Michele Levine, CEO, Roy Morgan Research, comments on the findings in State of the Nation 25: Spotlight on Financial Risk

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Aug-16

The end of the mining boom in Australia presents the Australian economy with many pressing challenges – and some of the biggest involve the potential for a slowing Australian economy to increase mortgage stress around the country, and also to lead to diminished superannuation balances for Australians heading towards retirement. The casualisation of the Australian work-force with an increasing proportion of Australians working part-time rather than full-time means many Australians are forced to save less for their retirement whilst the ability to pay current bills, including mortgage payments, is also crimped. In addition, the persistently low interest rates in Australia mean the amount required for retirement actually increases as annual returns on investments follow interest rates lower. Follow this link to view the full State of the Nation 25: Spotlight on Financial Risk Powerpoint presentation PDF.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

State of the Nation 25: Spotlight on Financial Risk

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Aug-16

Roy Morgan Research CEO Michele Levine this week presented the latest State of the Nation Report in Melbourne and Sydney, with a special Spotlight on Financial Risk including Mortgage debt and stress, Income risks and the adequacy of retirement funding. Key findings of this in-depth industry spotlight include: Home ownership in Australia is likely to continue its downward trend whilst house price increases outpace the increase in household incomes; Mortgage stress levels are likely to remain elevated even with the likelihood of further interest rate reductions by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) over the coming 12-18 months. Official Australian interest rates are already at a record low of 1.5% and likely to converge with the 0% interest rates found in comparable Western economies including the United States, United Kingdom, Canada and the EU; Household debt levels could become a risk for both households and banks should general economic conditions turn down; The reliance on dual incomes for home loans repayments by many Australian families is a risk in itself with the increasing trend towards part-time work throughout much of the economy and with the additional factor of low wages growth and many more. View the full release to see a comprehensive run-down of findings.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

CBA cuts discounts to boost margins

Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 19 & 22 : 23-Aug-16

The Commonwealth Bank has advised mortgage brokers that the discount on some of its mortgage loan applications for owner-occupiers and investors will be reduced by 15 basis points. It has also cut the discount on several other mortgage products by eight basis points. The move has been attributed to factors such as the rising cost of funding and new capital requirements. Australia’s major banks recently attracted criticism for withholding most of the 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Elliott steadies the ship at ANZ

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 & 25 : 10-Aug-16

The ANZ Bank has posted a cash profit of $A5.2bn for the nine months to 30 June 2016, which is three per cent lower than previously. ANZ’s earnings for the June 2016 quarter were below expectations at around $A1.7bn, while bad debt charges rose to $A482m during the quarter. Meanwhile, CEO Shayne Elliott has defended the banks’ decision to pass on only part of the 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate to home loan customers and increase the interest rates on some term deposits.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Banks reject Turnbull demand

Original article by Phillip Coorey, Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 4-Aug-16

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has criticised the major banks for failing to reduce their interest rates by the full 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate on 2 August 2016. Turnbull says the banks have a "social licence" and their CEOs should explain why the rate cut was not passed on to their customers in full. ANZ Bank CEO Shayne Elliott has conceded that banks should do more to explain their decisions on interest rates, but notes that wholesale funding costs are rising and the banks will be subject to new capital requirements.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION

BoQ lifts mortgage rates as profit jumps 11pc

Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 19 & 22 : 8-Apr-16

The Bank of Queensland has reported an 11 per cent rise in 2015-16 interim profit to $A171 million. CEO Jon Sutton says the bank’s variable interest rates for owner-occupier home loans will be raised by 12 basis points to 5.86 per cent. Mortgage rates on investor loans will rise by 25 basis points to 6.28 per cent. The new rates will take effect in mid-April 2016.

CORPORATES
BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MACQUARIE EQUITIES LIMITED, VIRGIN MONEY (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD

Rate of investor home loans plummets

Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 10-Mar-16

Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show that total lending to residential property investors fell by 14.8 per cent to a seasonally adjusted $A11.36 billion in January 2016. This is the fastest rate of decline in seven years. Total lending to owner-occupiers increased by 15.9 per cent in the 12 months to January 2016.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MIRVAC GROUP – ASX MGR, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Mortgage activity falls to three-year low

Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 33 : 19-Jan-16

CoreLogic RP Data’s Mortgage Index fell to 70.1 in the week to 17 January 2016. The index was at 99.2 a year ago. The New South Wales mortgage index recorded a sharp decline to 90.4, falling 53.2 per cent from a month earlier. A year ago, it stood at 131.6.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, RP DATA LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIAN FINANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX AFG, FITCH AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, PROPELL NATIONAL VALUERS PTY LTD, WBP PROPERTY GROUP PTY LTD

Fixed rates fall as banks chase loans

Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 23-Nov-15

Data from RateCity shows that 11 Australian mortgage lenders have reduced their three-year fixed interest rates since early November 2015. Peter Arnold of RateCity notes that the majority of these lenders have passed on interest rate cuts to both owner-occupiers and property investors. Meanwhile, Jessica Darnbrough of Mortgage Choice says the number of customers opting for a fixed-interest loan fell to a four-year low of 13.9 per cent in October.

CORPORATES
RATECITY PTY LTD, MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, RP DATA LIMITED

10pc tax on financial services could mean higher house costs

Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 4-Nov-15

Ernst & Young’s Brad Miller says a proposal to impose a 10 per cent tax on margin-based financial services could result in home buyers being taxed twice. The tax initiative was proposed by ex-KPMG tax partner Michael Evans, and would apply to banks’ margin of profit on financial products such as mortgages. Miller notes that house buyers could potentially pay GST on both the home itself and the interest on their mortgage loan.

CORPORATES
ERNST AND YOUNG, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, SOUTH AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS AUSTRALIA (INTERNATIONAL) PTY LTD, BDO AUSTRALIA LIMITED