo

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 20 : 19-May-20

The Australian sharemarket has been bolstered by encouraging comments from US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. He indicated that there is "almost no limit" to the central bank’s monetary stimulus in response to the coronavirus pandemic; Powell has also forecast that the US economy will steadily recover during the second half of 2020, in the absence of a second wave of virus infections. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has increased by 67 per cent to $US6.93trn since February, although the central bank has been winding back its quantitative easing program since mid-March.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

Thriving US equities tipped to defy global risks

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 11-Feb-20

Kevin Anderson of State Street Global Advisors expects US economic growth to slow in 2020, but he says the country is unlikely to go into recession. Anderson adds that the asset manager has an overweight exposure to equities, and it is particularly upbeat about US shares. He says earnings will be a major driver of returns from equities in 2020, and the US is less vulnerable to an earnings shock than other markets. Meanwhile, Anderson is not unduly concerned about a recent flattening of the US yield curve, saying it was primarily due to 10-year bonds being regarded as a safe-haven investment.

CORPORATES
STATE STREET GLOBAL ADVISORS INCORPORATED

Recovery in doubt as Aussie dollar surges

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 27 : 1-Nov-19

The Australian dollar reached a three-month high of $US0.693 in local trading on 31 October, in the wake of the US Federal Reserve’s third interest rate cut in 2019. Financial markets have in turn downgraded the chances of the Reserve Bank of Australia reducing the cash rate again before the end of the year. The Australian dollar gained 3.3 per cent in October, including a gain of 1.6 per cent in the last five trading sessions. RBA board member Ian Harper argues that a strong currency is not desirable at present, given weak economic growth and less than full employment.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Global risks high, but Fed will avert recession

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 25 : 23-Oct-19

Northern Trust’s chief economist Carl Tannenbaum expects the US Federal Reserve to reduce official interest rates in late October. Financial markets anticipate more monetary policy easing, but Tannenbaum says the Federal Reserve will put further rate cuts on hold. He is also confident that interest rate cuts will enable the US economy from going into recession. Tannenbaum has also questioned whether the Australian government should still be focusing on returning the Budget to surplus in an environment of low interest rates and a slowing Chinese economy.

CORPORATES
NORTHERN TRUST CORPORATION, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

US economy facing headwinds: Fed

Original article by Eric Johnston
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 26-Mar-19

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago president Charles Evans forecasts that US economic growth in 2019 will be within the range of 1.75 per cent to two per cent. Meanwhile, financial markets have priced in a 60 per cent chance that the US Federal Reserve will reduce official interest rates, but Evans expects rates to rise, although not until the second half of 2020. Evans has also downplayed the risk to the US economy and financial markets if Britain’s exit from the European Union is "disorderly".

CORPORATES
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE AG

US fundamentals strong despite correction

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 18 : 22-Oct-18

The S&P 500 recently shed nearly eight per cent, although it has recovered much of the lost ground and remains five per cent higher than at the start of 2018. Kevin Anderson of State Street has downplayed concerns about the recent pullback by US equities, arguing that Wall Street was largely catching up with the bond market and overseas markets. Anderson expects the US sharemarket to rise in 2019 and he is upbeat about the outlook for the US economy, while he forecasts that the Federal Reserve will lift interest rates to about three per cent in 2019.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Federal Reserve hikes rates for third time this year

Original article by Donna Borak
CNNMoney – Page: Online : 27-Sep-18

The Federal Reserve has increased the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 2% to 2.25% in a move than had been widely expected. It is the third interest rate rise in 2018, and a majority of Federal Reserve policymakers now favour a fourth increase in December. Central bank policymakers also anticipate three rate rises in 2019, while the Federal Reserve has upgraded its forecast for US economic growth in 2018 from 2.8% to 3.1%. However, growth is expected to slow to 2.5% in 2019.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE

Fed hikes interest rates despite declining inflation, sets plan for balance sheet reduction

Original article by Jeff Cox
CNBC – Page: Online : 15-Jun-17

The US Federal Reserve has increased official interest rates by 0.25 per cent, following its rate rise in March. The central bank’s new target range is one to 1.25 per cent, while its monetary policy statement indicates that it expects inflation to stabilise but remain below two per cent in the near-term. Meanwhile, its GDP growth forecast has been upgraded from 2.1 per cent to 2.2 per cent, while its forecast for the unemployment rate has been revised downward from 4.5 per cent to 4.3 per cent. The Federal Reserve has also advised that it will begin reducing its balance sheet during 2017, although it has offered no guidance on when this will commence.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE