Original article by Jared Lynch
The Australian – Page: 13 & 16 : 28-Sep-20
Australia’s resources and energy exports rose to a record $290bn in 2019-20, driven by a rally in the iron ore price. However, the Department of Industry’s latest Resources and Energy Quarterly report forecasts that the nation will export just $256bn worth of commodities in 2020-21. The total value of resources and energy exports in 2021-22 is forecast to be $252bn. The Department expects a pullback in the iron ore price to around $US85 a tonne by the end of 2020-21; iron ore shipments are expected to fall to $80bn, after reaching a record $102bn in 2019-20. Meanwhile, gold export earnings are forecast to reach a record $31bn in 2020-21.
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY, SCIENCE, ENERGY AND RESOURCES
Original article by Michael Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 : 15-Jul-20
China has reported that its iron ore imports rose by 35.3 per cent year-on-year in June, following 3.9 per cent growth in May. The customs figures also show that the nation’s iron ore imports rose by 9.6 per cent to 547 million tonnes in the first six months of 2020. Xu Xiangchun of MySteel expects demand for iron ore to remain strong in coming months, but not at the same pace as June. China’s imports of Australian iron ore have not been impacted by growing tensions between the two nations.
CHINA. GENERAL ADMINISTRATION OF CUSTOMS, MYSTEEL.COM LIMITED
Original article by Michael Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 14 : 26-Jun-20
Chinese research firm MySteel states that China’s demand for steel fell by between five and six per cent in the first half of 2020, but should improve in coming months with more infrastructure projects being initiated. MySteel’s chief information officer Xu Xiangchun says Chinese steel mills might look to alternative sources for iron ore if there is a perception among the Chinese public that Australia is ‘difficult’, while China Metallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute president Li Xinchuang says it is important that China diversifies its iron ore supplies.
MYSTEEL.COM LIMITED, CHINA METALLURGICAL INDUSTRY PLANNING AND RESEARCH INSTITUTE
Original article by William McInnes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 24-Jun-20
The price of iron ore has risen by nearly 40 per cent since the start of 2020, and it peaked at more than $US100 a tonne in May amid supply disruptions in Brazil. Dion Hershan of Yarra Capital Management and Peter Gardner of Plato Investment Management are both bullish about BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals Group. They cite factors such as the major iron ore producers’ strong cash flows and high dividend yields. However, Romano Sala Tenna of Katana Asset Management says they do not offer compelling value, although he says the sector is still appealing compared with the rest of the market.
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, YARRA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, PLATO INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED, KATANA ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED
Original article by Ben Doherty
The Guardian Australia – Page: Online : 22-May-20
BHP and Fortescue Metals Group have welcomed China’s decision to relax its inspection rules for iron ore shipments. From 1 June, customs officials will only inspect batches of iron ore if this is requested by the importer or trader; all shipments were previously subject to mandatory inspection on arrival in China. Minerals Council of Australia CEO Tania Constable says the new customs procedures recognise the high quality of Australian iron ore. However, the Chinese media has warned that growing trade tensions could potentially hit Australia’s iron ore exports. Australia supplies 62 per cent of China’s iron ore.
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA
Original article by Elouise Fowler
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 7 : 15-May-20
China imported 62 per cent of its iron ore from Australia in 2019, compared to only 21 per cent from Brazil. However, a report in a state-owned Chinese newspaper has raised the possibility that China could replace iron ore from Australia with iron ore from Brazil as part of the growing trade tensions. However, Glyn Lawcock of UBS notes that the global iron ore market is very tight at the moment. Fortescue Metals Group CEO Elizabeth Gaines expects Chinese demand for Australian iron ore to continue to rise.
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG
Original article by Sarah Turner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 13-May-20
Commonwealth Bank commodity strategist Vivek Dhar does not expect China to reduce imports of Australian iron ore despite the growing trade tensions between the two nations. He contends that China is too reliant on iron ore from Australia, noting that 85 per cent of its iron ore imports are sourced from Australia. Dhar adds that exports of commodities such as coal are at greater risk, as they can be sourced more easily from other countries. Analysts also expect any economic stimulus measures in China to boost demand for steel, and therefore iron ore.
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA
Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 16 : 22-Apr-20
BHP produced 68 million tonnes of iron ore in the March quarter, a year-on-year increase of four per cent. Production for the first nine months of 2019-20 rose to a record 205 million tonnes. BHP notes that demand for iron ore in China remains strong, but it has flagged a potential double-digit fall in steel production outside of China in 2020. BHP’s quarterly production report also shows that output at its coal mines in Queensland was 16 per cent lower than in the December quarter and seven per cent lower year-on-year.
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP
Original article by Dennis Shanahan, Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 13-Apr-20
Factors such as a resilient iron ore price and a rally in the price of gold have prompted expectations that the value of Australia’s resources exports will top $$299bn in 2019-20. This is $18bn higher than was forecast in December. The nation has exported $65.4bn worth of iron ore since 1 July, including $13.9bn in the first two months of 2020. Iron ore for delivery to China is trading at almost $US80 per tonne, compared with the Treasury’s forecast of $US55 a tonne. The resources and energy sector is largely continuing to operate during the pandemic.
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY
Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 22 : 8-Apr-20
The head of Rio Tinto’s iron ore division, Chris Salisbury, notes that Chinese demand for the steel input remained strong while the nation was contending with the coronavirus earlier in 2020. He adds that China’s steel stockpiles have started to fall and Rio Tinto’s order books are full. Chinese steel mills buy more than 70 per cent of Rio Tinto’s iron ore, and China accounted for 51.3 per cent of the resources group’s revenue in 2019. Australia’s iron ore exports are forecast to top $101bn in 2019-20.
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO