Iron ore prices to remain high

Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 20 : 9-Jul-19

The price of iron ore for delivery to China firmed on 8 July, after falling sharply in the previous week in response to calls for Chinese government intervention. Meanwhile, Ord Minnett expects the benchmark price of iron ore to remain high for the remainder of 2019, before averaging $US87 per tonne in 2020. The firm also notes that an increase in steel production has seen iron ore stockpiles at Chinese ports decline for 12 consecutive weeks. Ord Minnett has increased its Chinese steel production forecast for 2019 by seven per cent year-on-year, to 992 million tonnes.

CORPORATES
ORD MINNETT GROUP LIMITED, CHINA IRON AND STEEL ASSOCIATION, CHINA. NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM COMMISSION, VALE SA, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO

China: iron ore import prices too high

Original article by Michael Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 16 : 8-Jul-19

The price of iron ore for delivery to China recently peaked at $US126 per tonne. However, the iron ore price retreated on 5 July after the Chinese government indicated that it could intervene after the nation’s steel mills claimed that futures traders are manipulating the iron ore market. The China Iron & Steel Association’s vice-president Qu Xiuli is said to have indicated that the government intends to address ‘irregularities’ that have been identified by the nation’s steel makers. The reports prompted a sharp fall in the share prices of BHP and Rio Tinto.

CORPORATES
CHINA IRON AND STEEL ASSOCIATION, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, MYSTEEL.COM LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND SCIENCE

Fortescue expects China’s ore demand to stay strong

Original article by Michael Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 20 : 29-Mar-19

Fortescue Metals Group CEO Elizabeth Gaines says there are no indications that Chinese steel production is contracting. She adds that the general consensus of Fortescue’s iron ore customers in China is that growth in steel output will to slow to 3-4 per cent in 2019. This follows 12 per cent growth in 2018. Gaines has also indicated that China’s move to restrict Australian coal imports has had no impact on Fortescue’s iron ore shipments. The pure-play miner has resumed shipments from Port Hedland in the wake of Cyclone Veronica.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, BOAO FORUM FOR ASIA, SHANGHAI BAOSTEEL GROUP CORPORATION, FORMOSA GROUP, VALE SA

Sentiment turns for Fortescue

Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 19 : 29-Nov-18

Fortescue Metals Group expects to benefit from the recent decline in Chinese steel producers’ margins. Danny Goeman, the pure-play iron ore miner’s director of sales and marketing, notes that lower margins in the sector tend to boost demand for lower-grade iron ore, adding that this trend has occurred in recent days. The renewed demand for lower-grade ore has coincided with the first shipment of Fortescue’s higher-grade West Pilbara fines product, which is slated for December.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG

Rio still upbeat on Chinese demand

Original article by Perry Williams
The Australian – Page: 20 : 13-Nov-18

Rio Tinto CEO Jean-Sebastien Jacques says the Chinese steel industry’s demand for higher-grade iron ore remains strong in the wake of production capacity cutbacks and measures aimed at reducing air pollution. He has also told the UBS Australasia conference in Sydney that structural changes in the aluminium sector will take longer to have an impact

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

China’s steel mills thriving

Original article by Glenda Korporaal
The Australian – Page: 20 : 8-Nov-18

Fortescue Metals Group Elizabeth Gaines says the trade war with the US has not affected China’s steel production, which was higher than expected in September. Gaines adds that China’s infrastructure investment program has been a key driver of the high level of steel production, which in turn has prompted a rally in the iron ore price. Fortescue has signed memorandums of understanding with eight public and private steel mills at the China import expo in Shanghai.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, BAOWU STEEL GROUP, HEBEI WENFENG IRON AND STEEL COMPANY LIMITED

Australia’s iron ore age nears peak

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 28-May-18

Australia now accounts for about 62 per cent of all iron ore shipments to China, compared with 43 per cent in 2010. He Ming of Wood Mackenzie forecasts that Australia’s iron ore exports to China will peak at 895 million tonnes in 2020 and 2021, before holding steady at around 884 million tonnes beyond 2023. Tony Robson of Global Mining Research expects Chinese steel mills’ demand for Australian iron ore to fall in coming years, as annual steel production peaks. Factors such as increased iron ore production in Brazil are also expected to weigh on Australian producers.

CORPORATES
WOOD MACKENZIE, GLOBAL MINING RESEARCH PTY LTD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, ROY HILL HOLDINGS PTY LTD, VALE SA, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Pollution controls lift FMG’s China discount

Original article by Angus Grigg, James Thomson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 19 : 31-Oct-17

SteelHome analyst Du Hongfeng says Chinese demand for iron ore is likely to fall by 56 million tonnes between September 2017 and March 2018, as steel mills reduce output during the winter months. He adds that this will require Fortescue Metals Group to maintain its current iron ore price discount until at least March, in order to retain its market share. Fortescue’s iron ore with 58.5 per cent iron content is currently being offered at a 23 per cent discount to the benchmark price for delivery in November, while its iron ore with 56.3 per cent iron content is trading at a 40 per cent discount.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SHANGHAI STEELHOME INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Chinese entrench iron ore discount

Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 20 : 24-Oct-17

The price discount between iron ore with 62 per cent content and lower-grade ore has traditionally been within the range of 10-15 per cent, although it has widened significantly in 2017. Chris Salisbury, the head of Rio Tinto’s iron ore division, says China’s decision to curb steel production during winter should not affect demand for Rio’s higher-grade iron ore. He adds that this in turn will ensure that the price discount will be sustained. Salisbury also says the widening discount appears to be structural.

CORPORATES
RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, ATLAS IRON LIMITED – ASX AGO, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, TAFE WESTERN AUSTRALIA

Iron ore fall continues but Deutsche says China steel demand will hold

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 15-Jun-17

The spot price of iron ore for delivery to the port of Qingdao in China has fallen below $US54 per tonne, its lowest level in 12 months. A number of factors have contributed to the recent downturn in the iron ore price, including a sharp fall in Chinese steel exports, a growing move toward protectionism by other steel-producing nations and China’s move to reduce steel capacity. However, Deutsche Bank expects demand for steel in China to remain relatively strong.

CORPORATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG, ROY HILL HOLDINGS PTY LTD