ELECTIONS – VICTORIA

Yarra City Council and Port Phillip City Council could be abolished under plan by lord mayoral candidate Gary Morgan

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Laura Placella
Herald Sun – Page: Online : 13-Sep-24

Port Phillip City Council and the City of Yarra would be abolished under a plan being put forward by City of Melbourne lord mayoral candidate Gary Morgan. Morgan says he will urge the state government to include the two councils within an expanded City of Melbourne if his campaign to be elected mayor is successful, saying that to do so would deliver significant cost efficiencies, and that it made sense to "bring them together". He said that if the state government implemented his plan, reviews would then be held to see if other neighbouring councils could be brought into an expanded City of Melbourne.

CORPORATES
PORT PHILLIP CITY COUNCIL, CITY OF MELBOURNE, CITY OF YARRA

‘Every taxpayer wins’: PM hails stage three victory

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 28-Feb-24

The federal government’s changes to the legislated stage-three personal income tax were passed by the Senate with bipartisan support on Tuesday night. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese contends that 84 per cent of Australians will get a bigger tax cut than they would have via the original version of the former Coalition government’s tax package. The government can be expected to capitalise on the stage-three changes in the final days of campaigning for the Dunkley by-election; Albanese says the changes are a win for "every single taxpayer" in the Melbourne electorate.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Liberal 21.6% vote (up 4.4%) in Victoria’s Mulgrave State by-election is too low to indicate Victorians have changed their allegiance with Labor

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Gary Morgan, Michele Levine, Julian McCrann
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Nov-23

The Victorian ALP won the State by-election in Mulgrave easily on the weekend after Liberal Party candidate Courtney Mann managed to gain only a 4.4% swing on primary votes compared to last year’s State Election result. In addition, independent candidate Ian Cook gained only a small primary vote swing of 0.9% while there were also gains for several other minor party and independent candidates. On a two-party preferred basis, the swing away from the ALP was only 4.6%. ALP candidate Eden Foster secured 56.2% of the two-party preferred vote compared to 43.8% for Independent candidate Ian Cook. A yet to be calculated preference distribution between the Liberal and ALP candidates is likely to show a similar result between the two major parties. (The Poll Bludger has estimated the two-party preferred result between the two major parties will be ALP: 56.5% cf. LIB 43.5% – a swing of only 3.7% to the Liberals). Although Liberal Leader John Pesutto claimed on the night that the result "sent Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan a strong message" in fact the result underlined how far in front the ALP Government is. History shows that by-elections generally provide a strong swing to the Opposition, and particularly when a popular local member – like former Premier Daniel Andrews – resigns and is replaced.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA

Andrews slugged by voters

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Michael Warner
Herald Sun – Page: 7 : 24-Nov-22

Ian Cook is among a large field of Victorian election candidates who are contesting the seat of Mulgrave, which has been held by Premier Daniel Andrews since 2002. Independent exit polling at Mulgrave’s only early voting booth suggests that there could be a shock swing against Andrews. Cook’s campaign manager Emily Coltraine says with that preferences factored in, the exit polls show that Cook has 57.2 per cent of the vote compared with 42.8 per cent for Andrews; however, the exit polls comprise a sample of just 159 voters. Coltraine says many electors are telling Cook that they support Labor but will not vote for Andrews. Cook’s catering business was forced to shut down after a local council health inspector allegedly found a slug on the premises.

CORPORATES
VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

ALP fears for 10 seats amid late challenges as Victorian polling day nears

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by John Ferguson, Angelica Snowden
The Australian – Page: 6 : 24-Nov-22

Labor strategists believe that the party could potentially lose 8-10 seats at the Victorian election on Saturday, and these seats are likely to be targeted by both major political parties in the final days of the election campaign. The loss of so many seats could reduce Labor to a minority government, as some of these seats are likely to fall to Greens and independent candidates rather than the Coalition. Meanwhile, the state government’s Suburban Rail Loop dominated the election on Wednesday, with the Opposition pushing Premier Daniel Andrews to release costings for the project.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA

ALP Government of Daniel Andrews set to win with a reduced majority as support for L-NP grows – but will the trend continue?

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-Nov-22

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll shows that the Victorian ALP on 55% (down 2% points since early November) has an election-winning lead over the L-NP Coalition on 45% (up 2% points) on a two-party preferred basis. The Poll shows a swing of 2.3% points away from the ALP since the 2018 Victorian Election in which the ALP on 57.3% defeated the L-NP on 42.7% (a near record margin of 14.6% points). Primary vote support for the two major parties shows the ALP now at 38% (down 4.9% points from the 2018 Election) ahead of the L-NP on 32.5% (down 2.7% points). Support for the Greens is at 12.5% (up 1.8% points) while total support for ‘Other parties and independents’ is now at 17% (up 5.8% points). There are many seats on tight margins that will be closely contested at the election. If the Roy Morgan Poll result of a uniform swing of 2.3% points away from the ALP to the Liberal-National coalition is the outcome this would lead to five or six seats being lost to the Liberal Party. However, even if the Liberal Party does pick up five or six seats from the ALP Government they may lose three or four seats to a ‘Teal Independent’ candidate elsewhere. This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll was conducted with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,195 Victorian electors aged 18+ conducted from Tuesday November 22 to Wednesday November 23.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Victorians get poorer under Labor

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 10 : 23-Nov-22

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that Victoria’s gross household disposable income per person was $52,488 in 2021-22, which is the second-lowest among the states and territories. Victoria’s gross household disposable income per person had been ranked fourth in 1999, and reached the third-highest in the early 2000s. Former federal Treasury economist Stephen Anthony says the state government has overseen a "pyramid scheme" built on high debt; he says it is very clear that Premier Daniel Andrews has destroyed living standards and been "fiscally profligate". Victoria’s net debt is forecast to rise to $166bn in 2025-26, which equates to 24.6 per cent of the state’s economy

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

Greens reveal key policies ahead of Victorian election

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Mitch Clarke
Herald Sun – Page: Online : 16-Nov-22

Action on climate action and housing affordability are among the key demands that the Victorian Greens will seek in return for supporting Labor if it is unable to form a majority government after the state election. Amongst other things, the Greens would push for a total ban on onshore and offshore gas exploration and production, a statewide ban on logging in native forests, and capping rent increases in line with wages. Premier Daniel Andrews has consistently ruled out any deals with the Greens or independent candidates.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET

ALP lead over Coalition in Victoria narrows since October and is back to 2018 Election result as minor parties surge: ALP 57% cf. L-NP 43%

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 14-Nov-22

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll shows that the ALP has retained a large election-winning lead over the Liberal-National Coalition in Victoria. The ALP is now on 57% (down 3.5% points since campaigning began) on a two-party preferred basis, well ahead of the L-NP on 43% (up 3.5% points). The two-party preferred results of this week’s Snap SMS Poll are almost identical to the results from the 2018 Victorian Election in which the ALP on 57.3% defeated the L-NP on 42.7% – a margin of 14.6% points. However, comparing the primary voting results from this Snap SMS Poll to the 2018 Victorian Election shows a large move to minor parties and independents – the same thing Roy Morgan saw at this year’s Federal Election. Primary vote support for the two major parties shows the ALP now at 40% (down 2.9% points from the 2018 Victorian Election) ahead of the L-NP on 29% (down 6.2% points). Support for the Greens is at 11.5% (up 0.8% points) while total support for ‘Other parties and independents’ is now at 19.5% (up 8.3% points). Among the minor parties support for so-called ‘Teal Independents’ is now at 4.5% while there is 1% support for Derryn Hinch’s Justice Party, 0.5% support for Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party and 13.5% support other minor parties and independents. This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Poll was conducted with a Victoria-wide cross-section of 1,030 Victorian electors aged 18+ conducted from Wednesday November 9 to Thursday November 10.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, JUSTICE PARTY, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY

Full cost to party laid bare as counting ends

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Rachel Baxendale
The Australian – Page: 8 : 6-Dec-18

The Liberal and National parties will have just 28 seats in Victoria’s lower house in the state’s new parliament, compared with 37 prior to the election. Labor will have 56 seats in the Legislative Assembly after gaining 10 seats in the election rout, while the Greens will have three seats. Meanwhile, Labor is expected to have 18 seats in the upper house, with the Liberal Party set to have nine and crossbenchers to have up to 10 seats.

CORPORATES
LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, JUSTICE PARTY, REASON PARTY, LIBERAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY, SUSTAINABLE AUSTRALIA PARTY, ANIMAL JUSTICE PARTY, AUSSIE BATTLER PARTY