RATING AGENCIES (FINANCE) – AUSTRALIA

Wage growth is economy’s Achilles heel, warns Moody’s

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 24-Aug-17

Ratings agency Moody’s Investors Service has maintained its stable outlook for Australia’s triple-A credit rating. However, Moody’s says factors such as low growth in wages and rising household debt – which now comprises 123.1 per cent of GDP – represent key risks to the economy. Meanwhile, Moody’s has forecast that state and federal government debt will increase to 42 per cent of GDP in 2017-18, while the firm has questioned whether the Federal Government will be able to limit growth in expenditure over the Budget forward estimates period.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED

Ratings agency warns Coalition

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 9-May-17

The Australian Government’s May 2017 Budget is tipped to forecast a surplus in 2020-21. However, ratings agency Moody’s Investors Service has doubts regarding the Government’s ability to meet this target, as well as the economic growth forecasts in the Budget. Marie Diron of Moody’s says the firm will consider all aspects of the Government’s Budget consolidation policy over the next five years. She adds that the Australian economy’s trend growth is unlikely to be any higher than 2.75 per cent.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. PRODUCTIVITY COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Moody’s deals blow to Elliott BHP plan

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Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 4-May-17

Moody’s Investors Service has upgraded BHP Billiton’s "A3" credit rating outlook from "stable" to "positive". The ratings agency has cited factors such as BHP’s prospects for further growth in earnings and free cashflow due to the continued strength of commodity prices. However, Moody’s adds that the restructuring proposals of activist hedge fund Elliott Management could adversely affect BHP’s credit rating.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT CORPORATION, ELLIOTT ASSOCIATES LIMITED PARTNERSHIP

‘White elephant’ desalination plant placed on ratings watch

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Original article by Ben Potter
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 10-Jan-17

Fitch Ratings has placed Victoria’s Wonthaggi desalination plant on negative watch. The credit rating agency stated on 6 January 2017 that the negative watch move is related to the recent equipment failure, which raised doubts about the plant’s financial position. The plant is owned and operated by Aquasure, which has debts of $A3.65 billion. Fitch rates Aquasure’s senior debt "A-" and S&P Global Ratings rates it "BBB+".

CORPORATES
FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AQUASURE, UNISUPER LIMITED, SUEZ ENVIRONMENT, KOOKMIN BANK LIMITED, ITOCHU CORPORATION, CIMIC GROUP LIMITED – ASX CIM

Treasurer won’t pledge to a surplus

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 21-Dec-16

The expected Budget surplus of $A1.087bn in 2020-21 equates to about 0.05 per cent of GDP. Ratings agencies have warned that the Federal Government must achieve a surplus by 2020-21 in order to retain its triple-A credit rating, but Treasurer Scott Morrison claims that he has never committed to that target date. He says the Government will seek to balance the Budget as quickly and responsibly as possible, and stressed that this will require the support of Parliament.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, MYOB GROUP LIMITED – ASX MYO, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES

AAA could go at any time

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 15-Dec-16

Moody’s Investors Service and S&P Global Ratings have signalled that Australia’s triple-A credit rating could potentially be downgraded on 19 December 2016, following the release of the mid-year budget update. Both credit rating agencies have previously warned that the triple-A rating could be at risk if the Government fails to meet its target of 2020-21 for returning the Budget to surplus. Meanwhile, Adam Boynton of Deutsche Bank has forecast that nominal GDP growth will be 3.25 per cent in 2017-18, compared with the May Budget forecast of five per cent.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Morrison on notice as debt soars

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 13-Dec-16

Ratings agency Moody’s has forecast that the combined debt of Australia’s federal and state governments will rise to about $A690bn by mid-2017, compared with $A642bn in June 2016. Treasurer Scott Morrison will release the mid-year economic and fiscal outlook on 19 December, and Marie Diron of Moody’s says the Government is likely to reduce the deficit but at a slower pace than forecast in the May 2016 Budget. Moody’s is not expecting to downgrade Australia’s triple-A credit rating, although rival S&P Global Ratings put it on "negative watch" earlier in 2016.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, DELOITTE TOUCHE TOHMATSU LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING

Banks on S&P negative watch over hot property

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 15 : 1-Nov-16

Factors such as rising household debt and residential property prices have prompted Standard & Poor’s to downgrade Australia’s economic risk trends. The firm has also downgraded the credit rating outlook of 25 local lenders to "negative". S&P downgraded the major banks’ rating outlooks to "negative" in mid-2016, but it has not yet made any further changes. However, their "AA-" credit ratings could be reviewed, particularly if Australia implements new global regulations regarding bank bailouts.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Markets expect cool response to downgrade

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 6 : 21-Oct-16

Borrowing costs for Australian banks and the state and federal governments have not increased as a result of S&P Global Ratings’ downgrading of the nation’s credit rating outlook to negative earlier in 2016. The loss of Australia’s "AAA" credit rating would also be unlikely to have an impact on borrowing costs, according to some financial market watchers. Treasurer Scott Morrison maintains that the Federal Government’s budget repair strategy is crucial to retaining the coveted triple-A credit rating. Australia also has a triple-A rating from Moody’s Investor Services and Fitch Ratings.

CORPORATES
S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

FMG closer to investment grade rating

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Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 : 14-Sep-16

Pure-play iron ore producer Fortescue Metals Group will repay $US700m ($A925m) worth of debt that is scheduled to mature in 2019. This will cut its debt obligations for 2019 to just $US2.88bn. Fortescue repaid $US2.9bn of debt in 2015-16, and the latest move will reduce its interest costs by $US26 a year. Peter O’Connor of Shaw & Partners expects Fortescue to further reduce its debt in the current financial year. Fortescue’s credit rating remains below investment grade, and Matthew Moore of Moody’s has ruled out a re-rating at present.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS