INTEREST RATES – AUSTRALIA

RBA changes tune, opens door to interest rate cuts if $A stays high

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 3-Dec-14

The Australian dollar rose to $US0.8524 on 2 December 2014, after the Reserve Bank adopted a dovish position on monetary policy. The central bank has had a bias toward raising interest rates for some time, but governor Glenn Stevens has signalled that the cash rate could be cut again in 2015 if the dollar remains high. The Reserve Bank left the cash rate on hold at its final meeting for 2014

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BARCLAYS BANK PLC, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Medcraft warns of collusion probes

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Original article by Leo Shanahan
The Australian – Page: 23 : 27-Nov-14

Civil as well as criminal charges are possible against ANZ Bank, over its role in alleged attempts by major banks to fix the bank bill swap rate. The Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) is investigating, and ANZ has suspended seven traders on full pay pending the outcome. ASIC chair Greg Medcraft argues that the problem is a global one and indicative of an ingrained culture across the banking sector. A probe into the claims of collusion has also been launched by the Australian Competition & Consumer Commission

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION, HARVARD UNIVERSITY, BLOOMBERG LP

Funds predict tough times ahead for local shares

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Original article by Bianca Hartge-Hazelman
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 19-Nov-14

Paradice Investment Management founder David Paradice is among the fund managers who forecast lower earnings growth in Australia during 2015. Geoff Wilson of Wilson Asset Management expects the Australian sharemarket to be lower at the end of 2015, while Damien Boey of Credit Suisse says factors such as the weaker Australian economy and the fall in commodity prices will prompt at least one more interest rate cut

CORPORATES
PARADICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, WILSON ASSET MANAGEMENT, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, SLATER AND GORDON LIMITED – ASX SGH, INFOMEDIA LIMITED – ASX IFM, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Aussie ‘will hit US76c’

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Original article by Anthony Macdonald
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 14-Nov-14

Geoffrey Kendick of Morgan Stanley is bearish about the outlook for the Australian dollar, forecasting that it will end 2014 at $US0.85. Kendrick expects the currency to be trading at just $US0.76 at the end of 2015. He also believes that there is the potential for global deflation, and he does not expect the Reserve Bank to increase official interest rates before its US counterpart does so

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Reserve Bank keeps interest rate mantra

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 5-Nov-14

The Australian dollar late in the trading on 4 November 2014 rose to $US0.8724 from $US0.8694, following news that the Reserve Bank of Australia was leaving the official cash interest rate unchanged. The board meeting earlier in the day resulted in the 14th consecutive non-adjustment of the 2.5% rate, and the central bank has signalled that this will remain the case until close to mid-2015. The high foreign exchange rate is a major reason, although there are concerns that the low cost of home mortgage borrowing is creating a residential real estate prices bubble. Inflation is benign but the terms of trade are worsening

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

RBA must ‘bite the bullet’ on housing and lift rates

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Original article by Christopher Joye
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 8-Oct-14

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has finally adopted the advice of "The Australian Financial Review", and started to consider macroprudential measures to rein in rampant residential real estate prices growth. Some banking leaders also want the central bank to lift the official cash interest rate from its all-time low, to signal to property buyers that the current environment cannot last. Investors appear oblivious to the fact that the increase in asset values of 7%-plus per annum must come to an end, and a dangerous "bubble" may be forming

CORPORATES
FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. SENATE STANDING COMMITTEE ON ECONOMICS

Cyclical stocks could win favour as interest rates rise

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 22-Aug-14

There is general consensus among economists that the Reserve Bank of Australia will eventually begin to tighten monetary policy. Graham Harman of Russell Investments notes that cyclical stocks in particular tend to benefit from an increase in interest rates. However, David Sokulsky of UBS says historical analysis shows that stocks such as infrastructure, banks and utilities have been adversely affected by a rise in interest rates

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, RUSSELL INVESTMENTS PTY LTD, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Bank rush for fixed-rate loans

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 18-Aug-14

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) has matched recent moves by several rivals to reduce their most popular fixed interest rate home loans. CBA’s three-year interest rate has been reduced by 15 basis points, to 4.94 per cent, while its four-year fixed rate has been cut by 50 basis points to 5.09 per cent. CBA’s Clive van Horen notes that there has been a spike in customers opting for fixed-rate loans since its five-year rate was cut in July 2014

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CANSTAR PTY LTD

Interest rates in state of suspension

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 6-Aug-14

Riki Polygenis of the ANZ Bank says the Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to adopt a cautious approach to tightening monetary policy given the state of the economy. The central bank left the cash rate unchanged on 5 August 2014, and its monetary policy statement largely reiterated the views that were expressed in the previous month. Meanwhile, new data shows that the nation’s trade deficit blew out to $A4.8bn in the June quarter

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Big four banks lead lenders in slashing term deposit rates for savers

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 : 6-Aug-14

New data issued by Canstar show that Australia’s four main banks have taken the record low official cash interest rate as their cue to not only reduce home loan rates but the interest paid on term deposits. The five-year term rate has been cut by 15 basis points to 4.05% at National Australia Bank, and 20 basis points to 4.15% at Westpac Banking. A reduction of 40 basis points to 3.6% has also been announced by Suncorp. Commonwealth Bank of Australia had recently started a move by the major lenders to drop the fixed-rate mortgage rate to 4.99% for the first time ever

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, CANSTAR PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, HSBC BANK AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, AUSSIE HOME LOANS LIMITED