INTEREST RATES – AUSTRALIA

November RBA rate cut gains traction

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Original article by Rose Powell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 5-Oct-15

Data from Bloomberg shows that financial markets believe there is a 27 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate by 25 basis points on 6 October 2015. Economists have cited factors such as the recent fall in the value of the Australian dollar and an improvement in business confidence as some of the factors that will influence the central bank’s decision. Citigroup anticipates a rate cut in November.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, BLOOMBERG LP, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

RBA needs to cut official interest rate to 1.5pc: ANZ

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 25-Sep-15

The ANZ Bank says Australia’s unemployment rate of 6.2 per cent is unlikely to fall significantly in the near-term due to factors such as slowing global economic growth and the uncertain outlook for the Chinese economy. Chief economist Warren Hogan warns that the unemployment rate could potentially rise over the next year or so. ANZ believes that a combination of factors means the Reserve Bank will have to reduce the cash rate in both February and May 2016.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

$A overshoots as iron ore export volumes up again

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 10-Sep-15

The Australian dollar is trading at around $US0.70, having recently fallen to $US0.6896. However, Annette Beacher of TD Securities argues that the rebound in the iron ore price means the currency should be trading at the $US0.76 level. Meanwhile, Beacher says the Reserve Bank is likely to maintain the cash rate at two per cent in the wake of the currency’s recent downturn.

CORPORATES
TD SECURITIES, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, GROUP OF TEN (G-10)

Investor rate rises prompt owner-occupiers to switch

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 3-Sep-15

A growing number of home loan customers are alerting banks they have changed their status from investor to owner-occupier. While they had no incentive to do so before, banks are now charging investors higher interest rates for the first time since the 1990s. The industry says the trend may involve thousands of customers, complicating the compilation of official statistics.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, YELLOW BRICK ROAD HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX YBR, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Reserve Bank calls out big banks on high credit card profits

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Original article by Shaun Drummond
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 20-Aug-15

The Reserve Bank of Australia says interest rates on credit cards, which spiked after the global financial crisis, have remained high despite the fall in the cash rate since then. Advertised rates have risen from 16 per cent eight years ago to about 20 per cent on standard credit cards. It is estimated the "spread" the banks earn on cards above the cost of funding them has risen from about six percentage points in 2007 to nine in the March quarter of 2015.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RETAIL FINANCE INTELLIGENCE PTY LTD

Housing ‘fascination’ won’t make us rich

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 13-Aug-15

Almost 75 per cent of the increase in the ratio of net wealth to gross domestic product since the late 1980s is due to higher land prices. This is distinct from the value of houses built on that land, according to Reserve Bank of Australia deputy governor Philip Lowe, who claims Australia’s fascination with housing is in reality a fascination with land. He also concludes the obsession with property is not making the nation better off as a whole, with low interest rates implying low returns for savers and low underlying returns on assets.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Westpac’s $1m-a-day IT glitch

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Original article by James Eyers, Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 28-Jul-15

The Commonwealth and ANZ banks increased their mortgage interest rates for property investors in late July 2015, while cutting fixed interest rates for owner-occupiers. However, Westpac and National Australia Bank currently have a single reference rate for both types of customers, which has forced the latter to increase interest rates for both. Westpac’s IT systems do not allow it to charge different interest rates at present, which is said to be costing it about $A1.15m each day.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, BANK OF MELBOURNE LIMITED, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. FOREIGN INVESTMENT REVIEW BOARD, AUSSIE HOME LOANS LIMITED, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Dipping Australian dollar tipped to drop below US60c

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 21-Jul-15

Deltec International Group’s Atul Lele says further interest rate cuts and fiscal policy easing are needed in Australia due to the country’s uncertain economic outlook. He says the economic downturn in Canada is likely to be replicated in Australia, and forecasts that the Australian dollar will fall below the $US0.70 level by the end of 2015. He also warns of the potential for it to fall below $US0.60.

CORPORATES
DELTEC INTERNATIONAL GROUP, BANK OF CANADA

Canada, NZ moves point to more RBA rate cuts

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 17-Jul-15

The Australian dollar reached a low of $US0.7354 on 16 July 2015, after the Bank of Canada reduced its cash rate to 0.5 per cent. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely tipped to ease monetary policy in July, and economists suggest that this may prompt further rate cuts in Australia before the end of the year. Citigroup anticipates a rate cut of 25 basis points in November, while Deutsche Bank forecasts that the Australian dollar will test the $US0.65 level by the end of 2016.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK OF CANADA, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Job figures spur speculation the worst is over

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 10-Jul-15

New data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that the economy added 120,700 jobs during the first six months of 2015, with an average of 20,000 new jobs created each month. The unemployment rate was six per cent in June, prompting the Reserve Bank to note in its latest monetary policy statement that unemployment has ceased rising. Paul Bloxham of HSBC says the jobs data will make further interest rate cuts less likely in the near-term.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY