PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT – AUSTRALIA

Forget May, June’s the time to sell and go away

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 1-Jun-16

The Australian sharemarket has gained nearly 10 per cent since 11 April 2016, which equates to more than 450 points. However, fund managers do not expect the recent rally to be sustained in June, citing factors such as the prospect of an interest rate rise in the US in coming months. Tax loss selling and portfolio rebalancing in the lead-up to the end of the financial year will also influence the near-term direction of the market.

CORPORATES
UBS GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, PEAK ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, OPHIR ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS LIMITED – ASX LNG, CAPITOL HEALTH LIMITED – ASX CAJ, 1-PAGE LIMITED – ASX 1PG, CARDNO LAWSON TRELOAR PTY LTD, CUDECO LIMITED – ASX CDU

Wilson tips difficult six months for stocks

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 31-May-16

The WAM Leaders fund debuted on the Australian sharemarket on 30 May 2016, after raising $A394.3m via an IPO. The listed investment company will invest in S&P/ASX 200 stocks, with a focus on growth-oriented large-capitalisation stocks that are undervalued. Veteran fund manager Geoff Wilson says the fund will not invest in the top-20 stocks at present, as they have performed poorly for investors over the last 12 months. He expects market conditions to be challenging for the next six months.

CORPORATES
WAM LEADERS LIMITED – ASX WLE, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WAM CAPITAL LIMITED – ASX WAM, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS LIMITED – ASX VOC, MAGELLAN GLOBAL EQUITIES FUND (MANAGED FUND) – ASX MGE

Industrials good value, says UBS

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 30-May-16

UBS strategist David Cassidy notes that Australian industrial stocks are currently trading at more than 18 times forward earnings. In contrast, the long-term average is about 16 times. However, Cassidy has identified a number of industrial stocks that he says still represent value for investors. His top picks include Aristocrat Leisure, Orora, Resmed, Treasury Wine Estates, Crown Resorts and Vocus Communications.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL, ORORA LIMITED – ASX ORA, RESMED INCORPORATED – ASX RMD, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS LIMITED – ASX VOC, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, SIRTEX MEDICAL LIMITED – ASX SRX, ANSELL LIMITED – ASX ANN, COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED – ASX CPU, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, INCITEC PIVOT LIMITED – ASX IPL, QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED – ASX QAN

Trimmed down miners tipped as next hot sector

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 27-May-16

UBS Small Companies Fund portfolio managers Stephen Wood and David Haddad are upbeat about the outlook for smaller Australian-listed mining companies. They note that many small-capitalisation mining groups have significantly reduced their costs over the last five years, which has made them attractive to investors. UBS favours stocks such as Fortescue Metals Group, Sundance Resources, Whitehaven Coal, Galaxy Resources, Orocobre and Pilbara Minerals.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SUNDANCE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX SDL, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC, GALAXY RESEARCH AND PLANNING PTY LTD, OROCOBRE LIMITED – ASX ORE, PILBARA MINERALS LIMITED – ASX PLS, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

Negative yields could be on the way to Australia’s market

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Original article by Vesna Poljak, Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 & 26 : 26-May-16

The yield on Australian government bonds recently reached a record low of 2.2 per cent, and Arif Husain of T. Rowe Price has warned that yields may eventually fall into negative territory. The head of international fixed income says investors should consider whether bonds continue to provide the level of income and stability they require. He favour Serbian bonds for income and Swedish covered bonds for stability, with the latter hedged in Australian dollars.

CORPORATES
T ROWE PRICE GROUP INCORPORATED

Palmer and Packer up in top stocks

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Original article by John Stensholt
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 & 26 : 26-May-16

Reliance Worldwide Corporation chairman Jonathan Munz and WiseTech Global CEO Richard White will appear on the "BRW" Rich 200 List for the first time in 2016, with estimated wealth of $A1.07bn and $A657m respectively. Meanwhile, some members of the Rich List have increased their fortunes by investing in speculative resources stocks, including James Packer, Mark Creasy and Kerry Harmanis.

CORPORATES
RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX RWC, WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED – ASX WTC, MOD RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX MOD, GASCOYNE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GCY, ALICANTO MINERALS LIMITED – ASX AQI, DE GREY MINING LIMITED – ASX DEG, BEADELL RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX BDR, MINERALOGY PTY LTD, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, PARADICE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, JUBILEE MINES NL, XSTRATA AG, BLACKMORES LIMITED – ASX BKL, ACONEX LIMITED – ASX ACX, SMART PARKING LIMITED – ASX SPZ, BELLAMY’S AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX BAL, MILLENNIUM MINERALS LIMITED – ASX MOY

Mid-cap returns surge 54pc in past five years

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 25-May-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX MidCap 50 Index has gained nearly 14 per cent in 2016, while the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 has shed two per cent. Meanwhile, mid-capitalisation stocks have delivered total returns of 54 per cent over the last five years. While the benchmark index is heavily weighted toward banks and resources groups, the MidCap 50 includes a more diverse range of sectors. Treasury Wine Estates, Domino’s Pizza Enterprises and REA Group are among the top performers in the index over the last 12 months.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX MIDCAP 50 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED, HYPERION ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, ARNHEM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, SPOTLESS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX SPO, PRIMARY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX PRY, ANSELL LIMITED – ASX ANN

Even lower interest rates keep dividends attractive

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 20-May-16

Tim Baker of Deutsche Bank expects the high dividend yields of Australian equities to remain attractive to investors, amid historically low interest rates and bond yields. He notes that Australian dividend yields have averaged about five per cent over the long-term, which is significantly higher than the yield on international shares. He adds that Australian superannuation funds may reduce their exposure to cash products in favour of shares, while banks’ high yields may attract both local and offshore investors.

CORPORATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, ORICA LIMITED – ASX ORI, CSR LIMITED – ASX CSR, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, STOCKLAND – ASX SGP, PACT GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX PGH, ALUMINA LIMITED – ASX AWC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, APA GROUP – ASX APA, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN

Banks, property still the top investment picks

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Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 20-Apr-16

The Australian sharemarket has been trading within a range of 4,900 to 5,200 points in recent months. However, VISIS Private Wealth’s Chris Smith argues that investors should be focusing on the outlook for the market in the next 3-5 years, rather than its short-term performance. Smith says the nation’s four major banks should achieve good returns over the longer-term, while he is also upbeat about the long-term outlook for the residential and commercial property markets.

CORPORATES
VISIS PRIVATE WEALTH, STEPHAN STRATEGIC, RMIT UNIVERSITY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

Volatile equities to keep insurers’ dividends low

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Original article by Michael Rodman
The Australian – Page: 31 : 7-Apr-16

Income from their investment portfolios generates a significant proportion of Australian-listed insurance companies’ earnings. Andrew Adams of Credit Suisse says financial market volatility during the March 2016 quarter will in turn put downward pressure on their dividend payouts. Insurance Australia Group is likely to be hardest hit by the market volatility. Adams has scaled back his 2015-16 profit forecast for the group from $A920m to $A830m.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 ACCUMULATION INDEX