REAL ESTATE – AUSTRALIA – RESIDENTIAL

Home approvals get a boost but still below target

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 3-Sep-24

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that dwelling approvals rose to an 18-month high of 14,797 in July. Housing approvals also rose to an eight-month high of 165,443 in the year to July; approvals for detached houses increased by 0.3 per cent, while there was 34 per cent growth in approvals for apartments, townhouses and semidetached homes. JP Morgan economist Jack Stinson says sustained growth in approvals for apartments and other attached homes will be needed if the federal government’s target of building 1.2 million new homes over the next five years is to be achieved.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Melbourne in box seat for next housing upturn

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 24-Jul-24

AMP’s chief economist Shane Oliver expects all capital city housing markets to benefit when the Reserve Bank eventually starts to reduce the cash rate. However, he says Melbourne’s housing market may rebound the strongest, given that it has underperformed for some time. Data from CoreLogic’s daily home value index shows that a sharp rise in listings saw home values in Melbourne fall by 0.2 per cent over the first 19 days of July, and by 0.6 per cent over the last three months. Tim Lawless of Corelogic says Melbourne home values are likely to fall further in coming months, given the volume of new listings.

CORPORATES
AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Average home loan surges to record high

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Original article by Nick Lenaghan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 9-Jul-24

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that the average new home loan for owner-occupiers reached a record high of $626,055 nationally in May. The average size of new home loans reached fresh highs in Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia in May. NSW still boasts the nation’s highest average home loan, at $767,584; however, this is below the state’s peak of $803,235 in early 2022. In contrast, the average home loan in Victoria fell to $601,891 in May, compared with a peak of $651,364 in 2022. Sally Tindall of RateCity notes that home buyers are taking out bigger mortgage loans than ever, despite the cash rate rising to its highest level in 12 years.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, RATECITY PTY LTD

Australian capital cities rank among world’s least affordable markets to buy a home

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Original article by Clint Jasper
abc.net.au – Page: Online : 14-Jun-24

The Chapman University Frontier Centre for Public Policy examined housing markets in 94 cities in eight countries in terms of their affordability for middle-income buyers. Hong Kong, Sydney and Vancouver were rated as the most unaffordable markets for those buyers, while Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide, Brisbane and Perth all sit in the least affordable 25 per cent of cities The study concluded that the leading cause of unaffordable housing in the cities it studied were land use policies that artificially restrict housing supply, pushing up land prices, while it pointed to Singapore’s success in transforming a "desperate housing situation" in the 1960s to one of the most affordable markets in the report.

CORPORATES
CHAPMAN UNIVERSITY

Approved housing for 100,000 stalls on rising costs

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Original article by Larry Schlesinger
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 & 28 : 29-May-24

KPMG’s analysis of data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that at the end of 2023, construction had yet to begin on more than 37,000 dwelling had been approved. This represents a nine per cent increase on the five-year average. These dwellings would provide housing for nearly 100,000 people, based on the nation’s average household size of 2.5 people. Townhouses and apartments comprise nearly two-thirds of dwellings that are awaiting construction. KPMG’s urban economist Terry Rawnsley says factors such as rising construction costs and labour shortages have contributed to the stalled housing commencements.

CORPORATES
KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

House prices bounce in prestige suburbs

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 22-May-24

Data from CoreLogic shows that house prices in some of the more expensive suburbs in Sydney and Melbourne rose by up to seven per cent in the three months to April. The median house price in Sydney’s upper north shore suburb of Gordon increased by 7.1 per cent, after falling by 1.4 per cent in the previous three months. Melbourne suburbs that recorded strong price growth include Kew East, Brighton and Camberwell. Tim Lawless from CoreLogic says it is not surprising that house prices in premium suburbs have risen, given that they have fallen in recent months.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

First-timers, low earners in housing crunch

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 17-Apr-24

A report from the ANZ Bank shows that the average proportion of income that is needed to service a new mortgage rose to 48.9 per cent nationwide in the March quarter; this compares with 43.1 per cent during the same period in 2023. The ANZ Housing Affordability report also reveals that it now takes an average of 10.3 years to save enough money for a house deposit. Meanwhile, ANZ found that the average renter must now allocate 32.2 per cent of their income to rent; this rises to 54.3 per cent for low-income earners.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Unit values outpace houses in half of suburbs

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 3-Apr-24

Data from CoreLogic shows that growth in apartment prices outpaced detached homes in 633 out of 1,168 suburbs across Australia in the March quarter. This includes 77 per cent of Brisbane suburbs, 54 per cent of suburbs in Sydney and 50 per cent of Melbourne suburbs. Tim Lawless of CoreLogic says the outperformance of apartments could be sustained in the near- to medium-term, due to factors such as housing affordability and supply constraints. Buyer’s agent Amanda Gould says high interest rates are prompting some clients to opt for an apartment rather than a detached dwelling.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Rate pause could lure home buyers back

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Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 20-Mar-24

Tim Lawless of CoreLogic says the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to leave the cash rate unchanged on Tuesday is likely to boost the confidence of prospective home buyers. He notes that there has tended to be a close relationship between consumer sentiment and the volume of home sales. Meanwhile, SQM Research MD Louis Christopher expects mortgage stress to continue to rise while interest rates remain high, while the number of distressed listings is also likely to rise.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, SQM RESEARCH PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

New home supply to hit decade low

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Original article by Larry Schlesinger, Michael Read
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 32 : 19-Mar-24

The Urban Development Institute of Australia has forecast that just 79,000 new home builds will be completed nationwide in 2026. This is 26 per cent lower than in 2023, and the slump in new housing supply is set to further reduce the affordability of homes and rental properties. The dire forecast also casts further doubt on the federal government’s target of building an additional 1.2 million homes over five years. Barrenjoey’s chief economist Jo Masters says this target is ‘aspirational’, and will require high rates of apartment construction; she adds that apartments have a longer construction and lead time than houses.

CORPORATES
URBAN DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTE OF AUSTRALIA, BARRENJOEY CAPITAL PARTNERS PTY LTD