‘Something’s gotta give’: rising stocks, bonds and gold sound alert

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 19 & 27 : 13-Jul-16

The Australian sharemarket has gained six per cent since reaching its recent low in the wake of Great Britain’s vote to leave the European Union. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has risen by 16 per cent since February 2016, and it reached a record high in mid-July. Traditional safe haven investment classes are also in strong demand, with the yield on 10-year Australian government bonds remaining close to a record low and the gold price testing its highest level in more than two years.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, PLATINUM ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX PTM, BAKER STEEL CAPITAL MANAGERS LLP, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, JAPAN. OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER, NIKKEI 225 INDEX

Oil Search sweetener needed for InterOil

Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith, Sarah Thompson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 11 : 12-Jul-16

ExxonMobil is believed to be the unnamed company that is seeking to trump Oil Search’s $US2.2bn ($A2.9bn) takeover bid for InterOil. The target has commenced negotiations with the as-yet identified suitor, which made an initial approach in late June 2016, and is understood to have made a scrip-based offer that is 10 per cent higher than the Oil Search bid. All three players have exposure to Papua New Guinea’s LNG sector.

CORPORATES
OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, INTEROIL CORPORATION, EXXONMOBIL CORPORATION, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, TOTAL SA

Kidman sale in doubt with election results

Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 5-Jul-16

The post-election reconfiguration of the Australian parliament could affect the sale of S. Kidman & Company. Dakang Australia Holdings is expected to try again to buy Kidman, after its acquisition proposal was rejected by Treasurer Scott Morrison. Senators Adam Bandt, Pauline Hanson, Nick Xenophon and Bob Katter are likely to oppose the sale of Kidman to foreigners.

CORPORATES
S KIDMAN AND COMPANY PTY LTD, DAKANG AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, SHANGHAI CRED REAL ESTATE STOCK COMPANY LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, DOMACOM LIMITED

It’s a big short-term buying opportunity

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 24-Jun-16

Charles de Bolssezon of Societe Generale forecasts that the FTSE 100 will rally in coming months if the UK votes to remain in the European Union. However, the FTSE is tipped to shed about 15 per cent if Britons vote to leave the EU, while the S&P 500 will fall by 10 per cent. Richard Coppleson of Bell Potter says Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 would also fall sharply in the event of a "Brexit", but he adds that this would create buying opportunities for investors in the short-term.

CORPORATES
SOCIETE GENERALE SA, FTSE 100 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, EURO STOXX 50 INDEX, FTSE 250 INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, CITIGROUP INCORPORATED, BANK OF ENGLAND, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Chinese deal with Vale can cut BHP both ways

Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 23-Jun-16

A Bloomberg report has suggested that Vale could seek to raise up to $US7bn by selling a minority stake in its iron ore assets to Asian investors, most likely from China. On one hand, BHP Billiton would welcome such a deal, as its Samarco iron ore joint venture with Vale must renegotiate US3.8bn worth of debt, while Vale’s own debt pile totals $US23bn. On the other hand, Vale’s strategic investor may have a vested interest in trying to push the iron ore price down, particularly if they are also a buyer of iron ore.

CORPORATES
VALE SA, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, SAMARCO MINERACAO SA, BLOOMBERG LP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, ALUMINIUM CORPORATION OF CHINA LIMITED

Taxes may hit foreign developers

Original article by Larry Schlesinger
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 16-Jun-16

Frasers Property Australia CEO Rod Fehring has warned about unintended consequences of new charges applying to residential property acquired by foreign buyers. New stamp duty and land tax surcharges are being introduced in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland. Fehring fears that the new charges could also affect foreign-owned property developers.

CORPORATES
FRASERS PROPERTY AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALAND PTY LTD, FRASERS CENTREPOINT LIMITED, PITCHER PARTNERS CORPORATE ADVISORY PTY LTD, NEW SOUTH WALES TREASURY. OFFICE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, NEW SOUTH WALES TREASURY. OFFICE OF STATE REVENUE, MERITON APARTMENTS PTY LTD

InterOil AGM voting stirs deal worries

Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 16-Jun-16

InterOil’s former CEO Phil Mulacek has failed in his bid for a board spill, although he received a high level of support at the takeover target’s 2016 AGM. Some 31 per cent of votes cast backed his stance, and Oil Search’s $US2.2bn takeover bid will fail if 33 per cent of InterOil shareholders vote against it on 28 July. Oil Search CEO Peter Botten intends to hold further meetings with InterOil’s shareholders in the lead-up to the vote.

CORPORATES
OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, INTEROIL CORPORATION, TOTAL SA, CAPITAL GROUP COMPANIES INCORPORATED, EXXONMOBIL CORPORATION

Lessons learnt, says Citic’s chief as sole focus now on Sino Iron future

Original article by Tess Ingram
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 14-Jun-16

The cost of developing the Sino Iron magnetite project in Western Australia is believed to have blown out to around $US12bn ($A16.2bn). However. Citic Pacific Mining CEO Chen Zeng has declined to comment on the cost of the project, which Citic bought for $US415m in 2006. The Sino Iron project has been affected by a long-running legal dispute, while the iron ore price has fallen significantly since shipments commenced in late 2013.

CORPORATES
SINO IRON PTY LTD, CITIC PACIFIC MINING MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, MINERALOGY PTY LTD, METALLURGICAL CORPORATION OF CHINA LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, PATERSONS SECURITIES LIMITED

Dissident push falters at InterOil

Original article by Brian Robins
The Sydney Morning Herald – Page: 20 : 13-Jun-16

Takeover target InterOil has advised that its annual meeting will proceed on 14 June 2016, after a court dismissed an application by ex-CEO Phil Mulacek to have it delayed. Shareholders will vote on Mulacek’s push for a board spill. He opposes a $US2.2 billion ($A3bn) bid for the company by Australian-listed Oil Search, arguing that the offer undervalues InterOil. The majority of institutional investors are believed to support the bid.

CORPORATES
INTEROIL CORPORATION, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, EXXONMOBIL CORPORATION, SUPREME COURT OF YUKON

Overseas companies ‘can game the system’

Original article by Joe Kelly
The Australian – Page: 6 : 10-Jun-16

The Australian Labor Party’s proposal to increase the threshold for offshore investment in agricultural land has been criticised by Treasurer Scott Morrison. Labor would require purchases of farmland valued at $A50m or more to be approved by the Foreign Investment Review Board, but Morrison contends that offshore buyers would seek to avoid this by acquiring land for $A49m. Agriculture Minister Barnaby Joyce has also criticised Labor’s proposal to lift the threshold for foreign investment in the agribusiness sector to $A1bn.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. FOREIGN INVESTMENT REVIEW BOARD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF AGRICULTURE AND WATER RESOURCES, AUSTRALIAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY