FISCAL POLICY – AUSTRALIA

PM puts budget relief on fast track

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 28-Nov-18

A federal election seems likely to be held on either 11 or 18 May, after the government announced that it will bring forward the 2019 Budget to 2 April. The government is also set to post the first Budget surplus since 2007-08 on the back of higher tax revenue. The Treasury has previously forecast a surplus of $2.2bn in 2019-20, following a deficit of $14.5bn in 2018-19. Shadow treasurer Chris Bowen advocates greater action on Budget repair due to the downside risks to the global economy.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD

Treasury warns on Australia’s debt

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Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 9 : 20-Nov-18

The federal government’s net debt was $342bn at the end of 2017-18, which equates to 18.6 per cent of GDP. Although this is relatively low compared with many nations, Treasury secretary Philip Gaetjens says debt needs to be reduced to ensure that Australia is prepared for potential economic shocks in the future. He notes that Australia’s healthy fiscal position in 2007 helped the economy to ride out the global financial crisis. Gaetjens has also expressed concern about a blowout in global debt in the wake of the GFC.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Windfall tax take balancing the books

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 4 : 26-Oct-18

New figures show that the federal government had a balanced Budget in the 12 months to September, with cash receipts and expenditure both totalling $257.4bn. Meanwhile, the deficit for the first three months of 2018-19 was just $10.5bn, well below the forecast of $19.5bn in May. The figures also show that company tax revenue was 13.8 per cent higher than in the first quarter of 2017-8 and personal income tax revenue was 6.3 per cent higher. Finance Minister Mathias Cormann says the improved Budget position will be at risk if Labor wins the next election.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Budget could balance this financial year

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 15-Oct-18

Finance Minister Mathias Cormann has indicated that the Budget bottom line was $6.6bn ahead of expectations in the first two months of 2018-19. The federal government has forecast a Budget deficit of $14.5bn for 2018-19, and the deficit was $8.9bn for the 12 months to 31 August. The government expects to achieve a surplus in 2019-20, but economist Chris Richardson says it could potentially do so in 2018-19. However, he says this will depend on the health of the economy and spending restraint by the government.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Surplus in sight ahead of election

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Original article by David Uren, Rick Morton
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 26-Sep-18

The Treasury has released figures showing that the Budget deficit for 2017-18 was $10.1bn, which equates to just 0.6 per cent of GDP. Treasury had forecast in May that the deficit for 2017-18 would be $18.2bn, and the initial forecast in the May 2017 Budget was for a deficit of $29.1bn. Factors such as jobs growth, a higher tax take and reduced government spending contributed to the improvement in the Budget position from a deficit of $33.2bn in 2016-17. However, Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has downplayed suggestions of a potential return to surplus in 2018-19.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF SOCIAL SERVICES

Coalition picks spend over surplus

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 25-Sep-18

The federal government will release the final Budget figures for 2017-18 on 25 September, which are expected to show that the deficit for the financial year was around $10bn. The government is set to retain its target date of 2019-20 for a return to a surplus, and sources have indicated that an earlier return to surplus is possible but unlikely. The government has announced additional expenditure of $3.8bn over four years since handing down the May 2018 Budget, and around $20bn over the next decade.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Bottom line pushes budget closer to surplus

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 4 : 27-Aug-18

The Australian Government’s May 2018 Budget had forecast a 2017-18 deficit of $14.5bn. Economists expect the final figure – which will be disclosed by the end of September – to be slightly below this. Company tax receipts for the full year are likely to be in line with Budget projections, although overall government revenue was tracking slightly below forecasts during the first 11 months of the financial year. Shane Oliver of AMP Capital says incoming Treasurer Josh Frydenberg is likely to face some revenue challenges in the medium-term.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, S&P GLOBAL INCORPORATED

AAA outlook remains negative: S&P

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 10-May-18

Credit ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has welcomed the Federal Government’s "fiscal prudence" in its May 2018 Budget. However, the firm has retained its negative outlook for Australia’s sovereign rating due to global factors such as the potential for an international trade war. Meanwhile, Jeremy Zook of Fitch Ratings says the Government’s revenue forecasts are "optimistic" and may affect its ability to deliver a surplus ahead of schedule.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, ERNST AND YOUNG, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Almost back in black as $126bn sliced off debt

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Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 9-May-18

The Federal Government has forecast a modest Budget surplus of $A2.2bn in 2019-20. The Budget had previously been expected to return to surplus in 2020-21, compared with a likely deficit of $A18.2bn in 2017-18. Meanwhile, Australia’s gross debt is now slated to be $A558bn in 2027-28, compared with expectations of $A684bn in the mid-year Budget update in December. Net debt is expected to fall to 3.8 per cent of GDP by 2029, down from a peak of 18.6 per cent in 2017-18.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC

Business pushes its case for restraint

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 4 : 3-May-18

A report released by the Business Council of Australia ahead of the Federal Government’s May 2018 Budget warns that achieving a surplus in 2020-21 is highly dependent on commodity prices remaining strong. The BCA also says Australia faces the prospect of large Budget deficits in the future unless action is taken to boost productivity. The employers’ group notes that growth in productivity has averaged just 1.2 per cent over the last decade.

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BUSINESS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY