Cure for housing fix ‘worse than disease’: UBS

Original article by Duncan Hughes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 23-Aug-19

Investment bank UBS has warned that the Reserve Bank of Australia’s move towards extremely low interest rates risks reflating the residential property ‘bubble’. The ultra-low rates are also putting pressure on the dividend policies and margin levels of the nation’s large banks, while plans by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority to reduce related-party exposure limits with regard to Tier 1 capital will put pressure on the banks’ capital.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA RADIATION LABORATORIES, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Claims of underquoting an odd sign of a market rising

Original article by Su-Lin Tan, Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 22-Aug-19

Some buyers’ advocates have expressed concern that the residential property market is again being affected by underquoting. Melbourne-based Scott Hall notes that there has been a significant decline in underquoting by real estate agents since legislation to crack down on the practice was introduced in 2017. Real Estate Institute of New South Wales CEO Tim McKibbin agrees that underquoting has become less prevalent in recent years.

CORPORATES
THE REAL ESTATE INSTITUTE OF NEW SOUTH WALES, FAIR TRADING NSW, VICTORIA. DEPT OF JUSTICE AND REGULATION. CONSUMER AND BUSINESS AFFAIRS VICTORIA, RAINE AND HORNE PTY LTD

Underrated suburbs set for million-dollar club

Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 8-Aug-19

Data from Select Residential Property suggests that the median house price in 12 suburbs across Australia will rise above $1m over the next two years. They include Coal Point, Terrigal and Mount Pleasant in New South Wales and St Helena and Eltham North in Victoria. The price growth forecasts are based on a range of metrics, including auction clearance rates, vacancy rates, and the number of properties on the market.

CORPORATES
SELECT RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Prices will start to rise again this year: ANZ

Original article by Ingrid Fuary-Wagner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 17-Jul-19

The ANZ Bank’s quarterly housing report is upbeat about the outlook for the residential property market. The bank expects the housing market downturn to reach bottom in the next few months, with a modest rebound toward the end of the year. ANZ forecasts house price growth of 3-4 per cent in Sydney during 2020, with prices in Melbourne to increase by four per cent. The bank had not expected any house price growth in 2019 as recently as May.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, BIS OXFORD ECONOMICS PTY LTD

Sydney house prices forecast to grow 7pc

Original article by Ingrid Fuary-Wagner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 27-Jun-19

Domain Group is upbeat about the outlook for Australia’s residential property market, forecasting that prices will rebound by the end of 2019. Domain economist Trent Wiltshire says the Coalition’s federal election win, official interest rate cuts and the prospect of changes to mortgage serviceability tests bode well for housing prices. Domain forecasts that house prices in Sydney will rise two per cent in the second half of 2019 and up to five per cent in 2020, while prices in Melbourne will rise by one per cent by year’s end and 1-3 per cent in 2020.

CORPORATES
DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX DHA, MOODY’S ANALYTICS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Affordability still an issue for most home owners

Original article by Ingrid Fuary-Wagner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 11-Jun-19

A survey by ME Bank shows that 88 per cent of Australians regard housing affordability as a major concern. The survey also found that 94 per cent of first-home buyers are concerned about housing affordability, compared with 87 per cent of owner-occupiers and 83 per cent of property investors. The survey was undertaken in late April, prior to the re-election of the Coalition and the recent reduction in official interest rates.

CORPORATES
ME BANK, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Housing at its most affordable

Original article by Mackenzie Scott, Samantha Bailey
The Australian – Page: 2 : 7-Jun-19

The ANZ-CoreLogic Housing Affordability report shows that Sydney and Melbourne are still the least affordable markets in Australia for buying a home. However, the report notes that overall, housing affordability has reached its highest level since December 2016. The downturn in the housing market also means that it is cheaper to buy rather than rent in many suburbs across Australia. The report is based on housing data from December 2018.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Confidence returning as housing hits the bottom

Original article by Ben Wilmot, Mackenzie Scott
The Australian – Page: 17 & 21 : 5-Jun-19

Shane Oliver of AMP Capital says the downturn in the residential property market is likely to reach its bottom earlier than expected, citing factors such as the Reserve Bank’s interest rate cut and the outcome of the recent federal election. Tim Lawless of CoreLogic also anticipates an upturn in the housing market, although he adds that economic uncertainty means a rebound in house prices is unlikely in the near-term.

CORPORATES
AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, McGRATH LIMITED – ASX MEA, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CBRE PTY LTD, PLACE ESTATE AGENTS

Property slump has another year: S&P

Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: Online : 4-Jun-19

Credit ratings agency Standard & Poor’s says factors such as the Coalition’s election win and a likely official interest rate cut in June will bolster the residential property market. However, the firm does not expect houses prices in Melbourne and Sydney to rebound for another 6-12 months, while George Tharenou of UBS forecasts that house prices will stabilise later in 2019. New data from CoreLogic shows that house prices fell by 0.4 per cent in May, and by 7.3 per cent year-on-year.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Housing recovery on cards, says HSBC

Original article by Ben Wilmot
The Australian – Page: 23 : 29-May-19

Paul Bloxham of HSBC notes that Australian house prices have fallen by an average of eight per cent since the current downturn began. Prices in Sydney have fallen by 15 per cent, while prices in Melbourne are down 11 per cent. However, Bloxham says house prices are likely to stabilise during the second half of 2019 before improving in 2020. He says factors that should boost the market include the prospect of official interest rate cuts and the re-elected Coalition government’s proposed first-home buyers loan scheme.

CORPORATES
HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA