Treasurer won’t pledge to a surplus

Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 21-Dec-16

The expected Budget surplus of $A1.087bn in 2020-21 equates to about 0.05 per cent of GDP. Ratings agencies have warned that the Federal Government must achieve a surplus by 2020-21 in order to retain its triple-A credit rating, but Treasurer Scott Morrison claims that he has never committed to that target date. He says the Government will seek to balance the Budget as quickly and responsibly as possible, and stressed that this will require the support of Parliament.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, MYOB GROUP LIMITED – ASX MYO, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES

Blocked $13.2bn in savings to secure AAA: Morrison

Original article by David Uren, Rosie Lewis
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 21-Dec-16

Treasurer Scott Morrison argues that delivering on savings measures that have been blocked by the Senate would enable the Federal Government to achieve a modest Budget surplus in 2020-21. He has ruled any budget cuts in addition to those that have already been put to Parliament and blocked. Many of these measures were announced in the Coalition’s first Budget in 2014, and it still appears to be unlikely that some will be passed by the upper house.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, LIBERAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY, ONE NATION PARTY, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS

Downgrade is on its way

Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 : 20-Dec-16

S&P Global Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service and Fitch Ratings have decided against downgrading Australia’s AAA credit rating following the release of the Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook on 19 December 2016. However, S&P warned that Australia’s fiscal position could worsen. Stephen Walters, chief economist at the Australian Institute of Company Directors, says Australia is almost certain to lose the highest credit rating.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN INSTITUTE OF COMPANY DIRECTORS

Tax take smashed and getting worse

Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 9 : 20-Dec-16

The Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook, released by Federal Treasurer Scott Morrison on 19 December 2016, shows that government revenue will be $A30 billion lower than forecast in the May 2016 budget. A positive effect of higher commodity prices will not be strong enough to compensate for lower tax revenue resulting from weak wages growth and lower than projected corporate tax collection in non-mining sectors.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY

Budget’s $100bn reality check

Original article by David Crowe, David Uren
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 19-Dec-16

The Australian Government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook is expected to show that the combined Budget deficit for the next four years will be close to $A100bn. Finance Minister Mathias ­Cormann has warned that the rally in the price of iron ore and coal will not be sufficient to offset falling revenue from corporate and income tax. The MYEFO is tipped to scale back the May 2016 Budget forecasts for growth in wages and employment.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. NATIONAL COMMISSION OF AUDIT, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

AAA could go at any time

Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 15-Dec-16

Moody’s Investors Service and S&P Global Ratings have signalled that Australia’s triple-A credit rating could potentially be downgraded on 19 December 2016, following the release of the mid-year budget update. Both credit rating agencies have previously warned that the triple-A rating could be at risk if the Government fails to meet its target of 2020-21 for returning the Budget to surplus. Meanwhile, Adam Boynton of Deutsche Bank has forecast that nominal GDP growth will be 3.25 per cent in 2017-18, compared with the May Budget forecast of five per cent.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Crackdown on cash economy targets billions

Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 14-Dec-16

The Federal Government’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook will include the creation of a taskforce aimed at combating the cash economy. It will be headed by former KPMG executive Michael Andrew, and one of its priorities will be to investigate the large number of $A100 notes that are in circulation, despite the growing trend toward electronic payments. The taskforce’s final report will be delivered in October 2017. It is estimated that the cash economy accounts for about 1.5 per cent of Australia’s GDP, which equates to $A21bn.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, KPMG, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL POLICE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HUMAN SERVICES, AUSTRALIA. ATTORNEY-GENERAL’S DEPT. AUSTRALIAN TRANSACTION REPORTS AND ANALYSIS CENTRE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF IMMIGRATION AND BORDER PROTECTION, CHARTERED ACCOUNTANTS AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL AUDIT OFFICE, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. BOARD OF TAXATION, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Morrison on notice as debt soars

Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 13-Dec-16

Ratings agency Moody’s has forecast that the combined debt of Australia’s federal and state governments will rise to about $A690bn by mid-2017, compared with $A642bn in June 2016. Treasurer Scott Morrison will release the mid-year economic and fiscal outlook on 19 December, and Marie Diron of Moody’s says the Government is likely to reduce the deficit but at a slower pace than forecast in the May 2016 Budget. Moody’s is not expecting to downgrade Australia’s triple-A credit rating, although rival S&P Global Ratings put it on "negative watch" earlier in 2016.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, DELOITTE TOUCHE TOHMATSU LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING

Labor blow to economy after GFC

Original article by Simon Benson
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 9-Dec-16

Economist Tony Makin has concluded that the $A100bn fiscal stimulus package of former prime minister Kevin Rudd was in fact detrimental to the economy. Makin has reviewed the stimulus program on behalf of the Treasury, and noted that apart from wasting taxpayers’ funds on unnecessary expenditure, it hurt the local manufacturing industry. Makin also refutes suggestions that fiscal stimulus helped to protect the domestic economy from the full impact of the global financial crisis, arguing that factors such as a falling Australian dollar, low interest rates and demand for commodities played a greater role.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, GRIFFITH UNIVERSITY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Budgets too crucial to leave to MPs

Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 5-Dec-16

Chartered Accountants Australia & New Zealand argues that the Parliamentary Budget Office should be given responsibility for monitoring the federal budget. It also calls for politicians to cease using the size of government as a criteria in assessing the nation’s financial health, while the impact of major policy decisions should be projected over a decade. CAANZ has also criticised the fiscal policies of the Howard and Rudd governments.

CORPORATES
CHARTERED ACCOUNTANTS AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND, AUSTRALIA. PARLIAMENTARY BUDGET OFFICE, INSTITUTE FOR FISCAL STUDIES, GERMANY. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC EXPERTS