Flexible labour laws saved jobs, says RBA

Original article by Ewin Hannan
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 28-Sep-16

The Reserve Bank of Australia has released a discussion paper which concludes that labour market reforms such as putting a greater emphasis on enterprise bargaining may have reduced the impact of recent downturns in the economy. The paper’s authors suggest that more flexible workplace laws may have encouraged companies to reduce employees’ working hours in response to weaker economic growth – such as during the global financial crisis – instead of retrenching staff.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Australian real unemployment virtually unchanged at 10.4% (down 0.1%) in August and under-employment drops to 7.1% (down 1.9%)

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 15-Sep-16

Australian real unemployment was virtually unchanged at 10.4 per cent (down 0.1 per cent) in August 2016, nearly double the current ABS figure for July (5.7 per cent). However, this is a substantial increase in unemployment over the past year, with 1.332 million Australians (up 159,000 since August 2015) now unemployed. The Australian workforce has increased to 12,855,000 (up 104,000 since August 2015) over the last year, although total employment actually decreased to 11,523,000 (down 55,000). Meanwhile, a total of 2.249 million Australians, or 17.5 per cent of the workforce (the lowest since October 2015), were either unemployed or under-employed in August. This is up 132,000 from August 2015 (an increase of 0.9 per cent).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Gary Morgan’s comment on the Roy Morgan August real unemployment estimates

Original article by Gary Morgan, Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 15-Sep-16

In August Australia’s real unemployment was 10.4 per cent (1.332 million people looking for work, 159,000 more than a year ago) and under-employment was 7.1 per cent (917,000, down 27,000 in a year) – a total of 17.5 per cent (2.249 million) Australians looking for work or looking for more work. Part-time employment spiked in June and July leading into and encompassing the Federal Election period. This phenomenon is not surprising and is consistent with part-time employment increases measured by Roy Morgan before the 2010 and 2013 Federal Elections. Now that this period is past, part-time employment has fallen back as many of these employees are no longer employed while others are now employed full-time. Today’s Roy Morgan real unemployment figures show that much more must be done by the Turnbull Government to provide employment opportunities to Australians looking for work and looking for more work. For the last 51 months (more than four years) in excess of 1 million Australians have been unemployed, stretching back to May 2012, and clearly more than 2 million Australians have been either unemployed or under-employed in every month this year.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Jobs growth makes for murky reading in census aftermath

Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 19-Aug-16

New data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that the economy added 71,600 part-time jobs in July 2016, although it shed 45,000 full-time positions. Currency traders responded positively to the net gain of more than 26,000 jobs, with the Australian dollar peaking at $US0.7720 in local trading on 18 August. However, Kate Hicks of Capital Economics notes that some of the jobs would have been temporary ones associated with the census.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Union claim for casual workers’ upgrade a ‘threat to full-time jobs’

Original article by Joe Kelly
The Australian – Page: 2 : 18-Aug-16

The Australian Chamber of Commerce & Industry has warned of the economic cost of the ACTU’s push for casual workers to become permanent employees after being in a job for six months. ACCI CEO James Pearson says modelling by Australian National University economists suggests that the proposed reform would cost the economy about $A3.7bn a year and result in the loss of 19,000 full-time equivalent jobs. The Fair Work Commission is likely to rule on the matter later in 2016.

CORPORATES
ACTU, AUSTRALIAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY, AUSTRALIA. FAIR WORK COMMISSION

Australian real unemployment jumps to 10.5% (up 0.9%) in July during post-election uncertainty

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 18-Aug-16

A Roy Morgan Research survey on Australia’s labour market has found that the real unemployment rate rose by 0.9 per cent to 10.5 per cent in July 2016. Some 1.365 million Australians (up 268,000 since July 2015) are now unemployed. Meanwhile, the number of people in the workforce has risen to 13,007,000 (up 334,000 since July 2015), and 11,642,000 Australians are employed (up 66,000 in the last 12 months). The number of people who are under-employed has risen by 194,000 in the last 12 months to 1,171,000 (9.0 per cent of the workforce). The official unemployment rate was 5.8 per cent in June 2016.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Millions can cash out leave

Original article by Nick Toscano
The Age – Page: 23 : 4-Aug-16

Almost two million Australian employees who are covered by the modern industrial awards system will now have the option of cashing out part of their annual leave entitlement. The Fair Work Commission’s decision to allow cashing out has the support of the Australian Chamber of Commerce & Industry, although ACTU secretary Dave Oliver has expressed concern about the potential ramifications of the decision. The FWC is expected to issue a ruling on weekend penalty rates in September 2016.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. FAIR WORK COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY, ACTU

Jobless rate edges up and fewer hours worked

Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 15-Jul-16

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that the nation’s unemployment rate rose from 5.7 per cent to 5.8 per cent in June 2016. Some 38,400 full-time jobs were created during the month, although this was offset by the loss of part-time positions, resulting in a net gain of almost 8,000 jobs. ANZ Bank economist Felicity Emmett says the low jobs growth and low inflation will most likely prompt the Reserve Bank to reduce the cash rate in August.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Gary Morgan’s comment on the latest real Australian unemployment figures

Original article by Gary Morgan, Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 14-Jul-16

This slow employment market was largely ignored by the major parties in the Federal Election campaign. It is why neither party secured a clear victory. The lack of coherent plans and details on how each major party would grow the Australian economy and generate jobs is the reason for the high vote for minor parties – today counted at 22.9%. Hopefully, the "shock" of a close election result – along with the record high support for minor parties – will mean both Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and Opposition Leader Bill Shorten start listening to the clear message the electorate is sending the major parties. Nearly a quarter of the Australian electorate feels ignored and unheard by Australia’s political leaders.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Australian real unemployment 9.6% in June as new Government takes office

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 14-Jul-16

The good news for the re-elected Turnbull Government is that unemployment fell 1.1% to 9.6% in June 2016 – although this is still well above the current ABS figure for May (5.7%). However, the rising levels of employment were led by an increase in part-time employment (3,951,000, up 208,000 from June 2015) while full-time employment was down 28,000 to 7,792,000. Increasing part-time employment leads directly to increases in under-employment – now at 8.3% (up 0.9% since May 2016). In June a total of 2.326 million Australians (17.9% of the workforce) were either unemployed or under-employed. The fall in unemployment in June almost evenly matched by rising levels of under-employment was observed in last year’s June unemployment estimates.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS