Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 26-Mar-24

Support for the ALP was down 1.5% to 50% in late March and is now even with the L-NP Coalition on 50% (up 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the result would be a hung parliament with the support of minor parties and independents required for either of the major parties to form minority government, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. A look at the States shows the biggest swing to the Coalition was in Queensland – up by 5.5% points. The swing in Queensland came after the poor showing for the ALP at the previous week’s local government and key by-elections in the state seats of Inala (19.5% swing to LNP) and Ipswich West (17.9% swing to LNP). Primary support for the Coalition increased 1% to 38% and is now clearly ahead of the ALP on 31.5%, unchanged from a week ago. Support for the Greens increased 1.5% to 14% and One Nation support dropped 1% to 4.5%. Support for Independents was down 1.5% to 7.5% and support for Other Parties was unchanged at 4.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,633 Australian electors from March 18-24. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Mar-24

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that support for the ALP is unchanged at 51.5%, ahead of the Coalition on 48.5% (also unchanged) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the Albanese Government would be re-elected, but forced into minority government with the support of minor parties and independents. Primary support for both major parties fell: support for the Coalition was down 1% to 37%, while support for the ALP was down 0.5% to 31.5%. Support for the Greens dropped 0.5% to 12.5%, One Nation support increased 1.5% to 5.5%, with the biggest increase in support in Queensland, up 2.5% to 8%. Support for Independents was unchanged at 9% and support for Other Parties was up 0.5% to 4.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,710 Australian electors from March 11-17. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Mar-24

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that support for the ALP has fallen 2% to 51.5%, but still ahead of the Coalition on 48.5% (up 2%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the Albanese Government would likely be re-elected but forced into minority government with the support of minor parties and independents. There was a swing to the Coalition in all six States, with the biggest swings in Victoria after the state’s mid-year financial report showed that its debt has increased to more than $126 billion. Meanwhile, primary support for the Coalition has increased 1.5% to 38%, while support for the ALP was down 2% to 32%. Support for the Greens dropped 0.5% to 13%, One Nation support increased 0.5% to 4%, support for Independents was up 0.5% to 9% and support for Other Parties was unchanged at 4%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,714 Australian electors from March 4-10. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Mar-24

Support for the ALP has increased 3.5% to 53.5% to put the party well ahead of the Coalition on 46.5% (down 3.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election was held now the Albanese Government would be returned with an increased majority, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. There was a swing to the ALP in all six States, with the biggest swings in NSW and Victoria, largely reversing the result of a week ago. The swing to the ALP came after the ABS announced lower than expected inflation in January of 3.4% last week – all but removing the chance of an interest rate rise in mid-March and a definite positive for the Government. The ALP also retained the seat of Dunkley despite a swing of 3.6% to the Coalition. Meanwhile, primary support for the Coalition was down 1.5% to 36.5%, while support for the ALP recovered (up 2.5% to 34%); also helping the ALP was an increase in Greens support, up 1.5% to 13.5% and a decrease in One Nation support, down 1.5% to 3.5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was down 1% to 12.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,679 Australian electors from February 26 – March 3. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-Feb-24

Support for the ALP has dropped 2.5% to 50% and the party is now even with the L-NP 50% (up 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election was held now we would have a hung Parliament with minor parties and independents deciding who would be our next Government, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. There were big swings against the ALP in New South Wales and Victoria after asylum seeker boats landed in Western Australia and Opposition Leader Peter Dutton ‘hammered’ the Albanese Government all week over the failures in border protection policies. There were also significant anti-Semitic protests in Sydney and Melbourne last week as well as extensive blackouts of hundreds of thousands of people in Victoria due to heavy storms throughout the State. The swing in Victoria suggests a closer than expected by-election in the seat of Dunkley – although the ALP still leads 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5% in Victoria. Primary support for the Coalition increased 1% to 38% – it’s highest for over a year, while support for the ALP dropped significantly, down 2.5% to 31.5%. The Greens were down 1% to 12%, One Nation increased 1% to 5% and support for Independents & Other Parties was up 1.5% to 13.5%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,682 Australian electors from February 19-25. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 20-Feb-24

Support for the Labor government (52.5%) is in an election-winning position ahead of the L-NP (47.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention. The result is a slight improvement on the 2022 Federal Election (ALP 52.1% cf. 47.9%) and augurs well for the ALP, which faces the Dunkley by-election in Victoria on the first weekend in March. If a Federal Election were held now the Albanese government would be returned with a narrow majority. There was little movement on primary votes this week, with the Coalition’s primary support unchanged at 37% while ALP support was down marginally by 0.5% to 34%. The Greens were up 1% to 13%, One Nation dropped 0.5% to 4% and support for Independents & Other Parties was unchanged at 12%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,706 Australian electors from February 12-18. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Feb-24

Support for the Labor government (52%) is in an election winning position ahead of the L-NP (48%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention. This week’s result closely matches the result at the 2022 Federal Election (ALP 52.1% cf. 47.9%), and if a Federal Election were held now the Albanese government would be returned with a narrow majority. Polling trends over the last six months show that during this period, and including interviews with over 30,000 Australian voters, the average two-party preferred result is: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48% – the same result as this week. Coalition primary support was unchanged at 37% while ALP support was up 1.5% to 34.5%. The Greens were unchanged at 12% and One Nation dropped 0.5% to 4.5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties dropped 1% to 12%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,699 Australian electors from February 5-11. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Feb-24

Labor government support jumped 2.5% to 53% well ahead of the Coalition on 47% (down 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention. Support rebounded after the Albanese Government provided detail on its changes to the ‘Stage 3 tax cuts’ due in mid-year. Treasury analysis shows 84% of taxpayers will be better off under the changes. If this week’s result was repeated at a Federal Election the Albanese government would be returned with a large majority. ALP primary support increased 2% to 33%, Coalition support dropped 0.5% to 37%, the Greens dropped 1% to 12% and One Nation dropped 0.5% to 5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was unchanged at 13%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,709 Australian electors from January 29 – February 4. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Jan-24

The latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention shows that support for Labor has fallen by 2% to 50.5% on a two-party preferred basis, and is now just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (up 2%). Support for Labor fell after the government broke its promise not to change the stage-three tax cuts; if this week’s result was repeated at a Federal Election held now there would be a hung parliament, with the balance of power held by minor parties and independents. Labor’s primary support dropped 1.5% to 31%, while Coalition support increased by 1.5% to 37.5%. The Greens increased 0.5% to 13% and One Nation increased 0.5% to 5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was down 1% to 13%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,688 Australian electors from January 22-28.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Jan-24

Support for Labor has increased 1% to 52.5% ahead of the Coalition on 47.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention. This week saw a confirmation of trends evident a week ago, after the ABS announced lower-than-expected inflation numbers, with ALP support increasing for a second straight week, up 1% to 32.5%, while Coalition support dropped 1% to 36%. The Greens increased 0.5% to 12.5% and One Nation increased 0.5% to 5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was down 1% to 14%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,675 Australian electors from January 15-21.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY