BHP and Rio braced and ready for iron ore’s ‘new normal’

Original article by Amanda Saunders, Tess Ingram
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 18 : 10-Jul-15

Some analysts believe that the iron ore price could fall below $US40 per tonne as production ramps up in Australia and abroad. The price of the steel input fell below $US45/tonne on 8 July 2015, prompting speculation about the viability of some high-cost smaller iron ore miners. Andrew Harding, the head of Rio Tinto’s iron ore division, remains upbeat about the long-term outlook for the commodity. He says iron ore is now trading at around its long-term average, and argues that record high prices were not sustainable.

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, ATLAS IRON LIMITED – ASX AGO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, BC IRON LIMITED – ASX BCI, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, ARRIUM LIMITED – ASX ARI, CLIFFS NATURAL RESOURCES INCORPORATED, MORNINGSTAR PTY LTD, VALE SA, ANGLO AMERICAN PLC, HANCOCK PROSPECTING PTY LTD, ROY HILL IRON ORE PTY LTD, ARGONAUT SECURITIES PTY LTD

Mine closures forecast as iron ore prices plunge

Original article by Amanda Saunders, Tess Ingram
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 & 26 : 9-Jul-15

Katana Asset Management’s Romano Sala Tenna expects a number of Australian iron ore mines to cease production in the next 12 months. He says some of the cost reduction strategies utilised in the last year are unsustainable, and also notes the dearth of capital investment in many iron ore mines. Pengana Capital’s Tim Schroeders also has doubts as to whether cost-cutting measures can be sustained in the long-term. The iron ore price has fallen below $US50 per tonne, which may put further pressure on smaller producers.

CORPORATES
KATANA ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, PENGANA CAPITAL LIMITED, ATLAS IRON LIMITED – ASX AGO, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, ROY HILL IRON ORE PTY LTD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, VALE SA, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Iron ore price slump hits mining majors

Original article by Amanda Saunders
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 7-Jul-15

The iron ore price’s fall to $US54 per tonne weighed heavily on Australian-listed producers of the steel input on 6 July 2015. Rio Tinto shed 2.57 per cent to close at $A51.16 and Fortescue Metals Group was down 5.7 per cent at a six-year low of $A1.71. Their break-even prices are estimated to be around $US32 and $US39 per tonne respectively.

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTEK COMPUTERS LIMITED, VALE SA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, BARCLAYS BANK PLC

Local juniors under pressure after iron ore price slide

Original article by Tess Ingram
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 6-Jul-15

The price of iron ore was trading at $US55.26 per tonne on 3 July 2015, having surrendered the bulk of recent gains during the week. UBS estimates that the break-even price for many smaller listed iron ore producers is just below the current price of iron ore, including BC Iron, Atlas Iron and Arrium. Glyn Lawcock of UBS notes that smaller iron ore miners have significantly reduced their costs since late 2014, and he expects further cost reductions in the next 12 months.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, BC IRON LIMITED – ASX BCI, ATLAS IRON LIMITED – ASX AGO, ARRIUM LIMITED – ASX ARI, ROY HILL IRON ORE PTY LTD, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX, GRANGE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GRR, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, WOOD MACKENZIE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY AND SCIENCE, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

Iron ore price hits wall of steel

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 19-Jun-15

The price of iron ore was trading at $US61.51 per tonne on 18 June 2015, having peaked at $US65.61 in the previous week. National Australia Bank regards $US60 per tonne as a fair price for the steel input given current market conditions, while Fraser Phillips of RBC Capital Markets does not expect the recent gains in the iron ore price to be maintained unless demand for steel improves.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, MACQUARIE CAPITAL PTY LTD, DALIAN COMMODITY EXCHANGE, SHANGHAI FUTURES EXCHANGE

Fitch revises ratings for BHP, Rio

Original article by Rose Powell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 12-Jun-15

Fitch Ratings has maintained BHP Billiton’s "A+" credit rating, but the resources group’s long-term issuer rating has been downgraded from "stable" to "negative". The firm has cited factors such as a likely decline in BHP’s free cash flow following the demerger of South32. Meanwhile, Fitch has retained Rio Tinto’s "A+" rating and upgraded the group’s outlook from "negative" to
"stable". Fitch expects the price of iron ore to average $US50 per tonne in 2015-16.

CORPORATES
FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, ANGLO AMERICAN PLC

Iron ore rally is short-lived and self-defeating: Goldman

Original article by Rose Powell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 10-Jun-15

Iron ore was trading at $US64.34 per tonne on 9 June 2015, compared with $US47 in April. However, Christian Lelong of Goldman Sachs remains bearish about the outlook for the steel input, forecasting that it will retreat to less than $US50 per tonne in the next three years. Chris Drew of Royal Bank of Canada also does not expect iron ore’s recent price gains to be sustained, citing factors such as a looming increase in supply in China.

CORPORATES
THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, VALE SA

China scopes local iron ore

Original article by Tess Ingram
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 : 2-Jun-15

The iron ore price is trading at about $US63 per tonne, having shed nearly 50 per cent in the last year. Adam Handley of law firm Minter Ellison notes that the sharp fall in the price of the steel input has prompted Chinese companies to consider mergers and acquisitions in Australia, as well as debt and equity deals with embattled producers. He adds that Chinese investors have become more willing to pursue hostile takeovers.

CORPORATES
MINTER ELLISON, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, CITIC LIMITED, SHANGHAI BAOSTEEL GROUP CORPORATION, RECORD POINT PTY LTD, SINO IRON PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, BC IRON LIMITED – ASX BCI, GRANGE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GRR, ARRIUM LIMITED – ASX ARI, CLIFFS NATURAL RESOURCES INCORPORATED, GINDALBIE METALS LIMITED – ASX GBG, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX, MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX MIN

Iron ore miners told to prepare for rough ride

Original article by Rose Powell, Julie-anne Sprague
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 29-May-15

Iron ore was trading at $US63.10 per tonne on 28 May 2015. The China Metallurgical Industry Planning & Research Institute’s president, Xinchuang Li, expects it to trade within a range of $US55 to $US65 per tonne over the next several years. He adds that strong competition in China’s steel industry will keep downward pressure on the prices of both iron ore and steel. China imported 933 million tonnes of iron ore in 2014.

CORPORATES
CHINA METALLURGICAL INDUSTRY PLANNING AND RESEARCH INSTITUTE, STOCKBROKERS ASSOCIATION OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, WESTERN AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO

Hockey in iron ore inquiry talks

Original article by John Kerin, Amanda Saunders
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 15-May-15

Independent Senator Nick Xenophon wants a bipartisan parliamentary committee to hold an inquiry into iron ore pricing. There is speculation that any such inquiry could be chaired by Liberal MP Angus Taylor, who has worked as a consultant in the sector. Minerals Council of Australia CEO Brendan Pearson rejects claims by Andrew Forrest that BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto are ramping up production with a view to forcing smaller producers out of the iron ore market, and says there is no need for an inquiry.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY