Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Nov-24

ALP support at 51%, up 2% points from a week ago, is now narrowly ahead of the Coalition 49% (down 2% points) on a two-party preferred basis, as Prime Minister Anthony Albanese travelled to the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation and Group of 20 leadership forums in South America. If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. The close result this week, and the large size of the crossbench (currently 16 seats) means the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form government. ALP primary support recovered this week, up 2.5% to 31.5% at the expense of the Coalition, down 2% to 37%. Support for the Greens dropped 1% to 12.5%, One Nation was unchanged at 6.5%, Other Parties were down 0.5% to 4% and Independents increased 1% to 8.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, ASIA-PACIFIC ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION, GROUP OF TWENTY (G-20)

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Nov-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the Coalition 51% (up 0.5%) ahead of the ALP 49% (down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. The close result means either the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form government. The Coalition increased its primary vote to 39% (up 1.5%) and is now 10% in front of the ALP on 29% (down 1.5%) – the largest primary vote lead since July. The rise in support for the Coalition comes in the first full week of interviewing conducted entirely after Donald Trump’s victory in the Presidential Election.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 15-Oct-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the ALP 50% (unchanged) tied with the Coalition 50% (unchanged) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This week’s result continues a run of close results stretching back over four months since mid-June. ALP primary vote support dropped 1.5% points to 30% while the Coalition was unchanged on 37.5%. Support for the Greens increased 1.5% to 14% while One Nation increased 0.5% to 5.5%. Support for Other Parties dropped 0.5% to 3.5% and support for Independents was unchanged at 9%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 8-Oct-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the ALP 50% (up 1%) tied with the Coalition 50% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. Neither major party has held a decisive election-winning lead above 52% two-party preferred since the first week of June. ALP primary vote support increased 1.5% points to 31.5% while Coalition dropped 0.5% points to 37.5%. Support for the Greens was down 1% to 12.5% while One Nation increased 1% to 5.5%. Support for Other Parties dropped 0.5% to 4% and support for Independents was down 0.5% to 9%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Oct-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’, with the Coalition on 51% (up 1.5% from a week ago) just ahead of the ALP on 49% (down 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This is the first time the Coalition has been in front for over a month – based on preferences being distributed by what electors tell us. However, when preferences are allocated based on how Australians voted at the 2022 Federal Election the result is reversed with the ALP on 51.5% (down 0.5% from a week ago) cf. L-NP 48.5% (up 0.5%). This tight result emphasises again how important preference flows will be in determining which major party is best placed to form government with the support of minor parties and independents after the next federal election. ALP primary vote support dropped 2% points to 30% while Coalition support was up 0.5% points at 38% – an 8% point gap between the two parties, the largest for a month. Support for the Greens was up 1% to 13.5% while One Nation was down 0.5% at 4.5%. Support for Other Parties increased 1% to 4.5% and support for Independents was unchanged at 9.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-Sep-24

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that if a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’, with the ALP on 50.5% (down 0.5%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (up 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. There was a slight movement to the Coalition on a two-party preferred result this week; however, either the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result again shows the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The primary vote of both major parties was up this week – mainly at the expense of the Greens. The ALP’s primary vote increased 0.5% to 30.5% while Coalition support increased 1% to 37.5%. Support for the Greens dropped 2% to 12.5%, while One Nation was down 0.5% at 5.5%. Support for Other Parties increased 0.5% to 4%, and support for Independents was up 0.5% to 10%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-Sep-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the ALP on 51% (up 0.5%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49% (down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. There was a slight movement to the ALP on a two-party preferred result this week; however, the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result again shows the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The ALP primary vote decreased 0.5% to 30% while Coalition support increased 0.5% to 36.5%. Support for the Greens increased 1.5% to 14.5% while One Nation was unchanged at 6%. Support for Other Parties dropped 1.5% to 3.5% and support for Independents was unchanged at 9.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Sep-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the ALP on 50.5% (up 1%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This was a reverse of last week’s results after the Albanese Government’s strong stance on placing the CFMEU into administration last week; however, the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result once again highlights the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The ALP primary vote increased 1% to 30.5%, Coalition support dropped 3.5% to 36% – its lowest for nearly three months. Support for the Greens was unchanged at 13% while support for One Nation was up 2% to 6%, support for Other Parties was unchanged at 5% and support for Independents was up 0.5% to 9.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, CONSTRUCTION, FORESTRY AND MARITIME EMPLOYEES UNION

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-Aug-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’, with the Coalition on 50.5% (up 1%) just ahead of the ALP on 49.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This a reverse of last week’s results but nevertheless the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result once again highlights the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The Coalition primary vote increased by 1% to 39.5% while ALP primary support was down 1% to 29.5%. Support for the Greens was down 0.5% to 13% and support for One Nation was unchanged at 4%. Support for Other Parties was unchanged at 5% and support for Independents was up 0.5% to 9%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 20-Aug-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’, with the ALP on 50.5% (up 0.5%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. The ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result once again highlights the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The Coalition primary vote increased by 0.5% to 38.5% while ALP primary support was up 1% to 30.5%. Support for the Greens was down 0.5% to 13.5% and support for One Nation was down 1% to 4%. Smaller parties and independents lost support this week. Support for Other Parties increased 1% to 5% and support for Independents was down 1% to 8.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY