Housing boom enters twilight

Original article by Valerina Changarathil
The Australian – Page: 3 : 23-Nov-21

The Commonwealth Bank expects seven per cent growth in house prices in Australia’s capital cities in 2022. However, head of Australian economics Gareth Aird says the nation’s residential property boom is nearing its end, and he forecasts that house prices will fall by 10 per cent in 2023. However, he notes that this will merely see house prices return to current levels. Prices in Sydney and Hobart are tipped to decline by 12 per cent, while the housing markets in Melbourne and Canberra are forecast to fall by around 10 per cent. The ANZ Bank recently forecast that house prices will fall by four per cent in 2023.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Home affordability near the worst for 10 years

Original article by Nila Sweeney
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 26-Oct-21

Moody’s Investors Service expects a further decline in housing affordability in Sydney in the near-term. The ratings agency has warned that dwelling prices will need to rise by just 4.6 per cent for the Sydney market’s affordability to reach its highest level in 10 years. Moody’s also forecasts that housing affordability nationwide will reach its highest level in a decade if dwelling prices rise by 15 per cent. Shane Oliver of AMP Capital says the decline in housing affordability could eventually led to increased mortgage stress.

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MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED

Housing value to hit $10 trillion

Original article by Lachlan Moffet Gray
The Weekend Australian – Page: 21 & 24 : 2-Oct-21

Data from CoreLogic shows that housing values in Australia have risen by 17.6 per cent so far in 2021, including 1.5 per cent in September. Meanwhile, the total value of the nation’s housing stock may top $10trn by the end of the year if the current growth momentum continues. The Australian Bureau of Statistics recently reported that the value of housing stock rose to $8.92trn in the June quarter. National Australia Bank has forecast that house prices will rise by 20 per cent in 2021, following growth of about 3.8 per cent in 2022.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

House price growth among fastest in world

Original article by Mackenzie Scott
The Australian – Page: 3 : 10-Jun-21

Data from Knight Frank’s Global House Price Index shows that dwelling prices in Australia increased by 8.7 per cent in the six months to March. The nation ranked fourth in terms of house price growth among the 56 countries and territories that were surveyed. Meanwhile, Australia ranked 18th on an annualised basis, with house price growth of 8.3 per cent over the 12 months to March. Michelle Ciesielski of Knight Frank says Australia’s housing market has been "particularly resilient" during the COVID-19 pandemic.

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KNIGHT FRANK

Record property prices still climbing

Original article by Mackenzie Scott
The Australian – Page: 15 : 9-Apr-21

New figures show that house prices in Australia’s capital cities increased by 5.6 per cent in the March quarter. House prices rose by 2.8 per cent nationally in March, and Eliza Owen of CoreLogic says the combined value of Australian dwellings topped $7.9trn during the month. Meanwhile, the national median house price is now 5.6 per cent above the previous market peak in 2017.

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CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

The year regional housing turned property on its head

Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: Online : 5-Jan-21

Regional property values rose by 6.9 per cent in the 12 months to December, according to figures released by CoreLogic on 4 January. Property values for the combined capital cities rose by just two per cent, and it was the first time in almost 15 years that regional values had risen at a greater rate than metropolitan values, as the pandemic saw urban residents move to rural areas for more space and greater safety. The number of transactions in 2020 was up nine per cent on 2019, although the volume of listings was down 21 per cent.

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CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

House prices surge again as stimulus keeps market pumping

Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: Online : 4-Jan-21

Figures to be released by CoreLogic on 4 January are expected to show that house prices in Australia’s five mainland capital cities rose by 0.9 per cent in December. Brisbane house prices are predicted to have risen 1.2 per cent in December, Melbourne is tipped to show an one per cent increase, while Sydney house prices are expected to have risen 0.7 per cent. AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver says house prices are being pushed up by a range of factors, including record low mortgage rates, but issues such as high unemployment and subdued rental markets are likely to weigh on inner city areas and units in Sydney and Melbourne.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED

House prices on track for record high by February

Original article by Ingrid Fuary-Wagner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 2-Dec-20

Data from CoreLogic shows that residential property prices rose by 0.8 per cent nationwide in November. House prices increased by 0.4 per cent month-on-month in Sydney, while Melbourne’s housing market recorded 0.7 per cent growth following a decline in October. Tim Lawless of CoreLogic says the housing market could be on track to recover from the coronavirus-induced downturn by January or February, assuming the current growth momentum is sustained.

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CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Fitch tips 10pc fall in house prices as immigration weakens

Original article by Ben Wilmot
The Australian – Page: 15 : 23-Sep-20

Fitch Ratings has forecast that housing prices in Australia will fall by 5-10 per cent over the next 12-18 months. The credit ratings agency says the reduction in net immigration due to COVID-19 travel restrictions and the resulting impact on population growth will weigh on the residential market; it also warns that the restrictions are unlikely to be eased well into 2021. The National Housing Finance & Investment Corporation recently estimated that underlying demand for new houses and apartments could fall by up to 232,000 over the next three years as a result of the coronavirus.

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FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, NATIONAL HOUSING FINANCE AND INVESTMENT CORPORATION – ASX NFI

House prices crash 30pc in doomsday scenario

Original article by James Kirby
The Australian – Page: 20 : 14-May-20

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia has warned that house prices could fall by 32 per cent over the next three years if there is a prolonged economic downturn. This worst-case scenario is based on the unemployment rate exceeding nine per cent. CBA’s base case downturn scenario is for house prices to fall by 11 per cent. The bank has identified unemployment, underemployment, changes to income and house prices as the key drivers for the housing market.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA