FUND MANAGERS

Cracks emerging in the case for being bullish

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 22-Mar-18

The potential for a trade war has been identified as the biggest risk to the global bull market in a survey of fund managers by Bank of America Merrill Lynch. The prospect of a trade war has topped the list of "tail risks" for the first time since January 2017, in the wake of the tariff policies of US President Donald Trump. A sharp rise in inflation and a slowdown in global economic growth were the other key risks identified by the survey of 176 fund managers. However, 58 per cent of respondents expect growth of at least 10 per cent in global earnings per share over the next 12 months.

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA, FACEBOOK INCORPORATED, APPLE INCORPORATED, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, NETFLIX INCORPORATED, BAIDU.COM INCORPORATED, ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED, TENCENT HOLDINGS LIMITED

Christmas rally shows no sign of slowdown

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 18 : 21-Dec-17

The latest survey of fund managers by Bank of America Merrill Lynch suggests that the global sharemarket rally may continue into 2018. The December survey shows that the average cash balance of respondents has increased from 4.4 per cent to 4.7 per cent, compared with the average over the last decade of 4.5 per cent. The survey also found that 54 per cent of the 203 respondents expect global economic growth to be above trend over the next year, while inflation is expected to be below trend.

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, FACEBOOK INCORPORATED, APPLE INCORPORATED, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, ALPHABET INCORPORATED, BAIDU.COM INCORPORATED, ALIBABA.COM CORPORATION, TENCENT HOLDINGS LIMITED, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED

Fund managers wind back expectations and hoard a little extra cash

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 17-Aug-17

Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s latest survey of fund managers shows that just 33 per cent expect a rise in global corporate profits in the next 12 months, compared with 58 per cent in February 2017. Chief investment strategist ­Michael Hartnett says the survey provides a "warning sign" of the likely performance of shares against bonds, as well as cyclical stocks against defensive stocks. The survey also found that the average cash balance of the 174 respondents is now 4.9 per cent, compared with an average of 4.5 per cent over the last decade.

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MSCI WORLD INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, NASDAQ, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

Trump win would trigger volatility: fund managers

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 20-Oct-16

A survey of global fund managers shows that 53 per cent expect financial market volatility to increase if Republican Party candidate Donald Trump wins the US presidential election. The Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey also found that 55 per cent of respondents think equities and bonds are overvalued, while 44 per cent anticipate that treasury yields will be the biggest influence on share prices during the next six months.

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, REPUBLICAN PARTY (UNITED STATES)