GOVERNMENT SPENDING POLICY – AUSTRALIA

$10 billion more in spending cuts, changes aimed at inflation fight

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Original article by Shane Wright
The Sydney Morning Herald – Page: Online : 12-Dec-23

Treasurer Jim Chalmers and Finance Minister Katy Gallagher will release the mid-year budget update on Wednesday, and they are tipped to reveal that almost $10 billion in federal spending will either be cut or redirected to other areas to help fight inflation. However, the budget update will also include $5.2 billion in what the federal government has labelled ‘unavoidable’ spending, including $1.5 billion to end a special COVID-era visa program and $254 million on additional biosecurity spending, including on efforts to stop a growing incursion of imported red fire ants.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Chalmers hints at cost-of-living relief

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Original article by Michael Read
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 5-Dec-23

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says households should not expect significant cost-of-living relief in the federal government’s mid-year update. However, he adds that the government may be open to further measures in its May 2024 Budget, depending on factors such as economic conditions at that time. Meanwhile, the national accounts data for the September quarter will be released on Wednesday; Chalmers says the data is likely to reflect the impact on economic growth of 13 interest rate rises since May 2022. The general consensus of economists is that the economy expanded by 0.4 per cent in the quarter.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Bill shock fears risk NDIS deal

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Original article by Sarah Ison, Stephen Lunn, Greg Brown
The Australian – Page: 1 & 5 : 30-Nov-23

The federal government will push for an overhaul of the National Disability Insurance Scheme at a meeting of the national cabinet on 6 December. However, several state and territory governments are believed to have warned that they will not agree to any NDIS reforms unless they know just how much the changes will cost them. NDIS Minister Bill Shorten has declined to comment on how the proposed reforms would affect state government budgets. However, he has emphasised the urgency of reining in the cost of the scheme.

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Labor hints at further cost respite

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Original article by Phillip Coorey, Michael Read
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 12-Jul-23

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the federal government’s bigger-than-expected budget surplus for 2022-23 is in addition to cost-of-living relief than than instead of it. Addressing an event hosted by the Brotherhood of St Laurence in Melbourne on Tuesday night, Chalmers said the surplus of around $20bn will give the government the flexibility to provide further cost-of-living relief if this proves to be necessary, after the 9 May budget included expenditure of $14.6bn on such measures over the forward estimates period. Meanwhile, independent economist Chris Richardson says the recent fall in commodity prices means that a second successive surplus in 2023-24 is now much less certain than on budget night.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, BROTHERHOOD OF ST LAURENCE

Government debt bill poised to double: IMF

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Original article by Michael Read
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 13-Apr-23

The International Monetary Fund has forecast that federal and state government spending as a share of the Australian economy will settle about two per cent above its pre-pandemic average. It also expects the general government interest bill to account for 1.8 per cent of GDP by 2028; this is more than double the size of the interest bill in the years leading up to the pandemic. Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the federal budget has structural issues, due to factors such as the growing debt bill, the rising cost of the National Disability Insurance Scheme and spending in areas such as health, aged care and defence.

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INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

$368b unremarkable, says Marles

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 15-Mar-23

The federal government has disclosed that the deal to acquire nuclear-power submarines will cost $9bn over the next four years and up to $58bn over the next decade. However, this will be offset by savings elsewhere in the defence budget. The nuclear submarines program is slated to cost between $268bn and $368bn over the next 30 years, which Defence Minister Richard Marles has described as an "unremarkable amount" for any major government policy over three decades. In contrast, the National Disability Insurance Scheme is expected to cost some $2trn over the same period.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF DEFENCE

Billions more in military spending won’t be enough to counter China: Morrison

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Original article by Paul Sakkal
Brisbane Times – Page: Online : 7-Mar-23

Former prime minister Scott Morrison says Australia’s defence budget should be increased to at least 2.5 per cent of GDP, compared with less than two per cent at present. Morrison contends that a big increase in defence spending is needed in order to counter the rise of China in the Indo-Pacific region; however, he concedes that Australia could not hope to defeat China in a military conflict, so alliances with countries such as the US and India are vital. The Chinese government recently revealed plans to increase its defence spending by seven per cent in 2023, to $330 billion. In contrast, Australia’s annual defence budget is currently $48.7bn, and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese wants to lift this to more than two per cent of GDP.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

PM demands budget spending offsets

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 7-Feb-23

The current inflation rate stands at 7.8 per cent, and Treasurer Jim Chalmers told parliament on 6 February that it is "obviously unacceptably high" and will stay higher than the government would like for longer than it would prefer. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese says spending restraint must be the theme of its 10 May budget, particularly as around 20 per cent of all mortgage loans will switch from fixed rates in 2023 to much higher variable rates. It is understood that Albanese has told his ministers not to come up with new spending proposals for the budget unless they are accompanied by offsets

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Chalmers still open to JobSeeker increase

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Original article by Sarah Ison
The Australian – Page: 2 : 18-Jan-23

Australian Council of Social Service CEO Cassandra Goldie has called for the JobSeeker payment to be increased from $48 per day to at least $73. The Greens in turn advocate increasing it to $88 per day. Treasurer Jim Chalmers has indicated that he may be open to increasing JobSeeker, after some members of the federal government’s economic inclusion advisory committee supported such a move. However, he has reiterated the need to take into account other pressures on the economy. Gareth Aird from the Commonwealth Bank cautions that increasing JobSeeker would boost inflation and may create a disincentive for unemployed people to work.

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AUSTRALIAN COUNCIL OF SOCIAL SERVICE, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Shorten: NDIS blows out to $50b

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Original article by Phillip Coorey, Michael Read
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 19-Oct-22

The federal government will bring forward a review of the National Disability Insurance Scheme, amid growing concern about the rising cost of the program. NDIS Minister Bill Shorten says the review will examine its operation, sustainability and responsiveness to participants’ needs. He has conceded that many people who use the NDIS do not have "complex needs". Shorten has revealed that the government’s first Budget on 25 October would show that the projected cost of the NDIS will rise by $8.8bn over the next four years, to $50bn a year. The former Coalition government had estimated that it would cost $44.6bn annually by 2025-26.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF SOCIAL SERVICES