L-NP in front again as Turnbull shows leadership

Original article by Gary Morgan, Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 4-Apr-16

This week’s Morgan Poll lift in L-NP support (now L-NP 52.5% cf. ALP 47.5%) shows Turnbull has re-established the Federal Government as "better managers" by using the ABCC debate to link economic management to union corruption in the building and construction industry. The Federal Opposition has stated they will campaign at the Federal Election on increasing Federal funding including Health and Education (both State issues) from raising significant revenue from elimination of taxation minimisation. Last weekend Turnbull "cleverly" outmanoeuvred the States and Federal Opposition by neutralising health and education funding by offering State Premiers the right to raise their own State income tax – good policy but political suicide! In these difficult times, the only real solution is to cut Local, State and Federal Government spending.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN BUILDING AND CONSTRUCTION COMMISSION

L-NP in front again as Turnbull shows leadership

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 4-Apr-16

A multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention has found that support for Australia’s ruling Liberal-National Coalition on a two-party preferred basis has risen by three per cent to 52.5 per cent. The poll, which was carried out on the weekends of 26-27 March and 2-3 April 2016, also shows that the Coalition’s primary vote has risen by two per cent to 42 per cent, while the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen by 2.5 points to 106.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, KATTER’S AUSTRALIAN PARTY, PALMER UNITED PARTY, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

ALP increases support in all Australian States. Queensland electors narrowly turn down new election after Referendum on 4 year terms successful

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 1-Apr-16

An SMS Morgan Poll on State voting intention, which was carried out from 25-28 March 2016, has found that support for Queensland’s ALP Government has risen by four per cent to 52 per cent on a two-party preferred basis. The poll also shows that Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk’s rating as "Better Premier" has risen by two per cent to 63.5 per cent. In New South Wales, support for the L-NP Government has fallen by 4.5 per cent to 55.5 per cent on a two-party preferred basis, while Mike Baird’s rating as "Better Premier" has fallen by 7.5 per cent to 64.5 per cent. In Victoria, support for the ALP Government has risen by 1.5 per cent to 55 per cent on a two-party preferred basis, while Daniel Andrews’ rating as "Better Premier" has risen by 0.5 per cent to 63 per cent.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF NEW SOUTH WALES, NEW SOUTH WALES. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL-NATIONAL PARTY OF QUEENSLAND, QUEENSLAND. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET, LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA, VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET, LIBERAL PARTY OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA, WESTERN AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET, LIBERAL PARTY OF SOUTH AUSTRALIA, SOUTH AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET, LIBERAL PARTY OF TASMANIA, TASMANIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, PALMER UNITED PARTY, CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY, COUNTRY ALLIANCE, KATTER’S AUSTRALIAN PARTY, FAMILY FIRST PARTY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NICK XENOPHON TEAM

ALP & L-NP now too close to call as electors react to Government forcing Senate voting changes last week as Turnbull today recalls Parliament in April for Double Dissolution Election showdown

Original article by Gary Morgan
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 22-Mar-16

This week’s Morgan Poll shows that the ALP (50.5 per cent, up 3.5 per cent) is now just in front of the L-NP (49.5 per cent, down 3.5 per cent) on a two-party preferred basis, after a chaotic week in which the Coalition Government with the help of the Greens forced contentious electoral changes through the Senate against the wishes of the ALP and the cross-benchers, who face losing their seats under the new system. Following on from last week’s Senate voting reform, Turnbull has turned up the heat on the Senate cross-benchers by deciding to recall Parliament in four weeks’ time to debate the reintroduction of the Australian Building & Construction Commission (ABCC). Turnbull has explicitly told the Senate cross-benchers to either pass the Bill restoring the ABCC or face a Double Dissolution Election on 2 July. To facilitate the potential calling of a Double Dissolution Election – which would have to be done by 11 May – Turnbull has also brought forward this year’s Federal Budget by a week, to the first Tuesday in May. Although the restoration of the ABCC is being used as a potential trigger to call an early election, the election will be fought on economic issues and taxation.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

ALP & L-NP now too close to call as electors react to Government forcing Senate voting changes last week as Turnbull today recalls Parliament in April for Double Dissolution Election showdown

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 21-Mar-16

A multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention has found that support for Australia’s ruling Liberal-National Coalition on a two-party preferred basis has fallen by 3.5 per cent to 49.5 per cent. The poll, which was carried out on the weekends of 12-13 and 19-20 March 2016, also shows that the Coalition’s primary vote has fallen by three per cent to 40 per cent, while the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen by 1.5 points to 103.5. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says that to reduce Australia’s "real" level of unemployment and under-employment the Government must introduce comprehensive industrial relations reform that cuts "red tape" such as lowering or eliminating excessive penalty rates for working on weekends and public holidays and which would lead to higher productivity and wages across the whole workforce. The Government must also make an effort to deal with Australia’s large "cash economy" that undercuts legitimate businesses and facilitates massive tax avoidance.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, KATTER’S AUSTRALIAN PARTY, PALMER UNITED PARTY, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Polling the polls: the ultimate guide to the growing sport of political polling

Original article by Edmund Tadros
The Australian Financial Review – Page: Online : 15-Mar-16

The six main public opinion polls that are currently produced in Australia use a range of methodologies. Roy Morgan Research’s Morgan Poll uses a combination of face-to-face and SMS surveys, which can be supplemented with additional polling via mobile and landline if necessary. In contrast, ReachTEL uses so-called robo-polling, while Galaxy uses a combination of robo-polling and online surveys for both its own polls and the Newspoll, which it has produced for "The Australian" since mid-2015. The Fairfax/Ipsos poll uses both telephone and mobile interviews, while the Essential poll uses an online survey panel.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, REACHTEL PTY LTD, GALAXY RESEARCH PTY LTD, NEWSPOLL, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, IPSOS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, ESSENTIAL MEDIA COMMUNICATIONS PTY LTD, NEWS CORP AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, UMR RESEARCH PTY LTD, HAWKER BRITTON PTY LTD, COLMAR BRUNTON SOCIAL RESEARCH PTY LTD, MACQUARIE UNIVERSITY, PALMER UNITED PARTY, THE NIELSEN COMPANY (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD

Federal Voting Intention virtually unchanged: L-NP 53% maintain clear 2PP lead over ALP 47% as Parliament debates Senate reform

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 7-Mar-16

A multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention has found that support for Australia’s ruling Liberal-National Coalition on a two-party preferred basis has risen by 0.5 per cent to 53 per cent. The poll, which was carried out on the weekends of 27-28 February and 5-6 March 2016, also shows that the Coalition’s primary vote has fallen by 0.5 per cent to 43 per cent, while the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has fallen by three points to 102. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says this week’s strong result for the L-NP comes after a good week for the Australian economy. GDP for the December 2015 quarter came in above expectations at 0.6 per cent, for an annual GDP growth rate of three per cent. In addition, last week the All Ordinaries Index increased by 4.2 per cent to close at 5,151.10 on Friday and the Australian dollar increased to over $US0.74- its highest since July 2015.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, KATTER’S AUSTRALIAN PARTY, PALMER UNITED PARTY, NICK XENOPHON TEAM

Not your mother’s Newspoll: robo-poll not quite what it seems

Original article by Edmund Tadros
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 23-Feb-16

The latest Morgan Poll, which uses both face-to-face and SMS interviews, has found that support for the Coalition on a two-party preferred basis is steady at 52.5 per cent. In contrast, the latest Newspoll suggests that support for the Coalition and the Australian Labor Party is tied at 50 per cent apiece. However, the Newspoll is now conducted by Galaxy Research, which uses a combination of automated "robo-polling" and online surveys rather than telephone surveys.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, NEWSPOLL, GALAXY RESEARCH PTY LTD, IPSOS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, MACQUARIE UNIVERSITY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Federal Voting Intention unchanged: L-NP 52.5% maintain clear 2PP lead over ALP 47.5%

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 22-Feb-16

A multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention has found that support for Australia’s ruling Liberal-National Coalition on a two-party preferred basis is steady at 52.5 per cent. The poll, which was carried out on the weekends of 13-14 and 20-21 February 2016, also shows that the Coalition’s primary vote is unchanged at 43.5 per cent, while the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has fallen by 7.5 points to 105. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and Treasurer Scott Morrison need to outline the policies and reforms they will stake this Government on now rather than waiting until Morrison delivers his first Federal Budget in May or when Turnbull decides to call an election.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, KATTER’S AUSTRALIAN PARTY, PALMER UNITED PARTY, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

ALP narrows gap following GST discussions – ALP up 2.5% to 47.5% cf. L-NP down 2.5% to 52.5%

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 9-Feb-16

A multi-mode Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention has found that support for Australia’s ruling Liberal-National Coalition on a two-party preferred basis has fallen by 2.5 per cent to 52.5 per cent. The poll, which was carried out on the weekends of 30-31 January and 6-7 February 2016, also shows that the Coalition’s primary vote is unchanged at 43.5 per cent, while the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has fallen by 0.5 points to 112.5. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says that arguing about what sort of taxation reforms the Turnbull Government should undertake such as increasing the GST is pointless as it completely ignores the booming "cash economy", which is especially concentrated in personal services, building and construction, retail and hospitality. Instead of arguing about whether to increase the tax burden on all Australians, the Government should be promoting a significant restructuring of Australia’s costly and restrictive industrial relations laws. The "red tape" that surrounds working conditions in Australia – including high weekend and public holiday penalty rates – discourages businesses from employing more people and contributing to a growing and more productive economy.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, KATTER’S AUSTRALIAN PARTY, PALMER UNITED PARTY, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET