MONETARY POLICY – AUSTRALIA

Eslake breaks ranks with rates call

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 17-Mar-15

The Australian dollar was buying $US0.764 late in trading on 16 March 2015, ahead of the release of the minutes from the Reserve Bank’s monthly board meeting. Bank of America Merrill Lynch economist Saul Eslake expects the cash rate to be reduced by 25 basis points in May, followed by rate rises in both December and February. He also forecasts that the dollar will be trading at $US0.73 in December and $US0.68 by the end of 2016

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, BLOOMBERG LP, BT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX BTT, ING AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED

Spike in $A seconds before rates call

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Original article by Sally Rose, Jonathan Shapiro, Gareth Hutchens
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 5-Mar-15

Concerns about insider trading in the foreign exchange market has intensified after the Australian dollar rose by 0.5 per cent less than a minute before the Reserve Bank announced that the cash rate would remain on hold in March 2015. The currency had fallen by 0.8 per cent only seconds before the previous rate announcement in February. Currency experts such as the Commonwealth Bank’s Richard Grace support the Australian Securities & Investments Commission’s decision to investigate the irregular trading activity

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, BLOOMBERG LP, THOMSON REUTERS PLC

Rate pause clobbers share prices

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Max Mason
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 4-Mar-15

The Australian sharemarket fell sharply and the dollar rallied after the Reserve Bank defied expectations and left official interest rates on hold on 3 March 2015. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index ended the session at 5,933.9 points, and Tony Paterno of Ord Minnett says it is now unlikely to breach the 6,000-point level in the near-term. The central bank has maintained its easing bias, with governor Glenn Stevens indicating that there may be further rate cuts if this is deemed appropriate

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, ORD MINNETT GROUP LIMITED, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, AUSBIL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED, CONTANGO ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, RP DATA LIMITED, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Stunned traders caught in the glare of ASX200’s headlights

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Original article by John Wasiliev
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 3-Mar-15

The Australian sharemarket reached its highest level in seven years on 2 March 2015, ahead of the Reserve Bank’s monthly board meeting. More than 50 per cent of economists expect the central bank to reduce the cash rate again, after a 25 basis point cut in February. However, opinion is divided as to whether the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 will breach the 6,000-point level in the near-term

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CMC MARKETS PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR, TOLL HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TOL, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, IG MARKETS LIMITED, OANDA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, THINKFOREX

Bets mount on second cash rate cut in weeks

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 2-Mar-15

Futures traders expect the Australian sharemarket to lose ground when trading resumes on 2 March 2015. With the reporting season over, investors are likely to focus on economic data to be released in the coming week, as well as the Reserve Bank’s monthly board meeting. The recent release of disappointing capital expenditure data has heightened speculation that the central bank could reduce the cash rate again in March, following a 25-basis point cut in February

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW

Interest rate cut has instant impact at property auctions

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Original article by Larry Schlesinger
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 16-Feb-15

Preliminary data shows that Sydney’s residential property market achieved an auction clearance rate of 77.9 per cent on the weekend of 14-15 February 2015, down from 80.5 per cent for the previous week. Melbourne’s preliminary auction clearance rate rose from 66.3 per cent to 67.4 per cent, while the national clearance rate rose from 67.3 per cent to 70 per cent. Mortgage Choice notes that the interest rate cut in February has resulted in a sharp rise in applications for home loans

CORPORATES
MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, RP DATA LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY MONITORS PTY LTD, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, McGRATH ESTATE AGENTS, JELLIS CRAIG AND COMPANY

ASX revving as results season hits high gear

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Original article by Bianca Hartge-Hazelman
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 16-Feb-15

Futures traders expect Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 to advance 29 points when trading resumes on 16 February 2015. The benchmark index closed at a seven-year high of 5,877.5 on 13 February. A number of blue-chip stocks are slated to release their latest financial results in the coming week, while the prospect of further monetary policy easing should also bolster sentiment toward equities. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar has fallen to $US0.7744 and it is widely tipped to lose more ground

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMCOR LIMITED – ASX AMC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS

Jobless jump points to rate cut

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 13-Feb-15

The Australian economy shed more than 12,000 jobs in January 2015, with the unemployment rate rising to 6.4 per cent. The jobless rate’s rise to its highest level in 12 years weighed heavily on the Australian dollar, which reached a low of $US0.7662 on 12 February. The data also prompted speculation of further interest rate cuts, while business groups say the figures demonstrate the need for industrial relations reforms

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

$A plunges as investors bet on rate cut in March

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Original article by Misa Han
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 13-Feb-15

The Australian dollar was buying $US0.7646 late in trading on 12 February 2015. The currency was sold down in response to data showing that Australia’s unemployment rate rose to 6.4 per cent in January, with the economy shedding more than 12,000 jobs during the month. The jobs data has heightened expectations of further easing of monetary policy, and Paul Bloxham of HSBC expects the currency to continue to retreat

CORPORATES
HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Telstra, Stockland and big four to benefit from rate cut

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Original article by Max Mason
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 6-Feb-15

More investors are expected to embrace equities as a result of the interest rate cut on 3 February 2015, due to low yields on government bonds and bank deposits. George Boubouras of Contango Asset Management notes that stocks such as banks, telcos, consumer staples and infrastructure typically rise in response to an interest rate cut. Healthy dividend yields means the four major banks and Telstra in particular are likely to receive continued strong support from investors

CORPORATES
CONTANGO ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, STOCKLAND – ASX SGP, DEXUS PROPERTY GROUP – ASX DXS, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, PLATYPUS ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED