PUBLIC OPINION POLLS – AUSTRALIA

57% of Australians approve of the Federal Government’s agreement to purchase nuclear submarines from the USA

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-Sep-21

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey shows that 57% of Australians approve of the Federal Government’s agreement to buy nuclear-powered submarines from the US, while 43% disapprove. Some 89% of L-NP supporters approve of the agreement, compared to 47% of ALP supporters and only 14% of Greens supporters. Meanwhile, 68% of men and 46% of women approve of the agreement. There is also a clear ‘age gap’ on views of the agreement, with strong approval among people aged 50-64 (60%) and those aged 65+ (72%); in contrast, 53% of people aged 18-24 and 51% of those aged 25-34 disapprove of the agreement. This Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey was conducted with an Australia-wide cross-section of 1,714 Australians aged 18+ on 16 September.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

ALP (54.5%) increases lead over L-NP (45.5%) for third straight interviewing period

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Sep-21

The latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows that ALP support has increased to 54.5% (up 0.5% points since mid-August) cf. L-NP on 45.5% (down 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis. This was the third straight increase in support for the ALP and they are now up 4% points since having a narrow lead in mid-June (ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%). It is the largest two-party preferred lead for the ALP since the national bushfires crisis of last year when the ALP enjoyed a maximum lead of 10% points on a two-party preferred basis in early February 2020 (ALP 55% cf. L-NP 45%). If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be easily elected with the largest share of the vote since the 1977 Federal Election won by Prime Minister Malcolm Fraser with 54.6% of the vote. Primary support for the ALP is up 1% point to 38.5% since mid-August and has now moved ahead of the L-NP which is unchanged on 37.5%. ALP support increased at the expense of the Greens, who were down 1% point to 11.5%. Support for One Nation was down 0.5% points to 3%, while support for Independents/Others was up 0.5% points to 9.5%. Interviewing for the latest Roy Morgan Poll was conducted over the weekends of August 21/22 & 28/29, 2021 with a nationally representative cross-section of 2,735 Australian electors using a combination of telephone and online interviews.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

ALP (54%) increases lead over L-NP (46%) – as Melbourne and Sydney lockdowns continue

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Aug-21

ALP support is at 54% (up 0.5% points since early August) cf. L-NP on 46% (down 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis after Melbourne’s sixth lockdown was extended, Sydney’s lockdown was extended to the whole State of NSW and the ACT entered lockdown for the first time in over a year. This is the largest two-party preferred lead for the ALP since the bushfires crisis of early 2020. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be elected with the largest share of the vote since the 1977 Federal Election won by Prime Minister Malcolm Fraser with 54.6% of the vote. Voting analysis by State shows the ALP leading on a two-party preferred basis in Australia’s two largest States of Victoria and NSW and also holding leads in WA, SA and Tasmania. The LNP leads only in Queensland. Interviewing for the Roy Morgan Poll was conducted over the weekends of August 7/8 & 14/15, with a nationally representative cross-section of 2,747 Australian electors using a combination of telephone and online interviews.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

ALP (50.5%) leads L-NP (49.5%) on a two-party preferred basis – no bounce for PM from G7 trip

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-Jun-21

ALP support is now 50.5% (down 0.5% points since early June) cf. L-NP on 49.5% (up 0.5% points) on a two-party preferred basis following Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s overseas trip to the G7 in the United Kingdom according to the latest Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention. If a Federal Election were held now it would be too close to call with the chance Australia would have a hung Parliament for the first time since 2013. Interviewing was conducted on the weekends of June 12/13 & June 19/20, 2021 with a representative cross-section of 2,782 Australian electors using a combination of telephone and online interviews. Primary support for the L-NP was up 1.5% points to 41.5% compared to the ALP on 34.5% (down 1% point). Greens support was up 0.5% points to 12%. Support for One Nation was up 0.5% points to 3.5% while support for Independents/Others has dropped by 1.5% points to 8.5%. Voting Intention by State shows ALP ahead in Victoria but the L-NP leading in NSW, QLD & WA.

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ALP (51%) leads L-NP (49%) on a two-party preferred basis on the back of big lead in Victoria

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-Jun-21

During the Victorian lockdown in early June, support for the Federal ALP is 51% on a two-party preferred basis, up 0.5% points since March 2021 and ahead of the L-NP on 49% (down 0.5% points) despite a relatively well received Federal Budget delivered in May, according to the latest Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention. Primary support for the L-NP is at 40% (down 1% point) compared to the ALP on 35.5% (up 1% point). Greens support has dropped by 1% point to 11.5% while support for One Nation is up 0.5% points to 3% and support for Independents/Others is up 0.5% points to 10%. Voting analysis by State shows the ALP’s national lead is built upon a strong two-party preferred result in Victoria, with the ALP 53.5% cf. L-NP 46.5% in the State enduring its fourth lockdown – although set to end this Friday after two weeks. The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is down 5pts from March 2021 to 113 and now at its lowest since the COVID-19 pandemic began. Now 48.5% (down 3% points) of Australians say the country is ‘heading in the right direction’, while more than a third, 35.5% (up 2% points) say the country is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Australians still set to take the vaccine: but opinion is divided on PM Scott Morrison’s handling of all COVID-19 related issues

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Apr-21

Now 83% of Australians have either already been vaccinated (7%), are willing to be vaccinated (69%) or would be willing to be vaccinated once the Pfizer vaccine becomes available (7%) – a total of 83% and an increase of 3% points since February, according to a special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey conducted on Friday April 9 and Saturday April 10, 2021. Although the vast majority of Australians across all ages, genders, States and political party allegiances are willing to take the vaccine or have already done so, there is a political divide. Only 13% of L-NP voters say they will not be vaccinated, while more than 1-in-5 Labor and Green voters and those who vote for Independents and other parties express unwillingness to be vaccinated. The nation is evenly split on Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s handling of all COVID-19 related issues with 51% disapproving of Morrison’s handling of the pandemic and 49% approving. Clear majority support for Morrison’s handling of all COVID-19 related issues is recorded among Australians aged 65+, people in country areas, NSW, Queensland, WA and Tasmania, as well as L-NP supporters. In contrast a majority of younger Australians, women, people in capital cities and Victoria as well as supporters of the ALP and Greens disapprove.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

How COVID-19 bumped the handshake

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Original article by Andrew Taylor
The Sunday Age – Page: 8 : 27-Feb-21

A recent survey of more than 1,000 people by Roy Morgan has found that just 30 per cent want to shake hands with a colleague or stranger, down from 88 per cent prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. The percentage of people wanting to hug family and friends has declined from 87 per cent to 67 per cent, while the percentage that are happy to kiss family and friends has fallen from 63 per cent to 37 per cent. Zarife Taylor from the Australian School of Etiquette says the pandemic has resulted in an immediate change to personal greetings, but that shaking hands will remain a fundamental part of personal interaction.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN SCHOOL OF ETIQUETTE

Australians are divided over the Australian Open

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Jan-21

A special Roy Morgan survey into attitudes regarding next month’s Australian Open shows Australians are split on what they think should happen with the Grand Slam tournament due to start in just over two weeks on Monday February 8. 36% want the Open to go ahead as planned, 18% want the event to be postponed for a week, 20% want the tournament played later in the year and 26% want the event to be cancelled altogether. On a State-by-State basis it is perhaps surprising that South Australians (42%) are the most in favour of the Australian Open ‘going ahead as planned’ next month. This is followed by Victorians (39%), people in New South Wales (38%) and Queenslanders (32%). There is little difference on the question between Melburnians (39%) and Country Victorians (40%).

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Dump Albo call as heartland vote tanks

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Original article by Greg Brown
The Australian – Page: 1 : 18-Jan-21

The Construction. Forestry, Maritime, Mining & Energy Union’s national political organiser Elizabeth Doidge says Labor leader Anthony Albanese must be ousted ahead of the next election. This follows the release of polling on behalf of key building industry unions which suggests that Labor is set to lose the Hunter Valley electorates of Shortland and Paterson at the next election. Doidge says the polling, which was undertaken in November, shows that Labor cannot win the election with Albanese as its leader. She says Tanya Plibersek would make a "fantastic leader".

CORPORATES
CONSTRUCTION, FORESTRY, MARITIME, MINING AND ENERGY UNION OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Big swing to the ALP in Queensland in the final two weeks secures re-election as One Nation support drops

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Original article by
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Nov-20

The Queensland ALP Government was re-elected as a continuing swing to the ALP in the final two weeks increased ALP primary support 4.9% since the 2017 Election to 40.3%. LNP support was up 2% to 35.7%. The increases came at the expense of One Nation which dropped 6.7% to 7%. The ALP swing was cemented as Premier Palaszczuk announced on October 30 the Queensland border would re-open to regional NSW from November 3 but remain closed to Greater Sydney and Victoria. The Roy Morgan Poll conducted on October 12-15, 2020 predicted swings to the ALP and LNP and a swing away from One Nation and showed a majority of Queenslanders in favour of Premier Palaszczuk’s hard border policy with NSW. [Click to view full article here]

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, ONE NATION PARTY, LIBERAL-NATIONAL PARTY OF QUEENSLAND, ROY MORGAN LIMITED