INCOME – AUSTRALIA

Michele Levine, CEO, Roy Morgan Research, comments on the findings in State of the Nation 25: Spotlight on Financial Risk

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Aug-16

The end of the mining boom in Australia presents the Australian economy with many pressing challenges – and some of the biggest involve the potential for a slowing Australian economy to increase mortgage stress around the country, and also to lead to diminished superannuation balances for Australians heading towards retirement. The casualisation of the Australian work-force with an increasing proportion of Australians working part-time rather than full-time means many Australians are forced to save less for their retirement whilst the ability to pay current bills, including mortgage payments, is also crimped. In addition, the persistently low interest rates in Australia mean the amount required for retirement actually increases as annual returns on investments follow interest rates lower. Follow this link to view the full State of the Nation 25: Spotlight on Financial Risk Powerpoint presentation PDF.

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ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

State of the Nation 25: Spotlight on Financial Risk

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Aug-16

Roy Morgan Research CEO Michele Levine this week presented the latest State of the Nation Report in Melbourne and Sydney, with a special Spotlight on Financial Risk including Mortgage debt and stress, Income risks and the adequacy of retirement funding. Key findings of this in-depth industry spotlight include: Home ownership in Australia is likely to continue its downward trend whilst house price increases outpace the increase in household incomes; Mortgage stress levels are likely to remain elevated even with the likelihood of further interest rate reductions by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) over the coming 12-18 months. Official Australian interest rates are already at a record low of 1.5% and likely to converge with the 0% interest rates found in comparable Western economies including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada and the EU; Household debt levels could become a risk for both households and banks should general economic conditions turn down; The reliance on dual incomes for home loans repayments by many Australian families is a risk in itself with the increasing trend towards part-time work throughout much of the economy and with the additional factor of low wages growth and many more. View the full release to see a comprehensive run-down of findings.

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ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

Voters open to jobs message as the good times stall

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 11-Jul-16

The average real household income in Australia has risen by just 1.2 per cent since mid-2011, according to an analysis by Ben Phillips of the Australian National University’s Centre for Social Research & Method. In contrast, real household incomes in mid-2011 were 17 per cent higher than in 2006. Meanwhile, wages have risen by just nine per cent since March 2012, while there has been a significant increase in costs such as childcare, gas bills and medical expenses over this period.

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AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY. CENTRE FOR SOCIAL RESEARCH AND METHOD, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Modelling shows company tax cut ‘not in national interest’

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Original article by Ben Potter
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 13-Apr-16

Victoria University’s Centre of Policy Studies has released economic modelling which concludes that a corporate tax rate cut would in turn result in a reduction in real incomes. The modelling was undertaken by Dr Janine Dixon, who says that while a lower company tax rate would increase domestic production, real incomes would be cut by between $A800 and $A2,000 in present value terms. The corporate tax rate is currently 30 per cent.

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VICTORIA UNIVERSITY. CENTRE OF POLICY STUDIES, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MELBOURNE ECONOMIC FORUM

High income households plan to spend almost $50,000 on the next new car – a third above the norm

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-Sep-15

A Roy Morgan Single Source survey has found that more than 2.2 million Australians aged 14+ intend to buy a new car in the next four years. The average household income of new car intenders is $A133,000 per year, and the average anticipated cost of their next car is $A36,840 – equivalent to almost 28 per cent of annual earnings. The survey, which was carried out in the year to June 2015, also shows that new car intenders in households earning $A200,000 or more per year expect their next car to cost an average of $A48,830. Meanwhile, 12 per cent of all new car intenders expect to spend less than $A20,000 on their next car and 15 per cent expect to spend $A50,000 or more.

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ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

Income hit to living standards

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 4-Jun-15

New figures show that Australia’s real GDP grew by a higher-than-expected 0.9 per cent in the March 2015 quarter, and by 2.3 per cent year-on-year. However, real GDP growth has remained below the long-run average for the last 11 quarters, while average income has fallen in each of the last four quarters. Treasurer Joe Hockey says the GDP data highlights the continued strength of the domestic economy, but economist Dr Andrew Charlton is concerned about the outlook for the economy and the nation’s living standards.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, ALPHABETA, THE BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

Living standards rise again

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 24-Mar-15

Research by the National Centre for Social & Economic Modelling at the University of Canberra shows that household incomes in Australia rose by 2.7 per cent in 2014. Meanwhile, the cost of living increased by just 1.4 per cent. The latter trend is the result of lower energy costs

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UNIVERSITY OF CANBERRA. NATIONAL CENTRE FOR SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC MODELLING, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Debt soars on the home front

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 2 : 5-Jan-15

A report from the Reserve Bank shows that Australia’s total housing debt now exceeds total household income by 39 per cent. This compared with a differential of just 29 per cent prior to the global financial crisis (GFC). Meanwhile, the interest paid on mortgage loans now accounts for about 7.2 per cent of household income, down from nearly 11 per cent prior to the GFC. The figures also show that total household assets significantly exceed household disposable income

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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Hockey warns living standards could fall

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 4-Dec-14

Australia’s economic growth slowed to just 0.3 per cent in the September 2014 quarter, and by 2.7 per cent year-on-year. Economic growth contracted in all states except New South Wales. The national accounts also show that Australia has entered an "income recession", with real net disposable income contracting in the last two quarters. Treasurer Joe Hockey has urged opposition parties to support government policy in the Senate, warning that a decline in living standards is likely if reforms are not implemented

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, PALMER UNITED PARTY, BUSINESS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA

Income slump will be a ‘shock’: Treasury

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Original article by Amanda Saunders,{SPAC}Jenny Wiggins
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 12-Sep-14

Australia’s per capital income has increased by 2.25 per cent a year over the last three decades. Federal Treasury secretary Martin Parkinson has warned that this is likely to slow to less than one per cent in the next decade due to an expected decline in the nation’s terms of trade. He has told a Business Council of Australia forum that the public is unprepared for the forthcoming decline in income growth and has called for sweeping changes to the tax system

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY,{SPAC}BUSINESS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA,{SPAC}AUSTRALIAN COUNCIL OF SOCIAL SERVICE