PUBLIC OPINION POLLS – AUSTRALIA

Roy Morgan’s latest Federal voting intention poll shows ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5% after inflation drops to two-year low of 4.3%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Jan-24

Support for Labor has increased 2.5% to 51.5% ahead of the Coalition on 48.5% (down 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis after the official inflation figure dropped to a two-year low, according to the second Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention for 2024. The sharp fall in inflation, down 0.6% to 4.3%, means further interest rate increases in 2024 are unlikely. This week saw a reversal of trends evident a week ago with ALP support increasing 2.5% to 31.5% while Coalition support dropped 2% to 37%. The Greens dropped 1% to 12% and One Nation was down 0.5% to 4.5%. Support for Independents & Other Parties increased 1% to 15%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,727 Australian electors from January 8-14, 2024. Further details will be released on Tuesday in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine here: http://www.youtube.com/roymorganaus

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan’s latest Federal voting intention poll shows L-NP 51% cf. ALP 49%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 9-Jan-24

The Coalition has overtaken Labor as the Cost-of-Living crisis intensifies, reaching 51% (up 1%) while ALP stands at 49% (down 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the first Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention for 2024. This week saw notable shifts in the primary votes of both major parties. The Coalition’s support increased to 39%, reflecting a 1% rise from December, while the ALP faced a significant setback with a 3% decline, leaving them at 29%. The Greens are up 1.5% to 13% and One Nation is up 0.5% to 5%; support for Independents & Other Parties is unchanged at 14%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,716 Australian electors from January 1-7. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Federal voting intention poll shows two major parties dead-locked at Christmas: ALP 50% cf. L-NP 50%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Dec-23

The ALP on 50% (down 1%) is now ‘dead-locked’ with the Coalition on 50% (up 1%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the final Roy Morgan survey on Federal voting intention for 2023. If an election were held now we would have a hung parliament with the minor parties and independents controlling the balance of power. The primary vote of both major parties improved this week with the Coalition now on 38%, up 1% from a week ago well ahead of the ALP on 32%, up 1.5%. The Greens are down 2.5% to 11.5% and One Nation is down 0.5% to 4.5%. Support for Independents increased 1.5% to 9%, but support was down 1% to 5% for Other Parties. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,720 Australian electors from December 11-17, 2023. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine here: http://www.youtube.com/roymorganaus.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Federal voting intention poll is unchanged this week: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Dec-23

Roy Morgan’s latest Federal voting intention survey shows support for the ALP is unchanged at 51% on a two-party preferred basis; support for the Coalition is also unchanged at 49%. The ALP’s primary vote has fallen by 2% from a week ago to 30.5%, while the Coalition’s primary vote is down 0.5% to 37%. However, the Greens are up 1.5% to 14% and One Nation is unchanged on 5%. Support for Independents dropped 1% to 7.5%, but support for Other Parties increased by 2% to 6%. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,719 Australian electors from December 4-10. Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows support increasing for both major parties as two-party preferred result narrows: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Dec-23

The ALP is now on 51% (down 1.5% on a week ago) ahead of the Coalition on 49% (up 1.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted last week. The primary vote of both major parties strengthened with the Coalition now on 37.5%, up 2.5% ahead of the ALP on 32.5%, up 0.5%. The Greens are down 1% to 12.5% and One Nation is unchanged on 5%. Support for Independents dropped 0.5% to 8.5% and was down 1.5% to 4% for Other Parties. This Roy Morgan Poll is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,730 Australian electors from November 27 – December 3, 2023. For further details watch Roy Morgan’s weekly Market Research Update video presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine on Tuesday afternoon.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Almost half of Australians (49%) say the Australian Government should not take sides in the current crisis in Israel and Gaza

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Nov-23

Now 49% of Australians say the Australian Government should ‘not take sides’ in the current crisis in Israel and Gaza, according to a special Roy Morgan online survey conducted in conjunction with the Islamic Society of South Australia. This compares to 19% who say the Government ‘should do more to support Palestine’ and 17% who say the ‘Australian Government should do more to support Israel’; 15% of respondents don’t know. The survey also found that 39% of Australians say the Government is ‘favouring the Israelis’ compared to only 10% who say the Government is ‘favouring the Palestinians’. Meanwhile, 80% of Australians say Hamas should return the Israeli hostages unconditionally, while 40% of Australians say the Israeli army should withdraw their armed forces from Gaza immediately and 33% say they should not. This special Roy Morgan online survey was conducted with an Australia-wide cross-section of 1,006 Australians aged 18+ from Thursday November 16 to Monday November 20.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, ISLAMIC SOCIETY OF SOUTH AUSTRALIA

Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows support for the ALP recovering – up 3% points: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-Nov-23

The ALP has regained the lead on 52.5% (up 3% on a week ago) ahead of the Coalition on 47.5% (down 3%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted over the last week. The result halts a run of three straight weeks of declines for the ALP. On primary vote the Coalition is now on 35% (down 2.5% from a week ago), ahead of the ALP on 32% (up 2.5%). The Greens are unchanged on 13.5% and One Nation is on 5%, down 1.5%. There has been a gain in support for Independents on 9%, up 2%, but a drop in support for Other Parties on 5.5%, down 0.5%. The latest Roy Morgan Poll is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,379 Australian electors from November 20-26, 2023. For further details watch Roy Morgan’s weekly Market Research Update video presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention shows third straight weekly decline for the ALP Government: ALP 49.5% cf. L-NP 50.5%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Nov-23

The Coalition on 50.5% (up 0.5% from a week ago) now leads the ALP on 49.5% (down 0.5%) on a two-party preferred basis, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intention conducted over the last week. The result matches the low-point the Albanese Government reached immediately after the defeat of ‘The Voice’ referendum in mid-October and is the third straight week of declines for the Government. On primary vote the Coalition is now on 37.5%, up 1% from a week ago, and clearly ahead of the ALP on 29.5%, down 0.5%. The Greens are on 13.5%, up 0.5%, and One Nation is on 6.5%, up 0.5%. There has been a loss of support for both Independents on 7%, down 1% and Other Parties on 6%, down 0.5%. The latest Roy Morgan Poll is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,401 Australian electors from November 13-19, 2023. For further details watch Roy Morgan’s weekly Market Research Update video presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine on Tuesday afternoon.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

ALP support plunges after the defeat of The Voice Referendum: ALP 49.5% (down 4.5%) cf. L-NP Coalition 50.5% (up 4.5%)

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-Oct-23

The L-NP Coalition would now win a Federal Election as ALP two-party preferred support plunged 4.5% to 49.5% and is now behind the L-NP Coalition on 50.5% (up 4.5%) after all six States voted against the proposed ‘Voice to Parliament’ at the nation-wide referendum on Saturday October 14, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll taken in the first week after the referendum from Monday October 16 – Sunday October 22, 2023. This is the first time the Roy Morgan Poll shows the Coalition leading the Albanese Government on a two-party preferred basis since the Federal Election. Primary support for the ALP was down 3% to 32% and the Coalition increased 2% to 36%. Another 32% chose another party or independent, including the Greens on 14% and One Nation on 4.5%. The results are based on Roy Morgan surveying of a representative sample of 1,383 Australian electors. Further details on the Roy Morgan Poll on Federal Voting Intention, including the States, will be provided in Roy Morgan’s Market Research Update and Weekly Update Video.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Support for The Voice drops to 46% of Australians – down 7% points since December 2022 as Liberals vow to oppose

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Apr-23

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey has found that 46% of Australians would now vote ‘Yes’ to establish an ‘Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to Parliament’, down 7% points since December 2022. Some 39% (up 9% points) would vote ‘No’, and a further 15% (down 2% points) are undecided. If the ‘Undecided’ respondents are removed the split in favour of the ‘Yes’ vote is 54% cf. 46%. However, past experience shows that ‘Undecided’ voters are far more likely to end up as a ‘No’ rather than a ‘Yes’ vote. This trend has been observed even over the last few months as ALP and Greens supporters who were ‘Undecided’ have been far more likely to move to the ‘No’ vote rather than becoming a ‘Yes’ vote. Meanwhile, Support for ‘The Voice’ is virtually unchanged for ALP supporters at 75% (down 1% point since December) and Greens supporters at 89% (unchanged). In contrast, support for ‘The Voice’ has dropped among voters for the L-NP, One Nation, Independent and Other Parties since December. This special Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey was conducted with an Australia-wide cross-section of 1,181 Australian electors aged 18+ from April 14-18.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED