INVESTMENTS – AUSTRALIA

Small cap stock the winners in slow-growth local economy

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Original article by Myriam Robin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 7-Jun-17

Victor Gomes of UBS says any economic slowdown in Australia means small-capitalisation stocks with significant offshore earnings are likely to perform well. Large-cap stocks have outperformed in recent years, and some small-caps were heavily sold down during the February 2017 reporting season. Robert Talevski of Activus Investment Advisors says investors need to focus on the long-term investment horizon when buying into small-caps.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, ACTIVUS INVESTMENT ADVISORS PTY LTD, FORAGER FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX SMALL ORDINARIES INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 20 INDEX, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, YOWIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX YOW, GENWORTH MORTGAGE INSURANCE AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX GMA

Key predictor levels to keep a wary eye on

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 12-Jan-17

There are a number of market thresholds that Australian investors should take into account when determining their portfolio strategy for 2017. These include the 20,000-point level for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and 6,000 points for Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200, parity between the US dollar and the euro, $US60 a barrel for crude oil and a US bond yield of 2.6 per cent.

CORPORATES
DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, DOUBLELINE CAPITAL LP, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES, THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, MICROSOFT CORPORATION, WALT DISNEY COMPANY, McDONALD’S CORPORATION

Bullish Goldman likes resources

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 34 : 9-Dec-16

Investment bank Goldman Sachs is upbeat about the outlook for the Australian sharemarket in 2017, noting indications that the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 is experiencing an earnings upgrade cycle. Goldman Sachs expects market trends that have emerged toward the end of 2016 to continue in 2017, albeit at a slower pace. The firm has adopted an "overweight" position with regard to banking, resources and cyclical stocks, while it remains bearish about so-called bond proxy stocks.

CORPORATES
GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, ALUMINA LIMITED – ASX AWC, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, SKYCITY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SKC, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, APA GROUP – ASX APA, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, SCENTRE GROUP – ASX SCG, QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX QUB, HOTEL PROPERTIES INVESTMENTS – ASX HPI, CHARTER HALL GROUP – ASX CHC

Top 20 stocks lead revival, but with caveat

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Original article by Jens Meyer
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 5-Dec-16

Blue chip stocks have been in favour with Australian investors in recent weeks, amid a trend to offload growth stocks. The 20 largest stocks in particular have generally performed well since the start of October 2016, and Macquarie Group expects this trend to be sustained into 2017. However, Tony Brennan of Citigroup cautions that blue chip stocks in some sectors may not perform as well as others.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS LIMITED – ASX VOC, BELLAMY’S AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX BAL, APP SECURITIES, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, SCENTRE GROUP – ASX SCG, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS

Perennial pair target ‘unloved, undervalued’ bunch of five

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 31 : 2-Dec-16

Value investing has fallen out of favour in recent years, but the August 2016 reporting season was a catalyst for renewed interest in value stocks. Stephen Bruce, a portfolio manager at Perennial, says stocks that have been dubbed "expensive defensives" began to be sold down in the wake of the reporting season, while value stocks received support due to financial results that were better than expected. Bruce and colleague John Murray identify BHP Billiton, QBE Insurance Group, AMP, Lend Lease and Macquarie Group as their top picks among value stocks.

CORPORATES
PERENNIAL VALUE MANAGEMENT LIMITED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL

Trade out, quality in as blue chips re-emerge

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 24-Nov-16

Australian-listed small-capitalisation stocks have outperformed the broader sharemarket over the last 18 months or so. However, this outperformance has been reversed in the last month, and particularly in the wake of Donald Trump’s presidential election win. There has been renewed support for bank and resources stocks, due to factors such as a rise in government bond yields and commodity prices.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Credit won’t predict next crisis, but gives protection

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 17 : 7-Nov-16

Alexander Funds Management MD Chris Black notes that credit markets anticipated the global financial crisis well before equity markets. He says the GFC was primarily a credit-driven event, but this will not be the case with the next financial market crash. He adds that credit will be a safer asset class when the next financial market downturn comes. Alexander Funds has delivered a return of 16.64 per cent since it was founded as Laminar in 2009, but Black cautions that investors should not expect returns similar to those in the years immediately after the GFC.

CORPORATES
ALEXANDER FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN

Ingham shares hatch to wary IPO market

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 18 : 7-Nov-16

Inghams Group’s listing on the Australian sharemarket on 7 November is likely to be closely scrutinised by investors after the IPO had to be repriced. The stock has been issued at $A3.15 per share, compared with initial hopes of between $A3.57 to $A4.14. Bravura Solutions and the Charter Hall Long WALE REIT have also been forced to scale back the issue price of their stock. Some fund managers note that investor sentiment has changed in recent weeks, particularly with regard to IPOs.

CORPORATES
INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED – ASX ING, BRAVURA SOLUTIONS LIMITED – ASX BVS, CHARTER HALL LONG WALE REIT – ASX CLW, APOLLO TOURISM AND LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ATL, PENGANA EMERGING COMPANIES FUND, TPG CAPITAL LP, THE CARLYLE GROUP, PACIFIC EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, DICK SMITH HOLDINGS LIMITED, ANCHORAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS PTY LTD, INVESTORS MUTUAL LIMITED, AUTOSPORTS GROUP LIMITED – ASX ASG

Sovereign debt could well be the driver of the next share selloff

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 6-Oct-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P ASX 200 is currently trading on a forward price-earnings ratio of around 16 times, compared with its long-term average of about 14.5 times. The index reached a 2016 high of 5,587 points at the start of August, and despite a number of pullbacks it is still three per cent higher than at the start of the year. However, the prospect of an eventual end to quantitative easing by central banks is likely to put upward pressure on government bond yields, which will in turn weigh on sentiment toward equities.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP PLC, THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, JP MORGAN CHASE AND COMPANY, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL

Why Commonwealth is still the investors’ favourite, 25 years on

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Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 13-Sep-16

The first tranche of Commonwealth Bank shares were issued at $A5.40 apiece in September 1991. Investors who took up the minimum of 400 shares in the float and reinvested their dividends over the following 25 years would now hold $A131,371 worth of shares in Australia’s largest bank. Financial market observers note that the first stage of the Commonwealth Bank privatisation was popular with investors, despite the challenging economic conditions at the time.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, MORGANS FINANCIAL LIMITED, MONTGOMERY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, EVANS AND PARTNERS PTY LTD, LINCOLN INDICATORS PTY LTD, PYRAMID BUILDING SOCIETY