El Nino to affect interest rates and some ASX stocks

Original article by Gus McCubbing
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 26-Aug-26

The current El Nino weather event in the Pacific Ocean began in June and is expected to last well into 2027; it is likely to put upward pressure on food prices, and therefore Australia’s inflation rate. There are fears that it could become a ‘ Super El Nino’, and Citi commodity strategist Arkady Gevorkyan says this is the firm’s highest-conviction agricultural risk. Citi notes that Australian crops such as wheat, barley, and canola are most at risk from an El Nino event. On the other hand, Morgan Stanley says the metals market could be boosted if copper production in Chile and Zambia is impacted by El Nino.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

The winds of change will hit companies

Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Age – Page: 27 : 30-Oct-15

Morgan Stanley forecasts that the El Nino weather phenomenon will benefit Australian-listed companies across a range of sectors during the 2015-16 summer. Coca-Cola Amatil, JB Hi-Fi, Harvey Norman, Origin Energy and AGL Energy are among the companies that are tipped to enjoy stronger revenue due to the warmer weather associated with El Nino. Mining companies and insurers are also expected to benefit, but wheat, grain and beef producers in particular are likely to be adversely affected.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, GRAINCORP LIMITED – ASX GNC

Sunshine brings winter of discontent to stocks

Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 22-Jul-14

Climate modelling suggests that there is a strong chance of Australia experiencing another El Nino phenomenon late in 2014. The unseasonably warm weather during the winter has already adversely affected the sales of some retailers. Tim Rocks of the Commonwealth Bank says stocks in a range of sectors could be hurt by a protracted period of warm weather. These include GrainCorp, Nufarm, AGL Energy and Suncorp Group

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, GRAINCORP LIMITED – ASX GNC, NUFARM LIMITED – ASX NUF, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGK, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, INCITEC PIVOT LIMITED – ASX IPL, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, DAVID JONES LIMITED – ASX DJS, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED – ASX PMV, KATHMANDU HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX KMD, PACIFIC BRANDS LIMITED – ASX PBG, THE REJECT SHOP LIMITED – ASX TRS, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, SUPER RETAIL GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUL, SUPER CHEAP AUTO, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF AGRICULTURE, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, LEIGHTON HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX LEI, BORAL LIMITED – ASX BLD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, CSR LIMITED – ASX CSR, QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED – ASX QAN, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, CARNEGIE WAVE ENERGY LIMITED – ASX CWE, DYESOL LIMITED – ASX DYE, SILEX SYSTEMS LIMITED – ASX SLX, ENERGY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED – ASX ENE, BLUGLASS LIMITED – ASX BLG, INFIGEN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX IFN