Good news for exports with iron ore set to enjoy another bountiful year

Original article by Samantha Bailey
The Australian – Page: 25 : 31-Jul-19

Credit rating agency Moody’s Investors Service expects that supply constraints will ensure that the price of iron ore remains high during the rest of 2019 and in 2020. Moody’s has cited factors such as the impact of a tailings dam collapse in Brazil in January and Cyclone Veronica in Western Australia for its revised forecast. The firm had previously expected the iron ore market to be in surplus in 2019.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, VALE SA

Iron ore shortage to keep prices elevated

Original article by Glenda Korporaal
The Australian – Page: 27 : 11-Jul-19

Some analysts have forecast a further pullback in the iron ore price, which has retreated from its recent peak of around $US126 per tonne. National Australia Bank now expects the price of the steel input to average $US92/tonne during 2019 and $US74 in 2020. Meanwhile, Macquarie has indicated that the downturn in iron ore inventories at Chinese ports suggests that it will trade in the $US90s in the near-term.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, CHINA IRON AND STEEL ASSOCIATION, VALE SA, BAOWU GROUP

Iron ore prices to remain high

Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 20 : 9-Jul-19

The price of iron ore for delivery to China firmed on 8 July, after falling sharply in the previous week in response to calls for Chinese government intervention. Meanwhile, Ord Minnett expects the benchmark price of iron ore to remain high for the remainder of 2019, before averaging $US87 per tonne in 2020. The firm also notes that an increase in steel production has seen iron ore stockpiles at Chinese ports decline for 12 consecutive weeks. Ord Minnett has increased its Chinese steel production forecast for 2019 by seven per cent year-on-year, to 992 million tonnes.

CORPORATES
ORD MINNETT GROUP LIMITED, CHINA IRON AND STEEL ASSOCIATION, CHINA. NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM COMMISSION, VALE SA, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO

China: iron ore import prices too high

Original article by Michael Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 16 : 8-Jul-19

The price of iron ore for delivery to China recently peaked at $US126 per tonne. However, the iron ore price retreated on 5 July after the Chinese government indicated that it could intervene after the nation’s steel mills claimed that futures traders are manipulating the iron ore market. The China Iron & Steel Association’s vice-president Qu Xiuli is said to have indicated that the government intends to address ‘irregularities’ that have been identified by the nation’s steel makers. The reports prompted a sharp fall in the share prices of BHP and Rio Tinto.

CORPORATES
CHINA IRON AND STEEL ASSOCIATION, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, MYSTEEL.COM LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND SCIENCE

Miners cashing in as iron ore price surges

Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 28 : 4-Jul-19

The price of iron ore from the Pilbara peaked at $US185 per tonne in 2011, when the Australian dollar was at parity with its US counterpart. The headline price of Pilbara iron ore is now trading at almost $US125 a tonne, which equates to a relative price of nearly $US180 a tonne when a much lower exchange rate is taken into account. Macquarie says the spot price of iron ore may have further to run, given that stockpiles at Chinese ports are continuing to decline. Meanwhile, BHP and Fortescue Metals Group are likely to exceed their revised guidance for 2018-19 iron ore export volumes after strong performances in June.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, HANCOCK PROSPECTING PTY LTD, ATLAS IRON LIMITED, MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX MIN, VALE SA

Iron ore surges past $US120 but softer China demand looms

Original article by Luke Housego
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 27 : 3-Jul-19

Shares in Australia’s three major iron ore producers rallied on 2 July after the price of the steel input rose above $US120 per tonne. Factors such as supply constraints and record Chinese demand for steel have been key drivers of the iron ore price in 2019. However, some market watchers believe that the current price of iron ore cannot be sustained, given the uncertain outlook for the Chinese economy. Fortescue Metals Group’s shares have gained 139 per cent so far in 2019, while BHP and Rio Tinto have gained 28 per cent and 41 per cent respectively.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, GRIFFITH ASIA INSTITUTE, THE CHAMBER OF MINERALS AND ENERGY OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA INCORPORATED

Bullish iron ore could give budget $4b boost

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 29-May-19

The iron ore price reached a five-year high of $US108 per tonne on 28 May, prompting strong gains in the share prices of Australia’s three major producers. The federal government’s April 2019 Budget had forecast that the iron ore price would average $US88/tonne in 2019-20; Nicki Hutley of Deloitte Access Economics says government revenue could increase by $4bn if the price remains at its current level over this period. Goldman Sachs does not expect iron ore to remain above $US100 for long; it has issued a revised price forecast for 2019 of $US91.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, VALE SA, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX, ROY HILL HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX MIN, GRANGE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GRR

Iron ore’s wild run threatens fragile balance

Original article by Nick Evans
The Weekend Australian – Page: 15 & 16 : 25-May-19

The iron ore price recently rose to a five-year high of more than $US100 per tonne. While the price surge will boost the earnings of Australian iron ore producers, BHP and Rio Tinto in particular would prefer a sustained price of around $US70 per tonne. The current elevated price of the steel input provides an incentive for other mining companies to develop iron ore projects and emerge as rival exporters to Asian steel mills. Countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia and India could potentially resume iron ore shipments to China, while strong growth in China’s scrap steel market looms as another possible threat to Australian producers.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, ROY HILL HOLDINGS PTY LTD, ATLAS IRON LIMITED, VALE SA

Iron ore is surging, but not all producers are joining the party

Original article by Clyde Russell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: Online : 23-May-19

The spot price of iron ore for delivery to China has risen by more than 38 per cent so far in 2019, to over $US100 per tonne. Shares in Australian-listed Fortescue Metals Group have in turned gained 119 per cent in local currency terms, while Rio Tinto and BHP have risen by 33.7 per cent and 15.6 per cent respectively. In contrast, Brazil-based Vale has shed seven per cent in local currency terms so far in 2019, and nearly 16 per cent since a tailings dam collapse in late January.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, VALE SA, GRANGE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GRR, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX, ARGUS MEDIA PTY LTD

How the iron ore price busted above $US100 a tonne

Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 21-May-19

The tailings dam collapse at a Vale mine in January has been a major driver of the iron ore price’s rise to a five-year high of $US100 per tonne. The disaster reduced seaborne iron ore supply by around six per cent, prompting a rally in the price of the steel input and the shares of major producers. The reduced global supply has also coincided with rising demand for iron ore in China. Meanwhile, Vivek Dhar of the Commonwealth Bank expects the iron ore price to ease to around $US85 per tonne by the end of 2019.

CORPORATES
VALE SA, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG