Federal voting intention virtually unchanged this week with ALP (50.5%) marginally ahead of the Coalition (49.5%); but Greens lost support after violent protests

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-Sep-24

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that if a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’, with the ALP on 50.5% (down 0.5%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (up 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. There was a slight movement to the Coalition on a two-party preferred result this week; however, either the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result again shows the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The primary vote of both major parties was up this week – mainly at the expense of the Greens. The ALP’s primary vote increased 0.5% to 30.5% while Coalition support increased 1% to 37.5%. Support for the Greens dropped 2% to 12.5%, while One Nation was down 0.5% at 5.5%. Support for Other Parties increased 0.5% to 4%, and support for Independents was up 0.5% to 10%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll: Federal voting intention virtually unchanged this week with ALP (51%) marginally ahead of the Coalition (49%)

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-Sep-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the ALP on 51% (up 0.5%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49% (down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. There was a slight movement to the ALP on a two-party preferred result this week; however, the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result again shows the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The ALP primary vote decreased 0.5% to 30% while Coalition support increased 0.5% to 36.5%. Support for the Greens increased 1.5% to 14.5% while One Nation was unchanged at 6%. Support for Other Parties dropped 1.5% to 3.5% and support for Independents was unchanged at 9.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll: ALP (50.5%) now marginally ahead of the Coalition (49.5%) after Albanese Government’s strong stance on putting the CFMEU into administration

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Sep-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the ALP on 50.5% (up 1%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This was a reverse of last week’s results after the Albanese Government’s strong stance on placing the CFMEU into administration last week; however, the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result once again highlights the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The ALP primary vote increased 1% to 30.5%, Coalition support dropped 3.5% to 36% – its lowest for nearly three months. Support for the Greens was unchanged at 13% while support for One Nation was up 2% to 6%, support for Other Parties was unchanged at 5% and support for Independents was up 0.5% to 9.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY, CONSTRUCTION, FORESTRY AND MARITIME EMPLOYEES UNION

Roy Morgan Poll: Coalition (50.5%) marginally ahead of the ALP (49.5%), but too close to call

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-Aug-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’, with the Coalition on 50.5% (up 1%) just ahead of the ALP on 49.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. This a reverse of last week’s results but nevertheless the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result once again highlights the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The Coalition primary vote increased by 1% to 39.5% while ALP primary support was down 1% to 29.5%. Support for the Greens was down 0.5% to 13% and support for One Nation was unchanged at 4%. Support for Other Parties was unchanged at 5% and support for Independents was up 0.5% to 9%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll: ALP (50.5%) marginally ahead of Coalition (49.5%), but too close to call

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 20-Aug-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’, with the ALP on 50.5% (up 0.5%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. The ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result once again highlights the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The Coalition primary vote increased by 0.5% to 38.5% while ALP primary support was up 1% to 30.5%. Support for the Greens was down 0.5% to 13.5% and support for One Nation was down 1% to 4%. Smaller parties and independents lost support this week. Support for Other Parties increased 1% to 5% and support for Independents was down 1% to 8.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll: ALP and Coalition are tied on 50% each two-party preferred in mid-August

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Aug-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the ALP on 50% (down 1.5%) tied with the Coalition on 50% (up 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. Based on these results the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government. The result again highlights the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The Coalition primary vote increased 1% to 38%, ALP primary support was down 1% to 29.5%, support for the Greens increased 2% to 14% and support for One Nation was down 0.5% to 5%. Smaller parties and independents lost support this week. Support for Other Parties dropped 1% to 4% and support for Independents was down 0.5% to 9.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll: Labor edges further ahead as inflation is lower than expected and interest rates set to remain unchanged: ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Aug-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be a narrow win for the Labor Party with the ALP on 51.5% (up 1%) ahead of the Coalition on 48.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. Although neither major party increased their support this week, the flow of preferences from minor parties tipped further in favour of the ALP, once again highlighting the importance of preference flows to determine the overall two-party preferred result. The Coalition primary vote decreased by 0.5% to 37% while ALP primary support was unchanged at 30.5%. Support for the Greens dropped 1% to 12% and support for One Nation was down 1% to 5.5%. It was smaller parties and independents that gained support. Support for Other Parties was up 1% to 5% and support for Independents increased 1.5% to 10% – the highest level it has been so far this year.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll: Labor has slight edge in too close to call election as both major parties lose primary support: ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Jul-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be ‘too close to call’ with the Labor Party in front 50.5% (up 1.5%) just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (down 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. Either the ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government based on these results, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. The Coalition primary vote was down 2% to 37.5%, the ALP primary support was down 1% to 30.5% while support for the Greens was unchanged at 13%. Support for One Nation increased 1.5% to 6.5%, support for Other Parties was up 0.5% to 4% and support for Independents increased 1% to 8.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll: Coalition gains slight edge over Labor after controversy about alleged union corruption: L-NP 51% cf. ALP 49%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Jul-24

If a Federal Election were held now the Coalition would be favoured to form a minority government with the support of minor parties and independents with the Coalition on 51% (up 0.5%) leading the ALP on 49% (down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. The Coalition increased its primary vote lead over the ALP this week with the Coalition up 2% to 39.5% and well ahead of the ALP on 31.5% (up 0.5%). In addition, support for the Greens was up 0.5% to 13%. Support for One Nation was unchanged at 5%, support for Other Parties dropped 1.5% to 3.5% and support for Independents dropped 1.5% to 7.5%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll: Federal Election is ‘too close to call’: L-NP 50.5% cf. ALP 49.5%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Jul-24

If a Federal Election were held now the result would be a hung parliament and ‘too close to call’ with the Coalition on 50.5% cf. ALP 49.5% on a two-party preferred basis. The ALP or Coalition would require the support of minor parties and independents to form a minority government, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds. Primary support for the Coalition dropped 2% to 37.5% this week while the ALP increased 2.5% to 31%. Support for the Greens was down 1% to 12.5%. Support for One Nation was unchanged at 5%, support for Other Parties was up 0.5% to 5% and support for Independents was unchanged at 9%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY