FISCAL POLICY – AUSTRALIA

Plans to cut company tax responsible – Morrison

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Original article by Andrew Tillett
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 19-Feb-18

Treasurer Scott Morrison has downplayed concerns expressed by Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe about the potential impact of the Federal Government’s proposed company tax cuts. Morrison has stressed that Budget projections have already taken into account the long-term effect of the tax cuts, adding that the Government will not implement any policies that could threaten its timetable for returning the Budget to surplus. The Government also wants to include personal income tax cuts in the May 2018 Budget, again without risking the target date for a surplus.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES STANDING COMMITTEE ON ECONOMICS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, BIRINYI ASSOCIATES, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX

Budget to slice $23bn off debt pile

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 18-Dec-17

Australia’s gross debt is now expected to be about $A583bn in 2020-21, which is $A23bn lower than forecast in the Federal Government’s May 2017 Budget. Treasurer Scott Morrison says the revised debt forecast, which will be outlined in the mid-year Budget update on 18 December, will reduce the government’s annual interest bill by $A1bn. He adds that the government will now no longer be reliant on debt to finance recurrent expenditure, and borrowings will only be used for capital expenditure.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, HIGH COURT OF AUSTRALIA, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE

Stronger economy to cut size of deficit

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Original article by David Uren, Joe Kelly, John Ross
The Australian – Page: 2 : 15-Dec-17

The Federal Government’s May 2017 Budget had forecast a total deficit of $A46bn over four years. However, Westpac economists Bill Evans and Andrew Hanlan expect the mid-year budget update to revise this down to $A40bn. Westpac also forecasts a deficit of $A1.5bn in 2019-20, followed by a modest surplus in 2020-21. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has signalled that higher education funding will not be reduced in the budget update, although he has flagged new savings measures after the government’s proposed university funding cuts were rejected by the Senate.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, THE GROUP OF EIGHT LIMITED, GRATTAN INSTITUTE

Budget surplus to be brief: PBO

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 8-Dec-17

Treasurer Scott Morrison has downplayed modelling by the Parliamentary Budget Office which suggests that productivity will need to increase in order to ensure that a Budget surplus is sustained. The Federal Government has forecast that it will post surpluses equivalent to 0.3 per cent of GDP from 2020-21, although this is based on expectations that productivity growth will remain at the long-term average of 1.6 per cent. However, growth in productivity has averaged just 1.35 per cent over the last decade, and the PBO’s analysis has found that the Budget will be "broadly balanced" by 2027-28 unless productivity growth improves.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. PARLIAMENTARY BUDGET OFFICE, AUSTRALIA. PRODUCTIVITY COMMISSION, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

China behind budget’s improved look

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 27-Sep-17

The Federal Government has reported a Budget deficit of $A33.2bn for 2016-17. This is $A4.4bn lower than was forecast in May, and it is the nation’s smallest deficit since 2013. The improvement has been attributed to factors such as higher commodity prices due to continued strong demand in China, as well as reduced government expenditure on welfare as a result of growth in jobs. Goods and services tax and corporate tax revenue also rose.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Federal debt surges past half-a-trillion

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Original article by Eryk Bagshaw
The Sydney Morning Herald – Page: 4 : 14-Jun-17

The Australian Government’s gross debt has increased by $A9bn since early May 2017, to a record $A499bn. It is poised to rise above $A500bn in coming days, and it is projected to top $A663bn in 2020. The Government’s debt ceiling was increased to $A500bn by former treasurer Joe Hockey in 2013, but it was subsequently abolished later in the same year. One Nation senator Pauline Hanson and Liberal Party senator Dean Smith have urged the reintroduction of a formal debt ceiling.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, ONE NATION PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Ratings agency warns Coalition

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 9-May-17

The Australian Government’s May 2017 Budget is tipped to forecast a surplus in 2020-21. However, ratings agency Moody’s Investors Service has doubts regarding the Government’s ability to meet this target, as well as the economic growth forecasts in the Budget. Marie Diron of Moody’s says the firm will consider all aspects of the Government’s Budget consolidation policy over the next five years. She adds that the Australian economy’s trend growth is unlikely to be any higher than 2.75 per cent.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. PRODUCTIVITY COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Students face higher ed budget cuts

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 19-Apr-17

The Australian Government’s May 2017 Budget could include new measures that target university students and graduates. Stalled measures in the 2014 Budget are tipped to be abandoned, prompting speculation that the Government will seek to offset the failed $A7bn worth of spending cuts. These could potentially include an increase in students’ fees and a reduction in the income threshold for the repayment of HECS-HELP debts. At present, graduates must begin repaying their student debt when their annual income reaches $A54,869.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING

Forecast tax take out by $30bn

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 2 : 13-Jan-17

The Parliamentary Budget Office has released its review of the Australian Government’s mid-year budget update. It shows that the forecast for revenue from personal income tax was $A21.1bn lower than in the May 2016 Budget, while company tax revenue was scaled back by $A6.7bn. Meanwhile, the budget update included savings of some $A10bn due to a reduction in the forecast cost of age pensions, carers’ payments and childcare subsidies. The forecasts for spending on health and education were largely unchanged from the Budget.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. PARLIAMENTARY BUDGET OFFICE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HUMAN SERVICES. CENTRELINK

There’s little future in not debating funds use

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Original article by Judith Sloan
The Australian – Page: 4 : 23-Dec-16

The Mid-year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO), issued on 20 December 2016, contains information that Future Fund’s net earnings will be included in MYEFO’s projections. Therefore, the projected surplus for 2020-21 of $A1 billion will be achieved by the inclusion of the planned withdrawals from the Future Fund in the national accounts. The matter deserves to be publically discussed.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY