ALP maintains an election winning lead in mid-February as parties set to contest Dunkley by-election: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 20-Feb-24

Support for the Labor government (52.5%) is in an election-winning position ahead of the L-NP (47.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention. The result is a slight improvement on the 2022 Federal Election (ALP 52.1% cf. 47.9%) and augurs well for the ALP, which faces the Dunkley by-election in Victoria on the first weekend in March. If a Federal Election were held now the Albanese government would be returned with a narrow majority. There was little movement on primary votes this week, with the Coalition’s primary support unchanged at 37% while ALP support was down marginally by 0.5% to 34%. The Greens were up 1% to 13%, One Nation dropped 0.5% to 4% and support for Independents & Other Parties was unchanged at 12%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,706 Australian electors from February 12-18. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

ALP maintains an election winning lead over the Coalition in mid-February: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Feb-24

Support for the Labor government (52%) is in an election winning position ahead of the L-NP (48%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention. This week’s result closely matches the result at the 2022 Federal Election (ALP 52.1% cf. 47.9%), and if a Federal Election were held now the Albanese government would be returned with a narrow majority. Polling trends over the last six months show that during this period, and including interviews with over 30,000 Australian voters, the average two-party preferred result is: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48% – the same result as this week. Coalition primary support was unchanged at 37% while ALP support was up 1.5% to 34.5%. The Greens were unchanged at 12% and One Nation dropped 0.5% to 4.5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties dropped 1% to 12%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,699 Australian electors from February 5-11. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

ALP support jumps strongly (up 2.5%) after detail of Stage 3 tax cuts is revealed: ALP 53% cf. L-NP 47%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Feb-24

Labor government support jumped 2.5% to 53% well ahead of the Coalition on 47% (down 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention. Support rebounded after the Albanese Government provided detail on its changes to the ‘Stage 3 tax cuts’ due in mid-year. Treasury analysis shows 84% of taxpayers will be better off under the changes. If this week’s result was repeated at a Federal Election the Albanese government would be returned with a large majority. ALP primary support increased 2% to 33%, Coalition support dropped 0.5% to 37%, the Greens dropped 1% to 12% and One Nation dropped 0.5% to 5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was unchanged at 13%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,709 Australian electors from January 29 – February 4. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

ALP support plunges 2% after breaking promise on Stage 3 tax cuts: ALP 50.5% cf. L-NP 49.5%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Jan-24

The latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention shows that support for Labor has fallen by 2% to 50.5% on a two-party preferred basis, and is now just ahead of the Coalition on 49.5% (up 2%). Support for Labor fell after the government broke its promise not to change the stage-three tax cuts; if this week’s result was repeated at a Federal Election held now there would be a hung parliament, with the balance of power held by minor parties and independents. Labor’s primary support dropped 1.5% to 31%, while Coalition support increased by 1.5% to 37.5%. The Greens increased 0.5% to 13% and One Nation increased 0.5% to 5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was down 1% to 13%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,688 Australian electors from January 22-28.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan’s latest Federal voting intention poll shows ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5% in election winning lead

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Jan-24

Support for Labor has increased 1% to 52.5% ahead of the Coalition on 47.5% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention. This week saw a confirmation of trends evident a week ago, after the ABS announced lower-than-expected inflation numbers, with ALP support increasing for a second straight week, up 1% to 32.5%, while Coalition support dropped 1% to 36%. The Greens increased 0.5% to 12.5% and One Nation increased 0.5% to 5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties was down 1% to 14%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,675 Australian electors from January 15-21.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan’s latest Federal voting intention poll shows ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5% after inflation drops to two-year low of 4.3%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Jan-24

Support for Labor has increased 2.5% to 51.5% ahead of the Coalition on 48.5% (down 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis after the official inflation figure dropped to a two-year low, according to the second Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention for 2024. The sharp fall in inflation, down 0.6% to 4.3%, means further interest rate increases in 2024 are unlikely. This week saw a reversal of trends evident a week ago with ALP support increasing 2.5% to 31.5% while Coalition support dropped 2% to 37%. The Greens dropped 1% to 12% and One Nation was down 0.5% to 4.5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties increased 1% to 15%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,727 Australian electors from January 8-14, 2024. Further details will be released on Tuesday in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine here: http://www.youtube.com/roymorganaus

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan’s latest Federal voting intention poll shows L-NP 51% cf. ALP 49%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 9-Jan-24

The Coalition has overtaken Labor as the Cost-of-Living crisis intensifies, reaching 51% (up 1%) while ALP stands at 49% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the first Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention for 2024. This week saw notable shifts in the primary votes of both major parties. The Coalition’s support increased to 39%, reflecting a 1% rise from December, while the ALP faced a significant setback with a 3% decline, leaving them at 29%. The Greens are up 1.5% to 13% and One Nation is up 0.5% to 5%; support for Independents & Other Parties is unchanged at 14%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,716 Australian electors from January 1-7. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Federal voting intention poll shows two major parties dead-locked at Christmas: ALP 50% cf. L-NP 50%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Dec-23

The ALP on 50% (down 1%) is now ‘dead-locked’ with the Coalition on 50% (up 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the final Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention for 2023. If an election were held now we would have a hung parliament with the minor parties and independents controlling the balance of power. The primary vote of both major parties improved this week with the Coalition now on 38%, up 1% from a week ago well ahead of the ALP on 32%, up 1.5%. The Greens are down 2.5% to 11.5% and One Nation is down 0.5% to 4.5%. Support for Independents increased 1.5% to 9%, but support was down 1% to 5% for Other Parties. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,720 Australian electors from December 11-17, 2023. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine here: http://www.youtube.com/roymorganaus.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Federal voting intention poll is unchanged this week: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Dec-23

Roy Morgan’s latest Federal voting intention survey shows support for the ALP is unchanged at 51% on a two-party preferred basis; support for the Coalition is also unchanged at 49%. The ALP’s primary vote has fallen by 2% from a week ago to 30.5%, while the Coalition’s primary vote is down 0.5% to 37%. However, the Greens are up 1.5% to 14% and One Nation is unchanged on 5%. Support for Independents dropped 1% to 7.5%, but support for Other Parties increased by 2% to 6%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,719 Australian electors from December 4-10. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows support increasing for both major parties as two-party preferred result narrows: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Dec-23

The ALP is now on 51% (down 1.5% on a week ago) ahead of the Coalition on 49% (up 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted last week. The primary vote of both major parties strengthened with the Coalition now on 37.5%, up 2.5% ahead of the ALP on 32.5%, up 0.5%. The Greens are down 1% to 12.5% and One Nation is unchanged on 5%. Support for Independents dropped 0.5% to 8.5% and was down 1.5% to 4% for Other Parties. This Roy Morgan Poll is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,730 Australian electors from November 27 – December 3, 2023. For further details watch Roy Morgan’s weekly Market Research Update video presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine on Tuesday afternoon.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY