Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Apr-24

The Albanese Labor Government has retained the lead for the second week in a row with support on 52% (unchanged) ahead of the Coalition on 48% (unchanged) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be re-elected with a slim majority as they have now, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. Primary support for both major parties increased this week, at the expense of the Greens, with the ALP up 1% to 31.5% but still behind the Coalition, up 1% to 36.5%; support for the Greens dropped 2% to 14%. Looking at the minor parties, support for One Nation was unchanged at 5.5%. Support for Independents was up 0.5% to 8% and support for Other Parties was down 0.5% to 4.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,719 Australian electors from April 22-28. When comparing different polls it is always important to make sure to take note of the dates when the polls are conducted to undertake a proper comparison between two polls. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Apr-24

In a week that saw Israeli strikes on Iran which had the potential to set off a wider war in the Middle East, two knife attacks in Sydney, and the judgment handed down against Bruce Lehrmann, the Labor Government has regained the lead with support up 3% to 52% to be ahead of the Coalition on 48% (down 3%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be re-elected with a slim majority as they have now, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. Primary support for the ALP increased 0.5% to 30.5% but is still behind the Coalition on 35.5%, down 3%. A look at the support by gender shows women’s support for the Coalition dropped significantly this week – by nearly 4% to only 32% after Justice Michael Lee handed down his judgment in the Lehrmann case. Men’s support for the Coalition was down 2.5% to 39%. Support for the Greens returned to, and marginally exceeded, its highs of two weeks ago, up 2.5% to 16% while One Nation was unchanged at 5.5%. Support for Independents was unchanged at 7.5% and support for Other Parties was unchanged at 5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,617 Australian electors from April 15-21, 2024. When comparing different polls it is always important to make sure to take note of the dates when the polls are conducted to undertake a proper comparison between two polls. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Apr-24

Support for the Coalition has increased by 0.5% to 51% to edge further ahead of the ALP on 49% on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey. If a Federal Election were held now the result would be too close to call, with a hung parliament and the support of minor parties and independents required for either the ALP or Coalition to form a minority government. Primary support for both major parties increased marginally this week, with the Coalition up 0.5% to 38.5% and the ALP up 0.5% to 30%. Support for the Greens was unchanged at 13.5% while One Nation was down 0.5% to 5.5% – both these minor parties are above their result at the last Federal Election. Support for Independents was down 1.5% to 7.5%, while support for Other Parties increased 1% to 5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,706 Australian electors from April 8-14. Most of the interviews were conducted before Foreign Minister Penny Wong suggested that Australia could recognise a Palestinian State, and before the tragedy at Westfield Bondi Junction on the weekend where six people were stabbed to death and more hospitalised.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 9-Apr-24

Support for the Coalition increased 1.5% to 50.5% to edge narrowly ahead of the ALP on 49.5% on a two-party preferred basis as Australians began to return from Easter holidays. If a Federal Election were held now the result would be too close to call with a hung parliament and the support of minor parties and independents required for either the ALP or Coalition to form a minority government, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. Several issues hurt the Albanese Government’s support last week, in particular the surge in crime in Alice Springs which forced the imposition of a youth curfew in the outback town. There was also the arrival of a new asylum seeker boat in Western Australia and the death of an Australian aid worker in Gaza. Primary support for the Coalition increased 0.5% to 38% ahead of the ALP on only 29.5%, down 0.5% from a week ago. In addition, hurting the ALP on a two-party preferred basis was the decrease in support for the Greens, down 2% to 13.5%. The biggest beneficiary of the decline in support for the ALP and Greens last week was One Nation, which surged 2.5% to 6% – the highest level of support for the party for six months since November 2023. The majority of One Nation preferences flow to the Coalition. Support for Independents was unchanged at 9% and support for Other Parties was down 0.5% to 4%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,731 Australian electors from April 1-7, 2024. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Apr-24

Support for the ALP was up 1% to 51% during the Easter week and ahead of the Coalition on 49% on a two-party preferred basis – although primary support for both major parties dropped. If a Federal Election were held now the result would be a hung parliament with the Albanese Government re-elected with the support of minor parties and independents, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. Primary support for the Coalition was down 0.5% to 37.5% ahead of the ALP on only 30%, down 1.5% from a week ago. Importantly for Labor, support for the Greens increased 1.5% to 15.5% – the highest level of support for the Greens for over six months since mid-September 2023. This high level of Greens support is providing the preference flow to keep Labor ahead on the two-party preferred support. At the 2022 Federal Election the ALP and Greens scored a combined vote of 44.9% and now have combined support of 45.5% due to the increase in Greens support – 3.2% higher than in 2022. For the other parties, One Nation support dropped 1% to 3.5%. Support for Independents was up 1.5% to 9% and support for Other Parties was unchanged at 4.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,677 Australian electors from March 25-31, 2024.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Mar-24

Support for the ALP was down 1.5% to 50% in late March and is now even with the L-NP Coalition on 50% (up 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the result would be a hung parliament with the support of minor parties and independents required for either of the major parties to form minority government, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. A look at the States shows the biggest swing to the Coalition was in Queensland – up by 5.5% points. The swing in Queensland came after the poor showing for the ALP at the previous week’s local government and key by-elections in the state seats of Inala (19.5% swing to LNP) and Ipswich West (17.9% swing to LNP). Primary support for the Coalition increased 1% to 38% and is now clearly ahead of the ALP on 31.5%, unchanged from a week ago. Support for the Greens increased 1.5% to 14% and One Nation support dropped 1% to 4.5%. Support for Independents was down 1.5% to 7.5% and support for Other Parties was unchanged at 4.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,633 Australian electors from March 18-24. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Mar-24

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that support for the ALP is unchanged at 51.5%, ahead of the Coalition on 48.5% (also unchanged) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the Albanese Government would be re-elected, but forced into minority government with the support of minor parties and independents. Primary support for both major parties fell: support for the Coalition was down 1% to 37%, while support for the ALP was down 0.5% to 31.5%. Support for the Greens dropped 0.5% to 12.5%, One Nation support increased 1.5% to 5.5%, with the biggest increase in support in Queensland, up 2.5% to 8%. Support for Independents was unchanged at 9% and support for Other Parties was up 0.5% to 4.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,710 Australian electors from March 11-17. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Mar-24

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that support for the ALP has fallen 2% to 51.5%, but still ahead of the Coalition on 48.5% (up 2%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the Albanese Government would likely be re-elected but forced into minority government with the support of minor parties and independents. There was a swing to the Coalition in all six States, with the biggest swings in Victoria after the state’s mid-year financial report showed that its debt has increased to more than $126 billion. Meanwhile, primary support for the Coalition has increased 1.5% to 38%, while support for the ALP was down 2% to 32%. Support for the Greens dropped 0.5% to 13%, One Nation support increased 0.5% to 4%, support for Independents was up 0.5% to 9% and support for Other Parties was unchanged at 4%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,714 Australian electors from March 4-10. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Mar-24

Support for the ALP has increased 3.5% to 53.5% to put the party well ahead of the Coalition on 46.5% (down 3.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election was held now the Albanese Government would be returned with an increased majority, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. There was a swing to the ALP in all six States, with the biggest swings in NSW and Victoria, largely reversing the result of a week ago. The swing to the ALP came after the ABS announced lower than expected inflation in January of 3.4% last week – all but removing the chance of an interest rate rise in mid-March and a definite positive for the Government. The ALP also retained the seat of Dunkley despite a swing of 3.6% to the Coalition. Meanwhile, primary support for the Coalition was down 1.5% to 36.5%, while support for the ALP recovered (up 2.5% to 34%); also helping the ALP was an increase in Greens support, up 1.5% to 13.5% and a decrease in One Nation support, down 1.5% to 3.5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was down 1% to 12.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,679 Australian electors from February 26 – March 3. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-Feb-24

Support for the ALP has dropped 2.5% to 50% and the party is now even with the L-NP 50% (up 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election was held now we would have a hung Parliament with minor parties and independents deciding who would be our next Government, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. There were big swings against the ALP in New South Wales and Victoria after asylum seeker boats landed in Western Australia and Opposition Leader Peter Dutton ‘hammered’ the Albanese Government all week over the failures in border protection policies. There were also significant anti-Semitic protests in Sydney and Melbourne last week as well as extensive blackouts of hundreds of thousands of people in Victoria due to heavy storms throughout the State. The swing in Victoria suggests a closer than expected by-election in the seat of Dunkley – although the ALP still leads 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5% in Victoria. Primary support for the Coalition increased 1% to 38% – it’s highest for over a year, while support for the ALP dropped significantly, down 2.5% to 31.5%. The Greens were down 1% to 12%, One Nation increased 1% to 5% and support for Independents & Other Parties was up 1.5% to 13.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,682 Australian electors from February 19-25. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY