PRICE-EARNINGS RATIO – AUSTRALIA

Investors need to mind the looming earnings gap

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Original article by Luke Housego
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 16-Jun-20

The coronavirus pandemic is set to weigh on the financial results of Australian-listed companies, with Morgan Stanley noting that the consensus forecast is for earnings to fall by 15.2 per cent in 2020. The average 12-month forward price-earnings ratios for the S&P/ASX 200 was 18.1 times before the recent sell-off, compared with a long-term average of around 14 times. Jason Steed of Morgan Stanley says a relatively small shift in earnings expectations when P/E ratios are high can prompt a sharp fall in share prices.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

What crisis? Bull market rages on as beaten-down banks lead value charge

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 13 & 19 : 5-Jun-20

The S&P/ASX 200 has gained more than 30 per cent since reaching a seven-year low of 4,402.5 points on 23 March. Morgan Stanley estimates that the benchmark index is currently trading on a record 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 19.55 times. While there has been strong support for some defensive growth stocks, value stocks continue to outperform; Chris Nicol of Morgan Stanley says there will be further upside for value stocks if there is a V-shaped economic recovery.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

A whiff of optimism behind PE expanders

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 28-Aug-18

The average forward price-earnings multiple of the 25 most expensive stocks in the S&P/ASX 300 has risen by 9.8 per cent since these companies reported their latest financial results, while the PE multiple of the indice’s 25 cheapest stocks has contracted. Jason Steed of JP Morgan has attributed the PE expansion to factors such as momentum buying, short covering, deployment of high cash balances and the recent political uncertainty. Meanwhile, Steed notes that 30 per cent of the stocks that JP Morgan covers have exceeded expectations during the August reporting season, while 28 per cent have failed to meet expectations.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 300 INDEX, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED – ASX MND, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, APA GROUP – ASX APA, CHEUNG KONG INFRASTRUCTURE HOLDINGS LIMITED, HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES COMPANY LIMITED, ZTE CORPORATION, DEUTSCHE BANK AG

That high P/E for a stock may not be that high a P/E after all

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 9-Aug-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index currently boasts a forward price/earnings ratio of 16 times, while its long-term average is around 14.5 times. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 boast forward P/E ratios of about 18 and 20 times. Meanwhile, many individual stocks in the ASX/200 boast P/E ratios of more than 20 times. Clime Investment Management argues that the elevated P/E ratios of some top-20 stocks may not be justified.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, CLIME ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, BLOOMBERG LP

Lower rates help stocks but won’t spur growth

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 31 : 4-Aug-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 6.3 per cent in July 2016, but it has shed 2.2 per cent since the Reserve Bank reduced the cash rate to a record low on 2 August. However, equities are likely to benefit from a likely trend for self-managed superannuation funds to reduce their exposure to cash as returns from such investments fall. The outlook for interest rates in Australia and abroad is also likely to ensure that price-earnings ratios remain elevated for some time.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

Citi’s Brennan tips resilience in earnings growth

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 34 : 29-Jul-16

The Australian sharemarket currently boasts a forward price-earnings ratio of 16.6 times, but some market watchers expect that the August 2016 reporting season will justify the high earnings multiple. Tony Brennan of Citigroup is upbeat about the reporting season, saying the positive earnings surprises are likely to outweigh the negative surprises. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed at 5556.6 on 27 July, although Brennan expects it to end the year at about 5,500. However, he forecasts that it will rise to 5,750 by mid-2017.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, APPLE INCORPORATED, FACEBOOK INCORPORATED

ASX earnings likely to get better, say fund managers

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 22 : 27-May-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index has gained almost 10 per cent in the last seven weeks, prompting speculation as to whether the rally can be sustained. The market is now trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 16 times earnings, compared with its long-run average of around 14 times. However, Nader Naeimi of AMP Capital is upbeat about the earnings outlook for listed companies, and notes that even a modest increase in earnings will be sufficient to bolster the market.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, BEL-RAY AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, FIDELITY INVESTMENTS AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, EQUITY TRUSTEES LIMITED – ASX EQT

Banks cheap on valuations, but ‘buy’ status questionable

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 12-Apr-16

The share prices of Australia’s four major banks have fallen by 7-12 per cent in the last month. As a result, the banks are trading at a sizeable discount based on their forward price-to-earnings ratio, which has fallen to about 11 times. However, Omkar Joshi of Watermark Funds Management notes that the banks are still much more expensive than their international peers on a price-to-book ratio.

CORPORATES
WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, BLOOMBERG LP, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ARRIUM LIMITED – ASX ARI, AURORA FUNDS MANAGEMENT LIMITED, CONTANGO ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, ESANDA FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

Reporting season ups and downs

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 2-Feb-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index has shed five per cent so far in 2016, and share price performances are likely to come under scrutiny during the February reporting season. Matt Ross of Goldman Sachs says price-earnings multiples are five per cent lower than they were in the lead-up to the August 2015 reporting season. He adds that growth in earnings-per-share is now at its lowest level since the global financial crisis.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, BEGA CHEESE LIMITED – ASX BGA, COLES GROUP LIMITED, MURRAY GOULBURN CO-OPERATIVE COMPANY LIMITED, MG UNIT TRUST – ASX MGC, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, ISENTIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX ISD, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, CARSALES.COM LIMITED – ASX CAR, SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, ARB CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX ARB, TATTS GROUP LIMITED – ASX TTS, QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX QUB, IRESS LIMITED – ASX IRE, PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED – ASX PMV, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, TRADE ME GROUP LIMITED – ASX TME, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, MYOB GROUP LIMITED – ASX MYO, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, SELECT HARVESTS LIMITED – ASX SHV, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH, SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED – ASX SHL, VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS LIMITED – ASX VOC, CHALLENGER LIMITED – ASX CGF, MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED – ASX MND

Some growth stocks overpriced, warns UBS

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 27-Oct-15

TPG Telecom and Domino’s Pizza Enterprises are among the companies that have been added to UBS Australia’s list of "quality growth" stocks. The stocks on this list delivered a total return of 21.5 per cent in the year to 14 October 2015, compared with a return of 10.2 per cent for the S&P/ASX 100 ex-resources index. David Cassidy of UBS notes that stocks on the firm’s list have a median price-earnings ratio of 20.5 times.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, DULUXGROUP LIMITED – ASX DLX, CARSALES.COM LIMITED – ASX CAR, RESMED INCORPORATED – ASX RMD, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX, TATTS GROUP LIMITED – ASX TTS, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, MACQUARIE WEALTH MANAGEMENT, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED – ASX SHL, COVER-MORE GROUP LIMITED – ASX CVO, BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED – ASX BRG, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 100 INDEX