INTEREST RATES – AUSTRALIA

Strong economies need profitable banks, says Wilson

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Original article by James Frost, Vesna Poljak, Aleks Vickovich, Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 16 : 9-Oct-19

Wilson Asset Management chairman Geoff Wilson has rejected criticism of Australia’s major banks for failing to pass on the latest official interest rate cut in full. He contends that strong and profitable banks are essential for a strong economy, and he estimates that the sector’s earnings would be $4.5bn-$6bn lower if banks had reduced their mortgage interest rates by 0.75 per cent since June, in line with the Reserve Bank. Bendigo & Adelaide Bank chairman Robert Johanson has also dismissed claims by Prime Minister Scott Morrison that the banks are profiteering by withholding interest rate cuts.

CORPORATES
WILSON ASSET MANAGEMENT, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

QE would kill finance and capitalism, McKibbin warns

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Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 9-Oct-19

Former Reserve Bank board member Warwick McKibbin has cautioned against any move to reduce implement quantitative easing in Australia. He argues that unconventional monetary policy in Europe is merely propping up financially unsustainable businesses while restricting access to capital for new businesses. He adds that reducing interest rates below a certain level merely distorts capital without providing any economic stimulus. Some economists expect the cash rate to fall to 0.5 per cent in coming months.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY

We’ve ourselves to blame for paying banks too much

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Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 12 : 8-Oct-19

Australia’s banks have attracted widespread criticism for reducing their mortgate rates by about half of the 0.25 per cent official interest rate cut on 1 October. However, banks are entitled to pass on as much or as little of the cash rate cut as they like, and customers can easily switch to another lender if they are dissatisfied. Consumers effectively pay a loyalty tax for remaining with their existing lender; this may be more appropriately called a stupidity tax, as it raises some $6.3bn each year for mortgage lenders. While banks are the biggest beneficiary of the stupidity tax, it is paid across the economy.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION

Banks face heat over loyalty tax

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Original article by Patrick Durkin, James Frost, Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 2 : 7-Oct-19

Australian Competition & Consumer Commission chairman Rod Sims has suggested that the nation’s banks are trying to "dud" their loyal customers. Sims, who is hoping Treasurer Josh Frydenberg will grant the ACCC’s request to conduct an inquiry into the competitive strength of the big banks, was commenting on the gap between mortgage interest rates offered to new borrowers and those offered to existing customers; the gap is generally half a percentage point. The banks have argued in private that it is not possible to offer the same competitive rates to all borrowers.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN BANKING ASSOCIATION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, EVANS AND PARTNERS PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, DELOITTE TOUCHE TOHMATSU LIMITED

Savers do it tough as banks hold off cuts

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro, Aleks Vickovich, Jemima Whyte
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 4-Oct-19

People who rely on interest income from their savings have been hard hit by the Reserve Bank of Australia’s aggressive monetary policy easing. Canstar notes that banks’ 12-month deposit rates have traditionally been about one per cent higher than the cash rate, but this has narrowed to 0.64 per cent. Term deposit rates and online savings account rates have both fallen sharply since the first of three official interest rate cuts in June, and Canstar’s Steve Mickenbecker says there is little scope for further reductions.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CANSTAR PTY LTD, UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY, SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, SUNCORP BANK, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Squeeze on banks a risk to economy

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Original article by Jemima Whyte, Jonathan Shapiro, Aleks Vickovich, Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 4-Oct-19

The ANZ Bank’s chief economist Warren Hogan has rejected claims by Prime Minister Scott Morrison that the nation’s major banks are ‘profiteering’ by failing to pass on the latest official interest rate cut in full to their home loan customers. He says the banks are merely seeking to protect their margins. Meanwhile, the Australian Banking Association has stressed the importance of ‘strong, stable and profitable banks’ to economic growth and the free flow of credit.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN BANKING ASSOCIATION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY, SYDNEY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, HYPERION ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, UNISUPER LIMITED, IFM INVESTORS PTY LTD, EVANS AND PARTNERS PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

Banks blasted for holding back on cuts

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 17 & 20 : 3-Oct-19

Westpac has reduced its mortgage interest rates by 15 basis points in response to the latest official interest rate cut, while the ANZ Bank has cut its rates by 14 basis points. Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Treasurer Josh Frydenberg have criticised the four major banks for failing to reduce their mortgage rates in line with the 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate. Meanwhile, analysts warn that the banks’ margins will come under pressure due to official interest rate cuts.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, REGAL FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, SUNCORP BANK, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, ATHENA HOME LOANS PTY LTD, RATECITY PTY LTD

RBA inflation goal requires negative rates

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 3-Oct-19

Andrew Boak, the chief economist at Goldman Sachs, says there is a material risk that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate to less than 0.5 per cent and implement a quantitative easing program. Boak adds that the central bank’s own macroeconomic model suggests that a negative cash rate would be needed to deliver on its inflation and employment targets over the next 2-3 years. Boak expects the cash rate to be cut by another 25 basis points in November, while financial markets have fully priced in a rate cut by February.

CORPORATES
GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

RBA one step away from QE

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Original article by Matthew Cranston, John Kehoe, Aleks Vickovich
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 2-Oct-19

The Australian dollar reached an intra-day low of $US66.94 in local trading on 1 October, after the Reserve Bank of Australia reduced the cash rate to 0.75 per cent. RBA governor Philip Lowe signalled that the central bank is prepared to further ease monetary policy if necessary. The third rate cut in 2019 has heightened expectations that the cash rate will fall to 0.5 per cent in November. Andrew Boak of Goldman Sachs warns that this may be insufficient to lift inflation to within the RBA’s target range over the next several years. He adds that this in turn could necessitate further rate cuts, as well as the potential for quantitative easing.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

Profit-taking possible even with interest rate cut

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 1-Oct-19

Most economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to reduce the cash rate to 0.75 per cent on 1 October, and there is widespread expectation that it will fall to 0.5 per cent by February. Financial markets have priced in an 80 per cent chance of a rate cut in October. Although a rate cut is by no means certain, the Australian dollar could rally if the RBA opts to leave rates on hold, and subsequent profit-taking could see the local sharemarket retreat in the near-term. However, the RBA could potentially hold off on easing monetary policy until the outcome of the upcoming US-China trade talks.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA