INTEREST RATES – AUSTRALIA

Rouble rout sends Aussie on the slide

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 10 : 18-Dec-14

The Australian dollar reached an intra-day low of $US0.8166 on 17 December 2014. The bearish sentiment toward the commodity currency was prompted by the continued selldown of Russia’s rouble, which has shed about 15 per cent in recent days. The Australian dollar’s continued weakness may be welcomed by the Reserve Bank, which have been talking down the currency for some time. However, Stephen Halmarick of Colonial First State Global Asset Management says this could mean that interest rate cuts in 2015 may not be necessary

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COLONIAL FIRST STATE GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, OOH!MEDIA LIMITED – ASX OML, LATAM AUTOS LIMITED – ASX LAA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE

Stevens calls for US75c dollar

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Michael Stutchbury
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 10 : 12-Dec-14

The Australian dollar is currently trading at around $US0.83, but Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens believes that it needs to fall further. He argues that a more appropriate level for the currency would be about $US0.75, arguing that the decline in Australia’s terms of trade means the dollar needs to be lower. Stevens also says that the need for stability is a major reason why interest rates were kept on hold during 2014, and stresses that any further easing of monetary policy would need to has a positive effect on business and consumer confidence

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Property curbs pave way for RBA rate cuts

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 11-Dec-14

Martin Whetton of the ANZ Bank says the decision to implement measures aimed at curbing growth in loans for investment properties could lead a reduction in the cash rate. The bond market had anticipated such action by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, with the 10-year bond rate falling below three per cent and the three-year bond rate easing to 2.27 per cent

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, COUNCIL OF FINANCIAL REGULATORS, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, TRIPLE T CONSULTING LIMITED

Westpac breaks ranks to tip RBA will cut rates

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 5-Dec-14

Westpac chief economist Bill Evans expects official interest rates to be reduced in both February and March 2015, citing factors such as the latest GDP data and the high Australian dollar. National Australia Bank and ANZ Bank economists have indicated that they may revise their forecasts for interest rates to remain on hold until late 2015. Economists at Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse have already forecast that the Reserve Bank will cut the cash rate in 2015

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

RBA changes tune, opens door to interest rate cuts if $A stays high

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 3-Dec-14

The Australian dollar rose to $US0.8524 on 2 December 2014, after the Reserve Bank adopted a dovish position on monetary policy. The central bank has had a bias toward raising interest rates for some time, but governor Glenn Stevens has signalled that the cash rate could be cut again in 2015 if the dollar remains high. The Reserve Bank left the cash rate on hold at its final meeting for 2014

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BARCLAYS BANK PLC, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Medcraft warns of collusion probes

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Original article by Leo Shanahan
The Australian – Page: 23 : 27-Nov-14

Civil as well as criminal charges are possible against ANZ Bank, over its role in alleged attempts by major banks to fix the bank bill swap rate. The Australian Securities & Investments Commission (ASIC) is investigating, and ANZ has suspended seven traders on full pay pending the outcome. ASIC chair Greg Medcraft argues that the problem is a global one and indicative of an ingrained culture across the banking sector. A probe into the claims of collusion has also been launched by the Australian Competition & Consumer Commission

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION, HARVARD UNIVERSITY, BLOOMBERG LP

Funds predict tough times ahead for local shares

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Original article by Bianca Hartge-Hazelman
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 19-Nov-14

Paradice Investment Management founder David Paradice is among the fund managers who forecast lower earnings growth in Australia during 2015. Geoff Wilson of Wilson Asset Management expects the Australian sharemarket to be lower at the end of 2015, while Damien Boey of Credit Suisse says factors such as the weaker Australian economy and the fall in commodity prices will prompt at least one more interest rate cut

CORPORATES
PARADICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, WILSON ASSET MANAGEMENT, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, SLATER AND GORDON LIMITED – ASX SGH, INFOMEDIA LIMITED – ASX IFM, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Aussie ‘will hit US76c’

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Original article by Anthony Macdonald
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 14-Nov-14

Geoffrey Kendick of Morgan Stanley is bearish about the outlook for the Australian dollar, forecasting that it will end 2014 at $US0.85. Kendrick expects the currency to be trading at just $US0.76 at the end of 2015. He also believes that there is the potential for global deflation, and he does not expect the Reserve Bank to increase official interest rates before its US counterpart does so

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Reserve Bank keeps interest rate mantra

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 5-Nov-14

The Australian dollar late in the trading on 4 November 2014 rose to $US0.8724 from $US0.8694, following news that the Reserve Bank of Australia was leaving the official cash interest rate unchanged. The board meeting earlier in the day resulted in the 14th consecutive non-adjustment of the 2.5% rate, and the central bank has signalled that this will remain the case until close to mid-2015. The high foreign exchange rate is a major reason, although there are concerns that the low cost of home mortgage borrowing is creating a residential real estate prices bubble. Inflation is benign but the terms of trade are worsening

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

RBA must ‘bite the bullet’ on housing and lift rates

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Original article by Christopher Joye
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 8-Oct-14

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has finally adopted the advice of "The Australian Financial Review", and started to consider macroprudential measures to rein in rampant residential real estate prices growth. Some banking leaders also want the central bank to lift the official cash interest rate from its all-time low, to signal to property buyers that the current environment cannot last. Investors appear oblivious to the fact that the increase in asset values of 7%-plus per annum must come to an end, and a dangerous "bubble" may be forming

CORPORATES
FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. SENATE STANDING COMMITTEE ON ECONOMICS