INTEREST RATES – AUSTRALIA

Record debt levels to keep RBA on hold

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Original article by Myriam Robin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 12-Jul-17

PIMCO Australia Robert Mead notes that a rise in the nation’s household debt-to-income ratio to a record high has coincided with a downturn in household debt in other developed countries. He warns that it will be hard for the Reserve Bank to increase the cash rate in the near-term, given the growth in household debt and residential property prices. With little prospect of a local rate rise for some time, US interest rates could potentially soon return to parity with Australian rates for the first time in 15 years.

CORPORATES
PIMCO AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, PACIFIC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

NAB acts to reduce riskiest lending

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 22 : 7-Jul-17

National Australia Bank will begin assessing the ability of interest-only mortgage borrowers to repay their loan when deciding whether to approve such applications. NAB already takes into account a customer’s loan-to-income ratio when assessing all loan applications, but it will reject applications from people with high loan-to-income ratios from 8 July. The major banks have increased the interest rates on interest-only loans in recent months.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, ING DIRECT

‘Savers the big losers’ from rate rises

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Original article by Myriam Robin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 6-Jul-17

Data from Canstar shows that just 15 out of 75 Australian lenders have increased their term deposit interest rates since the last official interest rate cut in August 2016. Steve Mickenbecker of Canstar says term deposit rates have fallen to an unprecedented low, and he warns that rates are unlikely to rise while inflation remains low. He adds that savers can adopt a number of strategies to obtain higher term deposit rates, but this requires a lot of effort. Meanwhile, banks are increasing their rates on interest-only and investor mortgage loans.

CORPORATES
CANSTAR PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

RBA douses talk of rate rises

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Original article by David Rogers, Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 17 & 25 : 5-Jul-17

Financial markets have priced in a nine per cent chance of a rise in Australia’s cash rate before the end of 2017 in the wake of the Reserve Bank’s July board meeting. The chances of a rate rise in the next 12 months have fallen from 84 per cent to 76 per cent. The central bank’s monetary policy statement was largely unchanged from May, although the Reserve Bank noted that a gradual strengthening of the Australia economy is likely. It also highlighted the need for the Australian dollar to remain low as the domestic economy completes its transition from the mining investment boom.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, BANK OF ENGLAND, BANK OF CANADA

CBA joins peers in raising rates

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 26 : 28-Jun-17

The Commonwealth Bank will increase the interest rates on its owner-occupier and interest-only mortgage loans by 30 basis points. This follows a similar move by its major rivals, while interest rates on principal-and-interest loans for owner-occupiers will be reduced by three basis points. Commonwealth Bank hopes the rate adjustments will prompt more customers to switch from interest-only loans to principal-and-interest loans.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, BANK OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

BIS sounds warning on our debt levels

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Original article by Myriam Robin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 26-Jun-17

Data from the Reserve Bank shows that Australia’s household debt-to-income ratio is currently at a record 189 per cent. Meanwhile, the Bank for International Settlements notes that the Australian economy is one of several that have high levels of household debt which would be vulnerable in the event of a sharp rise in interest rates. The BIS report also notes that the cost of servicing this debt is already having an impact on economic growth.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS

Rate hikes starting to take a toll on borrowers

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 19 & 23 : 21-Jun-17

The proportion of Australian home loan customers that are in arrears rose by five basis points to 1.21 per cent in April 2017. Erin Kitson of Standard & Poor’s says moves by lenders to raise mortgage interest rates independently of the Reserve Bank in recent months was a major contributor to this trend. The rate rises have been prompted by a regulatory crackdown on interest-only mortgage loans. Meanwhile, Australian Securities & Investments Commission chairman Greg Medcraft has stressed the need for responsible lending.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CANSTAR PTY LTD, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, SOCIETE GENERALE SA

Resource states recover to drive jobs growth

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 6 : 16-Jun-17

The Australian Bureau of Statistics has reported that 42,000 new jobs were added to the economy in May 2017. Full-time jobs accounted for 80 per cent of the 141,000 new jobs in the past three months. New South Wales added 49,000 new jobs over the past six months, while Victoria added 41,000. Resources states Queensland and Western Australia both recorded improved jobs growth in the past six months. Kristina Clifton of the Commonwealth Bank said the recent good job figures means an interest rate cut is unlikely in the foreseeable future.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Mortgage rate hikes pressure income

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 24 : 14-Jun-17

Data from RateCity shows that Australian mortgage interest rates for investors and borrowers with interest-only loans have generally risen by about 56 basis points in the last two months. Lenders have increased home loan interest rates seven times in the last two years, with rates for interest-only loans rising more quickly than those for owner-occupiers as lenders seek to shift customers from interest-only loans to principal-and-interest products. Martin Crabb of Shaw & Partners notes that a rise in home loan repayments is having an adverse impact on the level of household savings.

CORPORATES
RATECITY PTY LTD, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Outlook ‘tough’ as economy slows

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 27 : 8-Jun-17

Data from Credit Suisse shows that financial markets expect the cash rate to remain on hold in the next 12 months, following the release of the latest GDP data. The economy expanded by just 0.3 per cent in the March 2017 quarter, and year-on-year growth fell to an eight-year low of 1.7 per cent. The data will cast doubt on the Reserve Bank’s forecast of calendar year economic growth of 2.5-3.5 per cent. The Commonwealth Bank notes that the central bank will be adverse to easing the cash rate, as doing so could further inflate house prices.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, TOLL HOLDINGS LIMITED, GOODMAN GROUP – ASX GMG