ELECTIONS – UNITED STATES

Clinton victory and divided Congress ‘best for shares’

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 16 : 1-Nov-16

UBS suggests that in terms the outlook for equities, the best outcome of the US election would be if Hillary Clinton becomes president but neither party has control of Congress. Wingate Asset Management’s Chad Padowitz notes that health stocks in particular could be sold down if the Democrats control both houses. Historical analysis by AMP Capital shows that since 1927, US equities have delivered better returns when a Democrat has been in the White House but one or both houses of Congress have been controlled by the Republican Party.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, WINGATE ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, DEMOCRATIC PARTY (UNITED STATES), REPUBLICAN PARTY (UNITED STATES), STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, SANOFI PHARMACEUTICALS, DELTEC ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, CHICAGO BOARD OPTIONS EXCHANGE VOLATILITY INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION

Trump might win, and beware the turmoil

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Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 26-Oct-16

Hedge fund expert Jim Rogers says global financial market volatility is likely regardless of the outcome of the US presidential election. Rogers adds that a number of other factors will also contribute to looming financial market turbulence. He cautions against investing in bonds, and says investors should seek exposure to the agricultural sector, including farmland and agricultural futures. Rogers also says the Australian Government should take action to address the nation’s growing debt.

CORPORATES
QUANTUM FUND NV, APPLE INCORPORATED, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, PARAWAY PASTORAL COMPANY LIMITED

Trump win would trigger volatility: fund managers

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 20-Oct-16

A survey of global fund managers shows that 53 per cent expect financial market volatility to increase if Republican Party candidate Donald Trump wins the US presidential election. The Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey also found that 55 per cent of respondents think equities and bonds are overvalued, while 44 per cent anticipate that treasury yields will be the biggest influence on share prices during the next six months.

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, REPUBLICAN PARTY (UNITED STATES)

Investors warned not to expect smooth ride

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 23-Sep-16

Australian equity strategists are cautious about the near-term outlook for the domestic bourse, with most still expecting the S&P/ASX 200 to be trading at around the 5,500-point level at the end of 2016. Meanwhile, Tony Brennan of Citigroup forecasts that the benchmark index will top 5,750 points by mid-2017. With the US Federal Reserve opting to leave interest rates on hold in September, David Cassidy of UBS says the presidential election could influence the timing of the next interest rate move.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BANK OF JAPAN

Why BHP, Rio fear Sanders

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Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 4-Feb-16

The future of the proposed Resolution copper mine joint venture between BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto could depend on the outcome of the 2016 US presidential election. The mine’s development is opposed by Senator Bernie Sanders, who is seeking nomination as the Democratic Party’s candidate. He has narrowly lost the Iowa caucus to Democrats frontrunner Hillary Clinton, after previously being regarded as having little chance of being a contender for the party’s nomination.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, DEMOCRATIC PARTY (UNITED STATES)