Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Feb-26

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for January 2026 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 52%, up 1.5% points from a month earlier, and now 8% points in front of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 44% (down 3% points). This is the largest lead the National-led Government has had since September 2024. Amongst the Government support for National increased 1.5% to 34.5%, support for NZ First was down 1% to 9%, while support for ACT increased by 1% to 8.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour dropped 2% points to 30.5%, support for the Greens dropped 1.5% points to 10.5%, and support for the Maori Party was up 0.5% to 3%. The survey results for January would lead to the National-led Government winning 65 seats (down three seats from the last election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 55 seats (unchanged). This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 881 electors from 6-26 January. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was unchanged for a third straight month at 85 in January.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Dec-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for November 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 50%, up 0.5% points from a month earlier, extending its lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 44.5%, down 0.5% points. Within the National-led Government support for National was up 1% point to 33% (its highest level of support since September 2024), while support for NZ First was virtually unchanged at 9% and support for ACT was unchanged at 8%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour fell 2.5% points to 28% (its lowest level of support since March 2025), support for the Greens increased 2.5% points to 14.5% (its highest level of support since March 2025) and support for the Maori Party was virtually unchanged at 2%. A further 5.5% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 829 electors from 27 October 27 to 23 November. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was up 3pts to 85 in November.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Nov-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for October 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 49.5%, up 1% point from a month earlier, marginally in front of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 45%, down 2.5% points. Within the National-led Government support for National was virtually unchanged at 32%, support for ACT dropped 1% point to 8% and support for NZ First increased 1.5% points to 9.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased 2% points to 30.5%, support for the Greens was down 1.5% points to 12%, and support for the Maori Party dropped 3% points to 2.5%. A further 5.5% (up 1.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 857 electors from 29 September to 26 October. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was down 7.5pts to 82 in October.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Sep-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for August 2025 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) has fallen by 4.5% points to only 46.5%, its lowest level of support this year. In contrast, support for the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition has risen to 50% (up 4% points from a month ago). Within the National-led Government support for National was down 2% points to 29%, support for ACT was unchanged at 10.5% and support for NZ First dropped 2.5% points to 7%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased by 3% points to 34% (the highest level of support for any party since September 2024); support for the Greens was up 2% points to 13.5%, but support for the Maori Party dropped 1% point to 2.5%. A further 3.5% (up 0.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 873 electors from 28 July to August 24. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating was unchanged at 83.5 in August.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Aug-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for July 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) virtually unchanged on 51% (down 0.5% points) and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 46% (up 1.5% points). For the tenth straight month neither major party has managed to secure a third of the vote. Within the National-led Government support for National was down 1% point to 31%, support for ACT was down 1% point to 10.5% and support for NZ First increased 1.5% points to 9.5% (the highest support for NZ First since the last New Zealand Election). For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was up 2.5% points to 31%, support for the Greens increased 0.5% points to 11.5%, and support for the Maori Party dropped 1.5% to 3.5%. A further 3% (down 1% point) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 832 electors from 30 June to 27 July. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating fell 11.5pts to 83.5 in July.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Jun-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for May 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 50% (up 1% point) and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 45% (down 2% points), with both failing to muster a majority of public support. This is the fifth straight month the two main blocks representing both sides of politics have fallen short of a majority of support. There were changes in the composition of support for the Government, with support for ACT up 3% points to 12% (the highest support for ACT so far this year) while support for NZ First dropped 2.5% points to 6.5%; support for National was little changed at 31.5%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was virtually unchanged at 29%, support for the Greens dropped 2.5% points to 11.5% and support for the Maori Party was unchanged at 4.5%. A further 5% (up 1%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 799 electors from 28 April to 25 May. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped 17pts to 80.5 in May.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 7-May-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for April 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 49% (up 2% points) and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 47% (down 0.5% points). This is the fourth straight month the two main blocks representing both sides of politics have fallen short of a majority of support; it is also the seventh straight month no single party has managed to garner a third of the electorate’s support. There were changes in the composition of support for the National-led Government, with National down 1.5% points to 31%; however, support for ACT increased 1.5% points to 9% and support for NZ First increased 2% points to 9%, now at their highest level of support since the Election in October 2023. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased 1% point to 28.5% while support for the Greens was virtually unchanged at 14%. Support for the Maori Party dropped 1% point to 4.5%. A further 4% (down 1.5%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 829 electors from 24 March to 20 April.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 2-Apr-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for March 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 47% (down 0.5% points), and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 47.5% (unchanged) with both failing to muster a majority of support. This is the third straight month the two main blocks representing both sides of politics have fallen short of a majority of support. There were changes in the composition of support for the National-led Government, with National up 2% points to 32.5% and NZ First up 1% point to 7%. However, coalition partner ACT lost support, down 3.5% points to 7.5%, to its lowest level since January 2024. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour dropped 1.5% points to 27.5% and support for the Greens was down 1% point to 14.5%. In contrast, support for the Maori Party rebounded 2.5% points to 5.5%. A further 5.5% (up 0.5%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 888 electors from 24 February to 23 March.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Jan-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for January 2025 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 50% (down 1.5% points), still clearly ahead of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 46.5% (up 1.5% points). There were changes in the composition of support for the National-led Government with National up 1.5% points to 32.5%; support for ACT dropped 4% points to 9% and support for NZ First increased 1% point to 8.5%, its highest level of support since the 2023 New Zealand Election. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour increased 2.5% points to 28.5% but support for the Greens dropped 2% points to 11.5%. This is the lowest level of support for the Greens since the 2023 Election. Support for the Maori Party increased 1% point to 6.5%. A further 3.5% (unchanged) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for January would lead to 62 seats (down six seats from the election) being won by the National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition compared to 58 seats (up three seats) being won by the current Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 885 electors from 2 to 26 January. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased by 6.5pts to 89 in January.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Jan-25

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for December 2024 shows the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) on 51.5% (up 7.5% points), clearly ahead of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 44% (down 6.5% points). For the National-led Government there were increases for all three coalition parties led by National, up 2.5% points to 31% and joined by ACT (up 4% points to 13%) and NZ First (up 1% point to 7.5%). This is the highest level of support for ACT since the 2023 New Zealand Election. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was down 2% points to 26%, support for the Greens was unchanged at 13.5% and support for the Maori Party was down 3.5% points to 5.5%. A further 3.5% (down 2% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for December would lead to 64 seats (down 4 seats from the election) being won by the National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition, compared to 56 seats (up 1 seat) being won by the current Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition. This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 885 electors from 25 November to 15 December. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped 21.5pts to 82.5 in December, the lowest rating for this indicator since March 2024.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY