RATING AGENCIES (FINANCE) – AUSTRALIA

S&P upgrades outlook for big four banks

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Tim Boyd
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 11-Jul-19

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority’s move to scale back its capital requirements for the banking sector has prompted S&P Global Ratings to upgrade its outlook for the nation’s four major banks from ‘negative’ to ‘stable’. The credit ratings agency has also upgraded Macquarie Bank’s outlook from ‘developing’ to ‘positive’. Meanwhile, S&P has indicated that a sharp correction in residential property prices is the biggest risk factor for Australian banks.

CORPORATES
S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED

Stick to surplus to keep AAA

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 9-Jul-19

S&P Global Ratings upgraded Australia’s credit rating outlook to ‘stable’ in September 2018. S&P’s Anthony Walker says the federal government must retain its target of returning the Budget to surplus in 2019-20 in order to retain its triple-A credit rating. He has stressed the need for the government to have a strong public balance sheet so it can respond with fiscal stimulus if there is an external shock to the economy in the future. Martin Petch of Moody’s Investors Service in turn says the Australian economy will be boosted by factors such as the government’s income tax cuts, official interest rate cuts and spending on infrastructure.

CORPORATES
S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD

S&P concerned big banks may lose support in a crisis

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 10-Apr-19

A report from S&P Global Ratings says the federal government is likely to remain "highly supportive" of Australia’s major banks in the event of a crisis. However, the ratings agency adds that there is a one-in-three chance that the government will change its position to "supportive" over the next two years. Any change in the government’s level of support for the major banks would most likely prompt their credit ratings to be downgraded, which in turn would increase their funding costs.

CORPORATES
S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, COUNCIL OF FINANCIAL REGULATORS

S&P cuts AMP rating, more action to come

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 5-Mar-19

Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has downgraded AMP’s credit rating from ‘A’ to ‘A-‘ in the wake of the wealth manager’s decision to sell its life insurance arm. S&P has flagged the potential for a further downgrade once the sale is completed, noting that the deal will affect AMP’s creditworthiness. Rival ratings agency Moody’s Investor Services recently downgraded the credit rating of AMP Life after it posted a 2018 operating loss of $176m.

CORPORATES
AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AMP LIFE LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, AMP BANK LIMITED, RESOLUTION LIFE GROUP LIMITED, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

Rio debt upgrade as iron ore rises

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by James Thomson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 8-Feb-19

Moody’s Investors Service has upgraded its rating on Rio Tinto’s debt from A3 to A2. The credit ratings agency has noted that Rio Tinto is better-placed to ride out periods of increased volatility in commodity prices as a result of its debt reduction strategy. The resources giant has slashed its debt from US28.5bn in 2013 to just $US12.5bn. Meanwhile, the iron ore price has risen to almost $US90 per tonne in the wake of the latest tailings dam disaster in Brazil, and some analysts say it could test $US100.

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, VALE SA

Trust gap will crank up bank funding costs

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 20 : 4-Oct-18

Fitch Ratings has warned that a loss of trust in Australian banks in the wake of the financial services royal commission may result in higher wholesale funding costs. Fitch adds that banks may find it hard to pass the increased costs on to borrowers in the current climate. The credit ratings agency also notes that banks could potentially face increased compliance costs and a greater risk of class actions as a result of any recommendations made by the inquiry in its final report. Fitch has retained its negative outlook on banks.

CORPORATES
FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

AAA outlook remains negative: S&P

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 10-May-18

Credit ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has welcomed the Federal Government’s "fiscal prudence" in its May 2018 Budget. However, the firm has retained its negative outlook for Australia’s sovereign rating due to global factors such as the potential for an international trade war. Meanwhile, Jeremy Zook of Fitch Ratings says the Government’s revenue forecasts are "optimistic" and may affect its ability to deliver a surplus ahead of schedule.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, ERNST AND YOUNG, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Stress test reveals risk for Australian banks

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Samantha Bailey
The Australian – Page: 28 : 1-May-18

Fitch Ratings’ mortgage "stress test" of Australia’s major banks shows that they could be vulnerable if a sharp downturn in the housing market were accompanied by a decline in consumer spending and an increase in business lending losses. Fitch warns that a sharp rise in the unemployment rate could trigger a housing market slump, but the ratings agency concludes that the four major banks could withstand such a downturn provided that other key metrics were not affected.

CORPORATES
FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

WA tops debt list as states binge

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 4 : 23-Feb-18

Standard & Poor’s forecasts that the combined debt of Australia’s state and territory governments will blow out by 5.1 per cent in 2018, to $A257.8bn. They will also refinance or repay some $A45.4bn worth of debt, according to the credit ratings agency. Meanwhile, the Western Australian government’s debt is expected to rise from $A45.8bn to $A56bn in 2019, which would see its debt-to-revenue ratio rise from 102 per cent to 114 per cent. The state has a credit rating of "AA-plus" with a negative outlook.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, WESTERN POWER CORPORATION

Bank probe a funding risk

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Tom McIlroy, Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 16-Jan-18

Fitch Ratings says Australian banks may face an increase in wholesale funding costs if the Federal Government’s royal commission further erodes trust in the sector. The ratings agency notes that the Australian banking sector is particularly reliant on offshore funding. Meanwhile, royal commissioner Kenneth Hayne is expected to seek public submissions shortly, but Small Business & Family Enterprise Ombudsman Kate Carnell says the inquiry must avoid being swamped by submissions. Financial services providers must lodge 50-page reports with the commission by the end of January.

CORPORATES
FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIA. OFFICE OF THE AUSTRALIAN SMALL BUSINESS AND FAMILY ENTERPRISE OMBUDSMAN, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, HIGH COURT OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. ATTORNEY-GENERAL’S DEPT, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY